Two snow events are lined up to impact at least parts of central IN over the next few days.
Friday Light Snow: We still expect an area of light snow to press into central and southern IN Friday morning. This will be ahead of what is a brutal push of arctic air that we label “hurt your face” cold that will be with us for the Valentine’s weekend (lows in the single digits both Saturday and Sunday mornings). While snow amounts won’t be hefty Friday, cold surfaces and the pending arctic intrusion will likely make for slick travel in spots across the region. Snow showers will likely develop once again Friday afternoon and evening as the arctic reinforcements push south. Some local snow bursts are possible, along with gusty winds.
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Sunday-Monday Snow: There really aren’t any changes we have concerning Sunday and Monday at the moment. While there are more questions than answers, as opposed to flip-flopping with each and every model run, we feel it’s best to ride with the “steady as she goes” approach. That idea delivers accumulating snow to central IN Sunday night into Monday. While we can understand the ideas out there of suppression (would fit the trend this winter), the simple fact of the matter doesn’t support a suppressed solution, in our opinion.
The arctic high that will deliver the bitter cold here this weekend will be retreating northeast. Additionally, teleconnections, namely the AO and NAO, are forecast neutral to positive late weekend into early next week. Only God knows tomorrow, but for now, we see no reason to deviate away from that idea at this time. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on things. From this distance, a plowable snow is very much on the table.
Before we close, I wanted to say thank you to all of the new and long-standing followers of IndyWx.com. I know there are many excellent weather sources out there, and I’m flattered you choose us to provide your weather information. The central IN weather community is a special group, a brotherhood of sorts, so to speak. While the commonality is the weather, many great friendships have been born that will last a lifetime, and go much deeper than weather.
Please know that while the ideas here may be a bit different from what you see from other sources at times, we always will strive to put out the best product we possibly can. Will we be correct all the time? No. Will we miss snow events and severe weather outbreaks at times? Yes. We can be stubborn at times, as we prefer analyzing the overall pattern in its’ entirety and providing the best forecast we can, using forecast model data as guidance, but not the “be all end all.” Are our forecasts from agenda-driven ideas or wish casting? Negative. While most play nice, there are some folks who try and stir up drama at times. Simply put, nobody has time for that. Please find a way to maximize your time in a more constructive manner.
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Now, let’s get back to digging into the data…
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