Category: Windy
Highlights:
- AM showers then cooler and windy
- Stormy weekend ahead
- Cooler next week
Busy Times In The Weather Office…A cold front will sweep through the state this morning with lingering showers and an abrupt wind shift. Gusty westerly winds and cooler air (we’ve already seen our high for the day) will be with us this afternoon, along with a variably cloudy sky.
Unfortunately, we don’t have many changes to the ongoing idea of hefty weekend rains. A warm front will begin to slowly lift north Friday into Saturday and this will be the focal point for heavy rain and thunderstorms. Overall coverage and intensity of rain and thunderstorms will increase as we rumble through the second half of Friday. A couple of storms could be strong to severe- especially across southern Indiana Friday afternoon and night.
The aforementioned warm front will lift north and be located across the southern Great Lakes region Sunday. This will put our neck of the woods squarely into the warm and humid air mass Sunday. Though storm coverage will likely be more scattered in nature when compared to Saturday, heavy thunderstorms will develop, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. With a deep-rooted tropical connection along with saturated soils in place from early weekend rains, flood and flash flood potential will be high as we go into early portions of next week.
As we open up the work week, we’ll shift gears from a moisture-rich southerly flow to one that’s out of the northwest and much cooler. Showers will continue through Monday. Our next storm system will then set it’s eyes on the region by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.50″ – 3.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/27/busy-weather-pattern/
-
Filed under Flooding, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos, Windy
-
April 26, 2017
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/26/video-stormy-wednesday-evening-for-some-weekend-flood-threat/
Highlights:
- Unsettled times ahead
- Weekend heavy rain
- Much cooler and windy early next week
Enjoy The Dry Time While You Can…While most of Wednesday will remain rain-free, we do note the potential of a diminishing line of thunderstorms that could impact portions of far northwest sections of the state Wednesday morning. As mentioned, these should diminish relatively quickly and give way to a mostly dry day. A cold front will approach the state Wednesday night into Thursday morning and result in more widespread showers and thunderstorms during that time. Briefly drier air will arrive Thursday evening into Friday and we should wrap up the work week mainly dry.
We’ll take whatever dry weather we can get as the weekend still looks wet and stormy. We discussed the weekend setup this morning and thoughts haven’t changed a bit. Today’s model data continues to suggest we’re looking at periods of heavy rainfall with widespread weekend totals of 2″-3″ (locally heavier amounts possible). Of the two days, Saturday appears to offer up the most widespread rains, but we caution that the scattered showers and thunderstorms that develop Sunday will have the potential of depositing hefty totals in relative short order. Due to the projected steering currents, we’re also concerned for the possibility of “training” of heavy rain and that would quickly create a flash flood concern in localized areas. Stay tuned. Another item of interest is the possibility of “bust potential” with regard to the temperature forecast Saturday. Latest modeling wants to keep the warm front just south of the immediate region for most of the day now and, as such, we’ve trended cooler with Saturday’s temperatures before that warm southwesterly air flow wins out Sunday.
The warmth won’t last long as we quickly transition to a cooler west and northwest regime to open the work week. Along with the much cooler air, scattered showers and strong and gusty winds will be with us. We’ll finally begin to calm down with a very pleasant Tuesday expected.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 3.00″ – 4.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/25/dry-time-is-limited/
Highlights:
- Showers south today
- Unseasonably cool and blustery
- Increasing sunshine Sunday
- Midweek storms
Jackets Required Today, But Improving Weather Tomorrow…A stiff northeast wind is “eating away” at the northern extent of rain today. Steadiest rains will fall across the southern third of the state, but a couple of showers may make it as far north as Indianapolis later this afternoon. The bigger story will easily be the brisk northeast flow and unseasonably chilly air. In fact, we’re waking up to wind chills in the 30s this morning. Jackets are required today.
Drier air arrives on the scene tonight and clouds will decrease overnight, paving way for a beautiful Sunday. Expect plentiful sunshine and moderating temperatures. Dry and pleasant weather continues into midweek before an approaching cold front delivers our next chance of thunderstorms Wednesday evening.
Another fast-moving weather maker will deliver thunderstorm chances to close the work week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/22/chilly-saturday-gives-way-to-improving-weather-sunday/
We’ll wrap the work week up with filtered morning sunshine, but clouds will quickly lower and thicken as the day progresses and give way to showers later tonight.
It’ll be a much cooler day today (temperatures are running close to 20° cooler than this time Thursday morning) with highs only topping out around 60 for the city, itself, and only into the mid to upper 50s across north-central Indiana.
More widespread rain showers will move in overnight into Saturday. Heaviest rain will fall across the southern half of the state (1″-2″ possible). Factor in a strong and gusty easterly wind, temperatures only in the 40s for much of the day, and periods of rain and you have the makings for a downright “raw” Saturday.
The good news here is that we still think things dry out for the second half of the weekend. The last round of showers should pull off to the east Saturday night and pave way for a dry Sunday, including increasing sunshine as morning gives way to afternoon.
With the increasing sunshine Sunday, temperatures will respond closer to average highs in the middle 60s. After we spend most of Saturday in the 40s that sure will feel nice!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/21/jackets-required-cool-and-increasingly-wet-close-to-the-week/
Highlights:
- Strong storms possible Thursday afternoon
- Cooler close to the work week
- Raw Saturday
- Delightful open to next week
Thursday Rumbles…While storms have pressed through the northern portions of the state today, we’ve enjoyed a couple days of pleasant weather across most of central Indiana. That will come to an end Thursday as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms develop, especially during the afternoon into the evening hours. A few of these storms could become strong-to-severe, including damaging wind and large hail potential. The cold front will pass Thursday night and help usher in a briefly drier and much cooler air mass to close out the work week.
Our next storm system will pass south of the region Saturday and result in thickening and lowering clouds Friday evening, and showers Saturday. With a stiff east wind, showers at times, and temperatures well below average, we have the makings for a downright “raw” spring day Saturday. The second half of the weekend will easily be “the pick” as we return to drier air and increasing sunshine Sunday afternoon.
Early next week looks to get off to a pleasant start, including plentiful sunshine and moderating temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/19/thursday-storms-before-a-cooler-trend/
Central Indiana will undergo significant temperatures swings over the upcoming week. A southerly and southwesterly flow will push an unseasonably warm and moist airmass north to encompass all of the region as we progress through Wednesday and Thursday.
As a cold front slices into the summer-like warmth (highs will approach 80° Wednesday afternoon), scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop late Wednesday into Thursday.
We then will shift gears rather abruptly as we move through the latter portions of the work week and on into the weekend with well below normal chill. In fact, if current data comes to fruition, most of the weekend will be spent in the 40s.
Factor in a stiff northeast wind and periods of rain, we have the makings for a downright “raw” weekend. We suggest having indoor activities planned this weekend as an extended period of damp, blustery, and unseasonably cool weather awaits.
We still have a few days to continue watching the data, but early indications suggest locally heavy rainfall is possible (1″-2″) across the region…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/17/major-temperature-swings-summer-like-mid-week-sweater-weather-this-weekend/
Highlights:
- Nice open to the week
- Midweek storms
- Wet, chilly weekend ahead
Pleasant Open To The Week…High pressure will slowly build into the Ohio Valley through early portions of the work week. Periods of clouds will be with us today before we clear things out in earnest tonight, resulting in a mostly sunny and beautiful Tuesday.
Our next storm system arrives Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning with scattered thunderstorms. With a southerly wind flow in place, a touch of humidity can also be expected Wednesday afternoon. A cold front will pass early Thursday and result in a much cooler close to the work week.
Attention then shifts to our next storm system that will, unfortunately, arrive on the scene this weekend. Clouds will overspread the region Saturday and rain will develop. Early indications suggest we’ll also need to hit the wind and unseasonably cool air, as well for the weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/17/increasing-early-week-sunshine-raw-weekend-ahead/
-
Filed under Easter, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weekly Outlook, Windy
-
April 9, 2017
The second half of the weekend will feature beautiful weather, albeit breezy conditions at times. Strong southwesterly winds will gust upwards of 40 MPH this afternoon, but also aid in pushing mid to upper 70s northward into central Indiana. Despite the strong winds, we still recommend finding a way to get outside and enjoy this weather!
Highs will run close to 15° above average this afternoon.
Stormy weather returns Monday as a frontal boundary slips into the state. A couple storms may become strong or severe Monday afternoon and the Storm Prediction Center highlights northwestern portions of the state for a Slight Risk. Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern with any severe storm that may develop.
High pressure returns for midweek and supplies a dry regime, along with increasing sunshine and temperatures that will run slightly above average (mid-40s at night and 65°-70° during the day).
There are questions once to the end of the period as the GFS and European handle the evolution of our late-week storm differently. The GFS brings energy out into the Ohio Valley and results in unsettled weather returning Friday, continuing into Easter weekend, while the European is slower. We’ll keep an eye on things over the next few days and update accordingly. The GFS suggests some localized heavier downpours would be possible in the Friday-Sunday period as the majority of the 7-day precipitation snapshot below falls within the timeframe.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/09/looking-at-the-week-ahead/
Highlights:
- Sun-filled weekend
- Sunday turns windy
- Storms arrive Monday evening
Sunscreen Required This Weekend…It’s not very often around these parts where we can dial-up two beautiful weekends in back-to-back fashion, but that’s exactly what we’ll do. High pressure will supply a gorgeous Saturday and Sunday, complete with plentiful sunshine. We’ll add 10° Sunday, but also throw in 30-40 MPH wind gusts, especially by afternoon. Get outside and enjoy this weather!
A weak frontal boundary will slip into the state Monday afternoon and will likely kick-up some thunderstorms as it pushes southeast Monday afternoon and evening. A strong thunderstorm, or two, can’t be ruled out. We’re back to dry weather midweek before unsettled weather returns to close out the work week. Looking ahead just beyond the current 7-Day would suggest a wet and stormy beginning Easter Sunday before a drier finish. Stay tuned as we still have time for things to change.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/08/cant-beat-this-weekend-weather/
