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August 2016 archive
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/storms-for-some-more-winter-chatter/
Aug 03
SST CA Model Weighs In On The Upcoming Winter…
It may only be August, but thoughts here are solely focused now on the upcoming fall and winter seasons. We received an update today from the sea surface temperature constructed analogue model and the look is a “mighty fine one” if you enjoy wintry conditions, locally.
As we’ve mentioned in previous video and text posts, the once-thought moderate to strong La Nina doesn’t appear to be taking shape and instead we’re likely left with a weak La Nina to neutral look. Factor in the positive PDO and the overall pattern is one that could yield cold, snowy times, locally, especially the middle and latter parts of the winter season. (No reason to get too specific this far out).
In any event, today’s update is an “intriguing” one for winter enthusiasts across the region.
Upper air pattern for DJF and JFM, indicating the colder, more wintry regime for mid and late winter:
Precipitation DJF
Temperature anomalies DJF and JFM
Hmmmmm… 🙂
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sst-ca-model-weighs-in-on-the-upcoming-winter/
Aug 02
Lots Of Sunshine…
Highlights:
- Lots of sunshine
- Best storm chances Friday this week
- Turning less humid this weekend
Sunglasses Required…The storm axis has set itself up to our west, including IA and MO. At one point, data and upper level steering currents seemed to align in a manner that would be further east, but that’s obviously not the case. The end result here will be a drier forecast, overall. We’ll still have to remain on our toes for storm potential through week’s end, but the confidence is low and the drier regime looks good this morning.
Less humid air will push in this weekend, along with continued sunny conditions. All in all, the first weekend of August looks very pleasant. Plans to go to the State Fair anyone?
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/lots-of-sunshine/