Winter has been on hold over the past few weeks, and there’s really nothing that looks to shake that up anytime soon (at least through the upcoming 10-14 days).
The new JMA Weeklies are in this morning and they continue to highlight the mild times:
Week 1
Week 2
Weeks 3-4
This is a rather dramatic reversal from what this particular model was saying only last week- when it was bringing winter back with authority by Week 2 on. One could easily argue that even out to the Weeks 3-4 time frame that this certainly isn’t an ideal look for “stick and hold” cold to eventually push into the East.
There is a lot going on “behind the scenes” right now and this isn’t us saying winter’s over before it really even began, but it continues to look more and more likely that any sort of sustained cold and potentially snowy times will have to remain on hold until potentially late month. The roaring PAC jet will likely continue to have it’s say until then…
(More later tonight on some of the items that argue for winter to get going as we progress into late January and beyond).