Jun 17

Tropical Feel; Stormy Later Tonight…

Highlights:

  • Strong storms late tonight
  • Turning cooler and less humid
  • Unsettled pattern back half of next week

Storms Rumble In Late Tonight…Most of the daytime today will be dry and hot.  High humidity will also be with us and will help boost heat indices into the middle 90s.  Take it easy outdoors today.

We’ll have to keep a close eye on radar trends upstream tonight as a complex of thunderstorms is expected to erupt to our northwest this evening.  This storm complex will track southeast and begin impacting Indiana by late-evening (thinking around 11p, or so, across northwest portions of the state as of now).  As we push into the overnight, these storms will continue to settle southeast, including central Indiana.  A couple of these storms may be strong and with such high moisture content, locally heavy rainfall is, once again, a good bet.

A couple of showers or thunderstorms will be with us Father’s Day, but outdoor plans shouldn’t be cancelled, as most of the day appears to be dry.  It’ll be a cooler day and less humid air will filter into the state Sunday night.  This will produce a glorious open to the work week!

Unsettled weather will return by the middle and latter portions of next week, along with a briefly warmer and more humid feel.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″ 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tropical-feel-stormy-later-tonight/

Jun 15

JMA Weeklies: Heat Relief Coming And An Active Pattern As We Get Into July…

The new JMA Weeklies are in and highlighted by the following:

  • Heat relief on the way through Week 1
  • Core of heat, relative to normal, backs west through the period
  • Active NW flow regime to open July

Week 1:  

The JMA Weeklies really try to emphasize the “transient” nature of the pattern and associated dry, hot weather some folks were becoming concerned about only a couple of days ago.  Week 1 is highlighted by a much wetter regime through the Ohio Valley and most of the East.  As the ridge pulls back west, a cooler regime returns to our region, while the Southwest bakes with anomalously hot weather.

Week 2:  

The pattern favors wetter than normal conditions across the upper Mid West, including Great Lakes.  The mean upper ridge is forecast to remain out west.  Fittingly, the warmest temperatures, relative to average, will be confined to the west.

Weeks 3-4:  

As we push into July, the upper pattern sets-up in a manner that will require us to keep a very close eye on storm potential.  With a northwest flow aloft, we’ll have to be mindful of the potential of storm clusters impacting the region- tracking northwest to southeast.  Through the balance of the period, the hottest weather should remain to our west, relative to normal.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/jma-weeklies-heat-relief-coming-and-an-active-pattern-as-we-get-into-july/

Jun 14

Another Stormy Day Ahead…

The Storm Prediction Center includes the northwestern portions of the state in a Slight Risk of severe weather later this afternoon and evening.  Given the overall set-up and morning trends from data, it wouldn’t surprise us if this threat expands further southeast in future updates later today from the SPC.

Similar to Tuesday, any storms that develop will be capable of locally heavy rain and flash flooding.  While storms should move in a quicker fashion today, precipitable water values (PWATs) remain downright tropical and will exceed 2″ later this afternoon.

Overall storm coverage should become more widespread as we push into the afternoon and evening hours.  Here’s what the radar may look like during the 4p, 6p, and 10p time frames:

From a severe perspective, the biggest concern is damaging straight line winds with stronger storms.  Remain weather-aware later today, friends!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/another-stormy-day-ahead/

Jun 13

“Soupy” Now, But Changes Loom…

Highlights:

  • Scattered storms remain
  • Oppressive feel
  • Cooler times next week

Locally Heavy Storms…We’ll remain locked into a very warm and moist air mass through the remainder of the week, but there’s light at the end of the tunnel.  If you’re not a fan of the hot, humid weather, hang in there; next week will offer up a much different feel!

Before we discuss the cooler times that loom next week we still have to face several days of muggy weather and daily scattered storms.  With such a “soupy” air mass in place (precipitable water exceeding 2″), any storms will be capable of producing torrential downpours.  Similar to that of today, there will be “haves and have nots” over the next few days, but any storms that develop will have the potential of quickly pulsing to strong to severe levels and producing localized flash flooding.

Once to Sunday, a cold front will sweep through the state and finally wash all of the warm and humid air off to the southeast.  While scattered storms will remain in our forecast through the weekend, a drier and cooler air mass will arrive on the scene early next week.  Hang in there, friends!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″ (locally heavier totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/soupy-now-but-changes-loom/

Jun 13

VIDEO: Hot, Humid Weather Gives Way To Better Storm Chances…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-hot-humid-weather-gives-way-to-better-storm-chances/