Category: Windy

Very Busy Winter Pattern…

First and foremost tonight, our thoughts and prayers are with the Smith family.  It’s comforting to know that Andrew is now in heaven and the pain and suffering is no…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/12/very-busy-winter-pattern/

Snowy Now; Wind & Bitter Cold Await…

A morning winter storm update shows things going along as planned this morning as the region deal with another snow maker in just over three days. Heavy snow bursts are…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/12/snowy-now-wind-bitter-cold-await/

Snowy Morning Commute…

Our high resolution data concentrates a period of moderate to heavy snow bracketed between 5a-8a Tuesday. * Localized intense bands of snow will likely be embedded and may lead to…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/12/snowy-morning-commute/

Intense Snow Bursts Arrive Tonight…

Quiet time will be short-lived as a new winter storm system begins to impact the region as early as tonight, continuing into Tuesday. The Set-Up: An arctic cold front and…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/11/intense-snow-bursts-arrive-tonight/

Active Winter Pattern…

Screen Shot 2016-01-10 at 9.05.51 AMHighlights:

  • Arctic air takes control
  • Snow bursts overnight Monday-Tuesday
  • Late week winter storm brewing?

Bitter Feel; Gearing Up For More Snow…Saturday night’s storm system “split” into two and took one swath of snow across far NW IN while a second (more widespread) area of snow was laid down across central IN.  Reports into the forecast office this morning indicate 2″-3″ are common across central IN, with a couple 4″ reports.  Thank you for all of the snow reports and photos!

While the snow has stopped, we’ll deal with bitterly cold air and blowing snow the rest of the day.  Bundle up and take it slow as you venture out.  Temperatures will continue to fall into the teens and wind chill values will fall into the single digits to around zero.

Dry and cold conditions will be with us as we open the new work week, but our next weather maker will blow into town late Monday night and Tuesday morning.  We still think intense snow bursts will accompany arctic reinforcements that will send temperatures below zero for some Wednesday morning.  It won’t take a lot of moisture to “fluff up” 1″-3″ Tuesday morning.  Couple that with gusty winds and falling temperatures and things will likely be messy on area roadways.

Looking ahead, a weak weather system will skirt the area to our north Thursday and could offer up a scattered snow shower, but it’s as we look towards next weekend that things become “more interesting.”  Model specifics disagree at this time, but the overall pattern is one that’s conducive to lead to a fairly widespread interior winter storm threat.  We’ll have to sort through the details as we go through the week.  Stay tuned.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/10/active-winter-pattern/

Hope You Like Winter…

Screen Shot 2016-01-09 at 7.20.28 AMHighlights:

  • Rain changes to snow
  • Much colder and windy
  • Quick-hitting intense snow squalls
  • Arctic air

Rain To Snow Late Tonight…Most of today will be mild, but big changes will take place tonight as cold air whips around an area of low pressure that will deliver rain, especially the second half of the day.  With the colder air moving in, rain will change to snow overnight and stick in spots.  Timing the changeover is key in obviously determining snow amounts, but after looking over morning data, we feel as good as we can about our initial snowfall map issued last night.  Additional fine tuning may be required later today, and bust potential remains high.

1stCallSnowfallMap11016The second half of the weekend will feature morning snow along with strong and gusty north winds.  It’ll be a harshly colder day (don’t let that high around freezing fool you, as that will take place around midnight).

Monday will dawn very cold, but dry, but the quiet times will be brief.  Clouds will increase late day and snow will develop Monday night into Tuesday morning.  Embedded heavy, quick-hitting, snow squalls will accompany arctic reinforcements Tuesday morning and set up a messy morning commute.

A third snow maker is possible Thursday and then our attention turns to next weekend for additional wintry “fun and games.”  Get the idea now that we’re in a drastically different pattern when compared to December?

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/09/hope-you-like-winter/

Strong Winds; More Heavy Rain…

Screen Shot 2015-12-28 at 7.38.21 AMHighlights:

  • Strong winds and flood threat continues
  • Weak mid week system
  • Much colder to open the New Year

Strong Winds And Flood Threat Remains…What an active morning across central IN!  Northeast winds are already gusting around 40 MPH with periods of heavy rain this morning.  Across our northern tier of counties (mainly north of a line from LAF to KOK) freezing rain and sleet is the issue this morning with temperatures below freezing.

Periods of heavy rain will continue today, and we also note the threat of embedded thunder (damaging wind risk) this evening, bracketed between the hours of 6p-8p.

Image below is courtesy of Weatherbell.com

StrongWindsTemperatures will remain cold and raw through most of the day before we see a late day rally briefly into the lower to middle 50s.  It’ll be another day with a tight temperature gradient across the state, as northern IN will struggle to make it much above freezing, while southern IN approaches the upper 60s this evening.

Midnight highs Tuesday can be expected before temperatures crash.

We’ll then set our eyes towards a weak wave of low pressure that looks to deliver a light mixed bag of precipitation Wednesday morning.  The freezing line will run through the central part of IN and a mixture of light snow and light rain can be expected.  MUCH colder air flows into the state behind this system and sets the stage for a cold open to 2016.

Image below is courtesy of Weatherbell.com

WednesdayForecast models continue to show an expected pattern shift to all-out sustained cold and wintry conditions for mid and late winter.  Note the W NA ridging developing.  Additionally, blocking and a negative AO develop as mid January nears.  Think this is the year without a winter?  Better think again, my friends.

Image below is courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

MidJan2016

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/12/28/strong-winds-more-heavy-rain/

What Season Is This? Active Pattern Develops…

Screen Shot 2015-12-07 at 7.31.39 AMHighlights:

  • AM fog gives way to sunshine
  • Another fast moving disturbance moves through Tuesday night-Wednesday
  • Major warmth
  • Stormy finish

A quick glance at the updated 7-day shows two things, a lack of cold air and a rather active time of things.  In the near term, it remains a relatively quiet period.  We’ll deal with morning fog in spots this morning (especially north-central IN) and another fast moving disturbance in the Tuesday night-Wednesday time frame.

The big story as we move into the back half of the week is the unseasonably warm regime that will have many asking “What season are we in?”  We’ll aim for the upper 50s Thursday, around 60 Friday, and upper 60s Saturday as a strong SW flow develops in advance of our next storm system

Warmth will reach it's peak Saturday. Source: Weatherbell

Warmth will reach it’s peak Saturday. Source: Weatherbell

While a scattered, fast moving, shower is possible Saturday, the big story will be the warmth and a gusty SW breeze.

Our storm system will grow closer Sunday and we’ll ramp up rain and storm chances accordingly during that period.  Our two most trusted global models handle things differently as we progress into the Sunday-Monday time frame (strength, track, and timing), and we’ll need to continue to fine tune that particular period as we move forward.  As it stands now we’ll forecast rain and thunderstorms to become widespread Sunday before colder air arrives on the backside of the storm. Stay tuned.

SundayMap

MondayMap

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/12/07/what-season-is-this-active-pattern-develops/

Major Warmth Ahead Of Storm Next Weekend…

The near term period is about as quiet as you’ll get it this time of year so that gives us an opportunity to search for the next “trouble maker.”  Out…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/12/06/major-warmth-ahead-of-storm-next-weekend/

Rain Moving In Late Thanksgiving…

First, I apologize for the lack of posts today. I had my first (and hopefully only) encounter with food poison yesterday evening and it’s taken most of the day to…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/11/23/rain-moving-in-late-thanksgiving/

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