Sun-Filled Weather Until Sunday…

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MO Storms Shouldn’t Impact Us…A look at the radar this morning shows a complex of rain and thunderstorms across Missouri.  We think these will remain well to our south later this afternoon, but there’s the chance we may see some increase in our cloud cover from this complex later this afternoon.

Sun-Filled Sky…Plentiful sunshine and comfortable temperatures will remain as we wrap up the work week.  Enough southwest flow will allow temperatures to reach the lower 80s Saturday out ahead of our next approaching storm system.

Rain Chances Early Next Week Then Cool Again…A cold front will sink into the region Sunday and help spark scattered showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.  Early shower chances continue Monday before drier and cooler air invade Monday afternoon.

Tuesday will feel MUCH cooler as yet another Canadian high pressure system builds into the area.  Temperatures will run more than 10 degrees below normal by Tuesday.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

Catching Up On A Tuesday Evening…

Several interesting weather items are on the docket and each will have to be dealt with as they come over the course of the upcoming 7 days.  Some of the headlines include a brief warm-up Saturday, weekend rain that could include a tropical connection Sunday, and another big shot of October-like chill next week.

While we have a few more days of below normal temperatures in front of us, we eye at least one day where temperatures will manage to climb above normal and that’s Saturday.  All indications still suggest we’ll be very close, if not a degree or two higher, than the 80 degree mark along with a nice southwest air flow in place Saturday.  All-in-all, it’ll be a great day to take care of any early-autumn yard work that’s needing to get done.

Changes brew Sunday as a cold front draws near.  This is where questions lie and they actually have to do with Tropical Storm Odile (currently all the way to our southwest over the central Baja California peninsula region).  Odilemoisture

While the GFS and European forecast models still aren’t interested in “welcoming” Odile’s moisture into the region, we note the Canadian model does suggest some tropical moisture, courtesy of Odile, gets entangled along the front Sunday.  We’ll continue to keep a close eye on things and monitor the forecast data accordingly moving forward through the back half of the work week.

 

The other item of interest has to do with yet another big blast of autumn air that will have things feeling very much like October around these parts come early next week.  The above average temperatures Saturday will hang around just for the day as yet another unseasonably chilly air mass moves into the area Monday into Tuesday of next week as a significant trough develops over the east with an impressive western ridge in place.  f156

 

Note the GEFS and Canadian show the return of the unseasonable chill next week.  Keep those jackets handy.  Early indications would suggest this type air mass is plenty capable of highs in the upper 50s/ lower 60s and overnight lows in the upper 30s/ lower 40s during the height of the chill (most likely Tuesday).  Stay tuned…

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More Unseasonably Cool Fall Air…

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Brightening Skies Through The Day…The morning is starting off on a gloomy note, but skies will turn increasingly sunny as we progress deeper into the day.  Cool, crisp fall air will remain in place as temperatures only top out in the middle 60s- a whopping 12-14 degrees below average.  Another cool night is on tap tonight with lows in the middle 40s.

Nice Stretch Of Dry Weather…We’ll hold on to dry and sunny conditions for mid week into the first half of the weekend.  While temperatures will moderate each day, it’s not until Saturday when temperatures should reach above normal levels.  Southwest winds will blow a warmer, more humid brand of air northbound Saturday out ahead of our next storm system.

Sunday Storms; Another Cool Down…A cold front will move through the region Sunday with showers and thunderstorms.  Another punch of unseasonably cool air will blow into town just in time to welcome in the new work week!

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
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Forecast cloud cover shows nearly 0% later this evening- a good indication of the increasingly sunny sky condition we should note later today.

Colts Forecast: Showers; Embedded Thunder Around…

A weak frontal boundary will slip into central Indiana this evening. Increasingly cloudy skies will result and scattered light showers/ embedded thunderstorms will dot the local landscape this evening.

The morning will get off to a quiet, cool start as showers impact northern portions of the state.

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Forecast radar at 6pm shows scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms moving in.

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Forecast temperatures will be in the lower 60s prior to kick-off (through the all-important tailgate).

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IndySportsReport.com Colts Forecast

Cloudy. Showers and embedded thunder moving into central Indiana this afternoon will create damp tailgating conditions. Improving weather can be expected as the game winds down with diminishing rain coverage across our immediate region. Temperatures will start off in the lower to middle 60s leading up to kickoff before falling into the 50s by the drive home. Total rainfall this evening will amount to a tenth of an inch to less than half an inch.

Gorgeous Fall Weather…

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Fantastic Fall Day…Chilly Canadian high pressure will remain in control of our weather today and help supply lots of sunshine.  High temperatures will rebound into the upper 60s after the chilly start, but this is still (11) degrees below the average high of 79.

Weak Frontal Boundary Moves In…A weak and moisture-starved frontal boundary will slip into the region Monday afternoon and evening (about 12 hours earlier than we thought yesterday).  We’ll notice an increase in cloudiness tomorrow along with the chance of a few light showers through the afternoon and evening.  We’re not looking at significant rainfall totals, but plan to pack the umbrella as you may need it heading out of the office tomorrow evening.

Back To Dry And Cool…With the exception of Monday, the rest of the work week will be dominated by more ideal fall weather.  Temperatures will remain below average, though slowly begin to moderate towards week’s end.  Sunshine will continue and the combination between dry sunny days and clear, chilly nights will likely begin getting the color season underway a bit earlier than normal this year.  BTW- in the coming weeks ahead, please send in your fall foliage shots to bill@indywx.com!

Quick Warm-Up Ahead Of Next Storm System…While we think we’ll stay dry Saturday, the second half of next weekend may be wet and unsettled as our next storm system moves through.  We’re siding with the European forecast model in regards to rainfall/ storm timing and another chilly Canadian high moving in for now.  Stay tuned.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10-0.25″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
A weak frontal boundary will slip through the region Monday evening with light rain.

A weak frontal boundary will slip through the region Monday evening with light rain.

 

Weekly Outlook: Cool And Overall Dry

We’re going to begin writing an overview on the weekends (Saturday or Sunday depending on what time allows) of the upcoming week ahead. This won’t serve as a substitute for the existing content we write, but instead add to our going material moving forward.

The week begins cool and dry with the largest temperature anomalies centered over our region. Temperatures will remain more like October through the weekend and into a large portion of the upcoming week. Chilly Canadian high pressure and associated dry air continue to dominate the region into Sunday.

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A weak frontal boundary will move in Monday evening and Tuesday. While moisture will be hard to come by, a few light showers are possible during this time period (while rain amounts and coverage won’t be significant, we do note model data is speeding this system up today so it’s possible a few showers arrive Monday evening). Reinforcing dry, cool air will blow in behind this boundary for mid week.

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After a wet week, the upcoming week will be much drier. With the exception of light rain Monday evening/ Tuesday, it’ll be a mostly dry week.

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Temperatures, though remaining cooler than normal overall, will begin to moderate going into next weekend. We may reach above normal levels next weekend as warming continues.

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Moisture return will slowly advance north and east next weekend as temperatures moderate.

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Feeling Like October!

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Reinforcing Chilly Air…A second push of chilly air blew in overnight and you can feel it this morning. North winds are gusting between 15-20 MPH and helping to usher in reinforcing October-like chill!  Certainly pack the jacket or sweat shirt for those football games or fall festivals today!  Cold air advection will keep a good deal of clouds in our forecast through the day before we begin to introduce much more in the way of sunshine into your Sunday picture.  Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool through the forecast period really, but slow moderation will occur by late next week.

Tuesday Showers…A few showers will be possible Tuesday as a weak boundary moves through the region.  This system will be moisture starved so don’t look for much in the way of rainfall Tuesday (perhaps a tenth of an inch).

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Temperatures will remain in the 50s for the better part of the afternoon (and all day just north of the city).  We'll make a push for 60 in the city, but it'll be close.

Temperatures will remain in the 50s for the better part of the afternoon (and all day just north of the city). We’ll make a push for 60 in the city, but it’ll be close.

Cool IndySportsReport.com High School Football Forecast

Good morning and happy Friday! After a couple weeks of having to deal with rain and thunderstorms for your favorite Friday night high school game, this evening will provide a much drier time of things. On the other hand, plan to pack the jacket or sweat shirt as temperatures run much cooler than normal. Reinforcing chilly air will blow in late tonight and early Saturday and a couple light showers will be possible as the even cooler air blows in. Thankfully, we think most of this shower activity holds off until late tonight/ early Saturday morning.

6pm forecast temperatures

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9pm forecast temperatures

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Official IndySportsReport.com high school football forecast for Friday, Sept 12th:

A few breaks in the cloud cover will be possible, but mostly cloudy overall. Unseasonably cool. Kickoff temperatures will begin in the lower 60s before falling into the upper 50s to around 60° at the final whistle.

Ready For A True Fall Feel?!

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Cooler Breezes Blowing…A strong cold front moved through the region last night.  You’ll notice a huge change in the air mass upon stepping out the door this morning with north winds blowing!  This will really be looked at as the first true fall cold front of the season with the coolest air in months blowing in for late week into the weekend.  Today will feature some breaks in the clouds late morning into the afternoon, but cold air advection will lead to continued mostly cloudy skies for the better part of the day.

Reinforcing Chilly Air…A reinforcing push of unseasonably chilly air will blow in Friday night into early Saturday.  A couple of light showers will be possible as the cold front passes and even cooler air will pour into the area Saturday (temperatures will remain in the 50s for a large portion of the day Saturday).

We’ll dry things out and introduce sunshine into your Sunday forecast.

Mid Week Cold Front…Another cold front will target a Tuesday evening/ Wednesday arrival (and departure :-) ).  We think moisture will come at a premium with this next front so we don’t forecast any sort of heavy rain at this juncture.  Another push of cool air will move in behind the boundary.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Get ready for a MUCH cooler day!  Highs today have already occurred shortly after mid night, and will struggle to top 67 later this afternoon in the city, itself. This is only the beginning of an extended stretch of cool air.

Get ready for a MUCH cooler day! Highs today have already occurred shortly after mid night, and will struggle to top 67 later this afternoon in the city, itself. This is only the beginning of an extended stretch of cool air.

Storms Intensify Coming East

The stage is set for a stormy evening across central Indiana. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Tornado Watch for all of central Indiana until 9pm.

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We covered some of the ingredients in this morning’s post behind these storms and a look at the afternoon visible satellite image shows sunshine working through across southeastern IL and southern and central IN.

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This will help destabilize our local environment even further in the coming few hours and provide an atmosphere capable of helping storms, that are currently in Illinois, strengthen coming east.

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We target mid to late evening for the most widespread thunderstorm action across central Indiana and some of these will likely become severe. All modes of severe weather will be possible, including large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.

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Remain weather aware tonight…