As we look to crank up the heat into the 2nd half of August, there’s growing confidence we may also add wetter times into the regime.
The most recent Drought Monitor Update shows ‘abnormal’ dryness extending through the majority of the state. While we await another update this morning (8a eastern), it’s likely to include more of central Indiana that missed out on beneficial rainfall over the past week.
With that said, there’s growing reason to believe that an increasingly moist southerly flow will not only produce better chances of rain to close the work week and head into the weekend, but longer term as well (into the Weeks 2-3 time period).
Note how the NEW JMA Weeklies are much wetter across our region not only in the more immediate term, but into the Weeks 3-4 time period, as well:
The GEFS is also showing the flip to wetter times:
A lot of this likely has to do with the modeling seeing the impact of a Bermuda High that will help assist in steering Gulf moisture northward through the 2nd half of the month. Additionally, a fairly active storm track is expected (especially for this time of year) to our northwest and this will result in more frequent opportunities for rainfall across not only central Indiana, but a large chunk of the Ohio Valley, as a whole.