Mar 16

Note On Wednesday Night – Thursday Storms…

Updated 03.16.21 @ 6:38p

Most of our St. Patrick’s Day should be dry with temperatures returning to above normal levels (around 60° for the majority of central Indiana neighborhoods). There will be a “squeeze play” of sorts that develops Wednesday night into Thursday morning that will keep downstate in the running for a couple of strong thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction Center continues to include southern Indiana in the marginal or slight risk category.

The greatest threat from stronger storms across southern Indiana should come in the form of large hail, and we bracket the hours of 11p Wednesday to 5a Thursday for the worst of the weather with this particular storm system for downstate. For central Indiana, including Indianapolis, thunderstorms are also expected, but these will be elevated in nature and shouldn’t pose a severe threat with a much cooler, more stable air mass in place.

Note how the brief surge of milder air downstate is met with the pressing chill across northern and central IN Thursday morning. Eventually this colder air wins out across the region.

Before the drier, colder air wins out, another widespread soaking is expected- including 1″+ amounts for most of immediate central Indiana.

All of this unsettled weather will clear out of here for the weekend. We still expect high pressure to provide plentiful sunshine and increasingly warmer temperatures throughout. Gear up to find that perfect spot on your favorite patio and catch some March Madness!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/note-on-wednesday-night-thursday-storms/

Mar 16

VIDEO: Strong Storm Threat Downstate And A Gorgeous Weekend Awaits…

Updated 03.16.21 @ 8:23a

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Mar 15

VIDEO: Mixture Of Sleet And Freezing Rain This Morning Gives Way To Thunder Overnight…

Updated 03.15.21 @ 7:55a

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Mar 14

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 03.14.21 @ 10:26a

I. Tracking 2 coast-to-coast storms in the week ahead

II. Severe episodes begin to increase

Coldest anomalies will be centered over the deep snowpack across the Front Range. The Midwest and OHV region will run above to well above normal in the temperature department.
Well above normal precipitation will target the middle of the country, including into the Southeast.
We forecast between 1.25″ and 1.75″ for *most central IN rain gauges over the upcoming 7 days.
Each day this upcoming week will feature a threat of severe weather (including tornadoes), focused on the Plains and into the Southeast. That said, even into the OHV, a threat of stronger storms is present by midweek.
Widespread severe drought conditions persist across the 4-Corner region.

Forecast period: 03.14.21 through 03.21.21

An active week is in store for the region as a series of storm systems impacts the area. The first system will deliver widespread heavier precipitation (after today’s light, nuisance variety rain/ drizzle) late morning Monday into the afternoon hours. With just enough cold air in place, there’s the possibility this precipitation will mix with sleet and freezing rain from Indianapolis and points north briefly at the onset. That said, the wintry precipitation types won’t last long and things will quickly changeover to a plain ole rain by early to mid afternoon. Scattered showers and a possible embedded storm will continue Tuesday as the surface low moves through the Ohio Valley.

Storm #2 quickly follows for St. Patrick’s Day. While we still have some time to fine tune things, I’d suggest keeping an eye on Wednesday afternoon for the possibility of stronger storm potential as far north as central IN and more of the Ohio Valley as a whole. The ingredients aren’t the best, but there seems to be just enough warmth and instability to at least warrant a close eye for this time period. We’ll do just that and update our products accordingly.

Quieter weather will build into the area by the weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-23/

Mar 13

VIDEO: Week Opens With A Messy System And We Eye Storm Potential By St. Patrick’s Day…

Updated 03.13.21 @ 9:24a

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