April 2014 archive

Apr 06

A Raw Open To The Work Week…

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Custom IndyWx.com Forecast Updated 04.07.14 @ 8:02a

Damp; Chilly Open To The Work Week. . .A storm system will lift into the Ohio Valley Monday into Tuesday.  An east and northeast flow will ensure temperatures are at below normal levels Monday and downright chilly.  Couple that with wind gusts in excess of 20 MPH along with a driving rain and you have the makings for a rather nasty open to the work week.

Deep convection along the Gulf Coast has “robbed” some of the moisture transport north, but we still anticipate steady rains here late morning into the afternoon. Steady rains will taper to showers tonight into Tuesday, but we’ll still note periods of wet weather, along with a gusty northerly breeze and cooler than normal temperatures holding firm through mid week. It should be noted sunshine will be on the increase by Wednesday.

As for total rainfall from our early week storm system, we think most central Indiana communities will average around one half inch.

Late Week Warming. . .We’ll continue the sunny theme Thursday, but strong southwest winds will be blowing (gusting 30-40 MPH) and usher in, potentially, our first 70 degree day so far this year.

Thursday’s warming will be in advance of a Friday frontal boundary.  Moisture will be lacking with our late week storm system, but we’ll keep the threat of a brief shower in the forecast for now.

More Important Cold Front. . .There are some issues with timing, but we’ll circle Sunday into Monday for the chance of our next cold front of significance to deliver a round of showers and thunderstorms.  Behind this boundary, a big shot of cold air will flow in and could set the stage for a freeze early next week.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/06/a-raw-open-to-the-work-week/

Apr 06

Enjoy Today; More Rain Ahead!

We’ll wrap up the weekend with sunshine, though clouds will be on the increase later this afternoon.  This is all part of the next storm system that will deliver moderate rainfall amounts here to open up the new work week.  Additionally, winds will be strong and gusty Monday along with cooler temperatures.  All-in-all, it’ll be a raw, nasty Monday.

Clouds are already increasing across southern portions of the state this morningir0.

 

 

 

 

 

Rain and embedded thunder is blossoming over the Ark-la-tex region and southeast.

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As we go through time, a sunny start here will cloud up by the afternoon and evening.  All the same, it’ll be a very nice day with highs reaching the upper 50s.

Low pressure that’s currently organizing along the Texas Gulf Coast region will lift northeast and strengthen.  This will produce our rainy and windy Monday into Tuesday.

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Rainfall totals will average around an inch for central portions of the state Monday and model data ranges from 0.50-1.78″.

The high resolution NAM model suggests 0.80-1.00″.

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After a wet open to the work week, high pressure will build in and supply a pleasant rest of the week, including the opportunity we may hit our first 70 degree day of the year Thursday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/06/enjoy-today-more-rain-ahead/

Apr 05

Enjoying A Drier Weekend!

Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri.               32/ 50 31/ 57 43/ 49 37/ 52 32/ 57 46/ 70 50/ 66 – –…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/05/enjoying-a-drier-weekend/

Apr 04

Drying Out For The Weekend; New Storm Next Week

It’s a busy morning and we’ll have your full updated 7-Day forecast posted here later tonight. A cold front will pass the region between 11am and 1pm from west to…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/04/drying-out-for-the-weekend-new-storm-next-week/

Apr 03

Looking At Tonight’s Weather And Another Storm Monday…

Good evening.  It’s been a busy day across central Indiana and we’re not finished just yet.  While the heaviest rains and strong to severe thunderstorms targets southern parts of the…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/03/looking-at-tonights-weather-and-another-storm-monday/

Apr 03

Update On The Heavy Rain And Severe Potential

It’s a wet and stormy morning across central Indiana, including heavy rain and embedded stronger storms.  The latest HRRR short-term data paints a continued stormy picture through the morning.

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That said, we’ll get into some dry time late morning into the afternoon, but the atmosphere will be priming itself for another noisy night ahead.  The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines the region under a slight risk of severe weather, including damaging wind, damaging hail, and a potential tornado.  The greatest risk of severe is to our south, but we must remain on our toes tonight into the wee morning hours Friday.  Please keep your weather radios on alert mode tonight.

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The simulated radar shows thunderstorms re-firing to our west late tonight, moving in during the overnight hours.

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When all is said and done (and accounting Wednesday’s rain) we still forecast widespread 2-3″ of rain across the region, with locally heavier totals.  Additionally, we bracket late tonight into the early Friday morning hours for the greatest chance of severe weather across our region.  Hail and straight line wind damage are of the greatest concerns, but a tornado can’t be ruled out.  The cold front will sweep the state clean Friday afternoon and help set up a very nice, although cooler, weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/03/update-on-the-heavy-rain-and-severe-potential/

Apr 01

Wet, Stormy Period…

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Forecast Updated 04.02.14 @ 7:30a

Heading Into A Stormy, Wet Period. . .While periods of showers and thunderstorms will be with us through Friday morning, we break things down and focus in on this afternoon/ evening into Thursday morning for the potential of heaviest rainfall.  We then think we experience a bit of a “lull” in the action Thursday afternoon before we ramp things back up and introduce a severe weather component Thursday night into Friday morning.  Renewed heavy rains would also accompany these thunderstorms.  As for the severe risk, really all modes of severe weather are in play, including damaging hail, straight line winds, and even the possibility of a tornado or two.  We’ll continue to closely monitor the ongoing weather situation and suggest you plan to keep abreast of the latest developments in the days ahead in terms of potentially flooding and severe weather.  Severe weather outbreaks are always dangerous, but particularly so at night.

The cold front will sweep the state clean of heavy rain and severe thunderstorms Friday morning and this will set things up for a much quieter, calmer (although windy) close to the week.

When all is said and done, we forecast widespread 2-3″ rainfall through the heart of the state, including central Indiana, along with localized amounts between 3″ and 4″.

Much Needed, Calmer, Weekend. . .High pressure will build over head as we go through the weekend and this will supply a drier, calmer period Saturday and Sunday.  We’ll note a cooler air mass in place, along with a gusty northwest wind Saturday, but winds will calm Sunday, ensuring a pleasant close to the weekend.

Eyeing Our Next Storm. . .Things are still much in the air in regards to the precise details with a new storm system early next week, but we’re confident something’s brewing.  The European data suggests this is another heavy rain event for our neck of the woods Monday, while the GFS is further east, and takes the majority of the moisture up the eastern seaboard.  We’ll continue to monitor things.

One more item of note, mid to long range guidance is in agreement on the return of a below normal temperature pattern here later next week…  In fact, a few wet snow flurries may fly next Tuesday as the cold air pushes back in.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 3″ – 4″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/01/wet-stormy-period/

Apr 01

Enjoy Today; Heavy Rain And Storms In Our Future…

Today will be another beauty! Enjoy!  We think conditions go down hill rather rapidly later tonight through Friday morning with periods of heavy rain and the threat of severe weather…

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