Apr 14
April so far has run much warmer than normal across our region, and a large part of the country. However, a rather significant shift in the pattern will take…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/cooler-times-ahead/
Apr 13
A thin line of showers and thunderstorms will push through central Indiana around lunchtime through the early afternoon hours. The HRRR (top) is much less aggressive than the high resolution…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/line-of-showers-and-t-storms-early-this-afternoon/
Apr 12
Wrapping Up The Weekend On A Nice Note…Look for lots of sunshine to start the day before mid and high level cloudiness slowly increase during the second half of the day. It’ll be a warm afternoon as highs approach 70 degrees.
Moisture will increase ahead of a cold front that will sweep through central Indiana Monday afternoon/ evening. Some of the shorter term forecast models are hinting at a thin line of thunderstorms preceding the frontal passage Monday afternoon.
We’re back to dry and pleasant conditions Tuesday and Wednesday, but the dry times won’t last. A rather unsettled pattern appears to lie ahead late week and heading into next weekend. There’s considerable inconsistencies with run to run output from our computer models, so the forecast confidence during the aforementioned period is lower than normal. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/nice-close-to-the-weekend/
Apr 11
Well Deserved Sunshine…After a week of storms and rain, this forecast should be music to the ears of most Hoosiers. We forecast both today and Sunday to offer up plentiful sunshine and very pleasant temperatures. Get out there and enjoy it!
Moisture increases Monday and we’ll introduce showers into the forecast as a southerly flow takes hold in advance of a weak cold front.
Mid week should feature drier conditions before a stronger storm system provides a wet end to the week, complete with thunderstorms Thursday and cooler, more showery weather Friday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sun-filled-weekend-rain-returns-monday/
Apr 09
After a warm open to April, we note the MJO is heading into Phase 2 in the medium range. Phase 2 this time of year would imply for a cooler than normal pattern.
Sure enough we see the modeling going towards the cooler look for Week 2 (around 4/17…give or take a day, or two).
Note the GFS ensembles reverse course towards a cooler regime after the warm period currently.
The European ensembles (left) show a tendency for eastern troughiness, as well.
This isn’t saying some sort of record-smashing cold pattern is coming or anything of that sort, but it is to say that after a warm open to April, we’ll reverse things for a few days, at least, during the medium range period. This could include a push of frost and freeze conditions, as well.
In the shorter-term, please remain weather aware tonight and keep close tabs on watches and warnings issued by the National Weather Service. Thunderstorms should push into central Indiana around midnight and will be capable of severe levels, including damaging hail, destructive straight line winds, and quick spin-up tornadoes.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/cooler-pattern-developing-week-2/
