Long Duration Snow Shower Event; Hope You Like Winter…

Screen Shot 2016-02-07 at 2.17.06 PMHighlights:

  • Long duration snow shower event
  • Heavier snow squalls possible Monday night-Tuesday morning
  • Another push of snow late week
  • Bigger winter storm potential at the end of the period

Long Duration Snow Shower Event…A cold front will move through the area late tonight and may be accompanied by a shower or sprinkle as it moves through the region.  Colder air will filter in behind the boundary after midnight and snow showers will begin to blossom Monday morning. This will be the beginning of a solid 48-60 hours of snow falling across most of central IN.  We think heavier snow bursts and embedded squalls are a good bet Monday night into Tuesday morning as the true arctic air begins to push into the area.  With so much upper level energy around, snow showers will continue into Wednesday.

As far as accumulation goes, we think the majority of central Indiana will accumulate 2″-3″ during the early week event, but this won’t be a uniform snow at all (there will be “haves” and “have nots”).  Locally, there will also be a few 4″ reports.

Though timing is a challenge in this fast, active northwest flow, we think we’ll be dry and cold Thursday before snow returns to close the work week as another disturbance and reinforcing arctic air move south.

Well below normal cold remains entrenched across the region for Valentine’s weekend, and we note wintry “fun and games” brewing to our west Saturday night into Sunday.  We’ll forecast a lowering and thickening cloud deck here Sunday with snow developing during the afternoon and evening. Early indications continue to suggest this could be a storm of “importance” around these parts…  Stay tuned.

Series Of Upper Disturbances Bring Snow…

The relatively quiet and mild time of things this weekend will quickly give way to the promised return of winter next week.  An arctic cold front will sweep through the state late Sunday and set things in motion that will keep the weather feeling, and looking, very wintry around these parts over the upcoming week.

As we’ve discussed, models will struggle with handling the local impacts of multiple upper air disturbances that will race southeast in the fast northwest flow aloft.  We think Monday-Tuesday offer up the best chances of accumulating snow in the near term.  The upper energy will be able to maximize snow production around these parts and this looks like a 1″-3″ type event, with local amounts to 4″.  Winds will be quite gusty and blowing and drifting will be an issue, particularly in the open country.

Monday evening
Monday evening
Tuesday evening
Tuesday evening

Another vigorous disturbance will race southeast Thursday afternoon.  While the Canadian shows the bulk of the energy to our north, it would be close enough to ignite snow showers around here, as well.  Expect small changes with timing and track as we get closer.

ThursdayNight
Thursday evening

Longer term, we also keep close eyes on next weekend.  The pattern is one that should promote a significant widespread winter storm.  The devil is in the details and we still have a ways to go, but the pattern set-up is one that screams an Ohio Valley winter storm threat from this distance.

Giddy up! 🙂

European Ensemble Valentine's Day. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com
European Ensemble Valentine’s Day. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com
European Ensemble Monday, Feb. 15th. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com
European Ensemble Monday, Feb. 15th. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com

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Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…

Screen Shot 2016-02-04 at 9.31.11 PMHighlights:

  • Nice close to the work week
  • Enjoy a mild weekend
  • Much colder next week with snow

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…Weak ridging will be with us as we close out the work week.  This will supply a very nice Friday, after some freezing fog concerns in spots early.

The upcoming weekend will feature a weak weather maker scooting through here Saturday and that could have just enough “umph” to produce a flurry or sprinkle. Otherwise, look for mild weather for Super Bowl weekend. Enjoy it!

A cold front will push through the region late Sunday. A band of moisture will likely accompany this front- rain to snow type deal.  As we move into early and mid next week, the weather pattern will be dominated by strong western ridging and a significant eastern trough.  Models will likely continue to struggle handling the specifics concerning timing and strength with the individual disturbances and we’ll have to keep a close eye on early to mid next week moving forward.  As it stands now, we think most widespread snow showers/ squalls come Monday into Tuesday.