We hope this finds you coming off an enjoyable Independence Day with friends and family! As we look at the snap shot of the opening to July we see that we’re off to a cool start.
The ground is still very wet across the Plains and extending northeast to encompass the Ohio Valley and lower Lakes region.
Taken at face value one would forecast the core of the July heat to be along the west coast, particularly northwest region with the cooler anomalies in the Plains and Ohio Valley region.
The CFSv2 from June was locking into that very look.
In case you missed our July Outlook, this is a high level overview of our forecast predominant upper air pattern.
When we look at the shorter term we still forecast two more picture-perfect days today and Monday before storms return. This morning’s visible satellite highlights what will be another day of plentiful sunshine for our region, after a few high level clouds move out.
High pressure will continue to dominate our region before giving way to an approaching cold front Tuesday. This frontal boundary will deliver unsettled times mid week and we still forecast an increase in shower and thunderstorm coverage beginning Tuesday.
Forecast models handle the weekend differently as of this post. The GFS attempts to dry us out while the European model keeps things wet and stormy. We’ll fine tune things over the coming days. In the meantime, enjoy your holiday weekend and this nice weather!