Updated 03.05.23 @ 5:08p
I. If you can, be sure to spend some time outside this afternoon or Monday. Highs into the 50s this afternoon will be replaced with mid to upper 60s across central IN Monday afternoon. While shower chances will return across northern parts of the state Monday morning, most of the day should be dry, locally. A few showers could sneak in here tomorrow evening (shown below) but not before what should otherwise be an unseasonably pleasant open to the work week.
II. A colder airmass will settle south into the region for midweek. We’re talking about lows falling back below freezing and highs in the 40s with a gusty northerly breeze at times, but we should stay on the dry side.
III. Our next system of significance is slated to impact the area as we close out the work week. Models are struggling mightily with respect on how they handle upper level energy transferring to the east coast. As such, operational guidance ranges anywhere from more of a “white to wet” solution in the Thursday evening and Friday time frame. We still have time to watch things unfold but the initial thought is that this won’t be a big deal from a wintry perspective, locally. At this point, I’m not even confident enough to say this will be a heavy precipitation producer, but can see a scenario where that changes should the energy phase a little sooner. Stay tuned, but as of now, it appears as if the pattern will be too progressive to allow this to become a big event for our immediate region.
IV. Another system appears likely to open up early next week, but similar to our late week system, there are more questions than answers at this distance. While confidence remains high on a continued active pattern and one that also turns progressively colder (compared to normal), the all-important specific details are up for great debate.