Category: Windy

Week Ahead: Cool Continues To Dominate…

A significant spring storm system will continue to grab headlines through the short-term. In addition to a raging blizzard across the northern tier into the Great Lakes, severe weather will be an issue across the deep South today.  Here on the home front, morning rain will give way to drier conditions for the afternoon and evening hours only to return yet again tonight and into Sunday morning.

At times, rain will fall at a moderate to heavy intensity tonight into Sunday, especially across the eastern half of the state.  Additional rainfall totals of 1″ to 2″ can be expected in and around the city, itself, and points east.

The other item of interest tonight will be the tight temperature gradient across the state.  Don’t be surprised by perhaps as much of a 30° spread from north to central parts of the state this evening as the “backdoor” cold front begins to drop south.  You’ll certainly notice once the front passes.

Eventually, cold will overwhelm and the second half of the weekend will wrap up on a downright “raw” note.  As precipitation wraps around the area of low pressure Sunday night and Monday, it’ll fall as snow here.  In fact, snowfall intensity is likely to be great enough to put down a coating in spots Monday morning across central Indiana.

Drier weather returns Tuesday before a weak weather system deliver gusty winds and a possible shower Wednesday (not a big deal).  The majority of the upcoming week will run well below average- highlighted by the coldest day on Monday and reinforcing chill Thursday and Friday.

Our next storm system of significance will be slated for an arrival next weekend. While we’ll have to fine tune timing as we get closer, plan on increasing rain chances as the day progresses next Saturday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/14/week-ahead-cool-continues-to-dominate/

VIDEO: Spring-like Warmth (Finally) Ahead Of A Weekend Storm…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/11/video-spring-like-warmth-finally-ahead-of-a-weekend-storm/

VIDEO: Weekend Ends With More April Snow…

The weekend will end with more April snow. As we look ahead deeper into next week, a transient, but significant, push of warmth will arrive Thursday and Friday.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/07/video-weekend-ends-with-more-april-snow/

VIDEO: Gusty Winds & Showers This Afternoon; Accumulating Snow For Easter…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/31/video-gusty-winds-accumulating-snow-for-easter/

Settling In From The Road: Quick Review Of Latest Thoughts…

I apologize for not having an update out sooner, but have been on the road all day and just getting settled in.  With that said, I’ve been keeping up-to-date with the latest model data and really have no significant changes to our ongoing snowfall forecast:

Latest highlights:

  • A cold rain will overspread the state during the overnight
  • Expect rain to change to wet snow during the pre-dawn hours for Indianapolis and surrounding areas
  • Heavy wet snow will continue through the morning and afternoon and where heaviest bands set up, snowfall rates of 1″+ per hour can be anticipated
  • Winds will gust to 30 MPH+ into the evening hours Saturday
  • Snow will diminish from northwest to southeast Saturday evening
  • As we always say, late March snow events always bring surprises and while bust potential is present (both on the high and low side on the going forecast), this is our best idea and it’ll be fun to watch things unfold.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/23/settling-in-from-the-road-quick-review-of-latest-thoughts/

Winter Storm Impacts Central Indiana Saturday…

Today is the proverbial “calm before the storm” as sunny skies give way to increasingly cloudy conditions during the afternoon and evening.  We remain dry today and pleasant, too, with highs around 50 across most central Indiana reporting sites.

Things will begin to change rather quickly during the overnight as rain builds into the state from northwest to southeast, especially after midnight.  As we move through the predawn hours (5a to 7a time frame) we expect rain to transition to wet heavy snow across central parts of the state, including Indianapolis.

The culprit?  Surface low pressure tracking off the lee of the Rockies (today) into the Missouri boot heel (Saturday evening).  Add in a blocking high to the north and this will help provide the cold needed to lead to our winter storm.  From an overall pattern perspective, this “blocky” regime is really what’s been missing for the better part of the past few years as we’ve written in previous posts.  It’s no coincidence that with the blocky regime, central parts of the state are in line for the biggest winter storm in years.  Also of interest is the correlation between late winter blocking patterns and what the next winter can provide, along with other items (another story for another day), but there’s reason to believe we may be on the cusp of returning to winters featuring more snow in the coming 2-3 years.

Back to the present:

Our snowfall forecast includes a widespread swath of 4″ to 8″ amounts through the heart of the state.

We remain very impressed with the prospects of banding which could include snowfall rates of 1″ to 2″ per hour Saturday morning into the afternoon hours.  With such snowfall intensity, even marginally cold surface/ pavement temperatures will allow for slick and hazardous travel across many central Indiana communities Saturday.  Additionally, within localized heavier bands, don’t be surprised for a report or two of thundersnow across central Indiana.  Please share your reports with us as things unfold tomorrow!  Finally, an icy mixture of sleet and freezing rain will also mix with the snow at times along the southern periphery.

Forecast radar 11a Saturday

Snow should begin to diminish in overall coverage and intensity by Saturday evening- from northwest to southeast.  By that point in time, we’re left with the clean up duties from what will likely be the heaviest snow in a few years for some of us.  The other item to touch on: gusty winds as we still expect 30 MPH + gusts during the day Saturday.

With all of that said, let’s remember March snow events always offer “surprises-” no matter how much we try to eliminate those surprises.  There will be winners and losers with this event in the snow department.

Forecast radar 7p Saturday.

Sunday will feature a return of dry conditions, as well as a return of the sunshine!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/23/winter-storm-impacts-central-indiana-saturday/

VIDEO: Latest Thoughts On Friday Night & Saturday…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/22/video-latest-thoughts-on-friday-night-saturday/

Significant Weekend Winter Storm…

A significant winter storm will impact the heart of the state Friday night into Saturday evening.  The National Weather Service has already hoisted Winter Storm Watches, and for good reason, as significant impacts are expected from this system, including in and around the Indianapolis area.

An area of low pressure will track off the lee of the Rockies Friday morning, central Plains Friday afternoon, and southeastern Illinois Saturday morning.  A tight thermal gradient will result in temperatures into the lower 70s just to the south of the track, while areas north of the low remain around freezing, including central Indiana.  This gradient will also support banding features and incredibly heavy snowfall rates late Friday night and Saturday within the heavy snow zone.  Snowfall rates of 1″ to 2″ per hour are possible, leading to very difficult travel Saturday, and total accumulations in the range of 6″ to 10″.  Add in a gusty wind over 30 MPH and you have the makings for a day that’s best served off the roads and indoors Saturday.

Just south of where the heaviest band of snow sets up, a period of sleet and freezing rain is also possible before a cold rain falls far downstate.  Precipitation will end from northwest to southeast Saturday night and the weekend will wrap up dry Sunday- when the heart of the state will be digging out from a significant snow event.  We’ll continue to keep a close eye on things.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/22/significant-weekend-winter-storm/

Close Attention Warranted Friday Night-Saturday…

Just a quick update concerning some of our latest thinking around the next winter storm threat Friday night & Saturday. We’ll have a full update later this evening.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/21/close-attention-warranted-friday-night-saturday/

Sun-filled Weekend; Colder Next Week…

High pressure is building in and will supply a gorgeous early-March weekend.  Look for plentiful sunshine.  Gusty winds this morning will begin to diminish as we rumble into the weekend.  While a bit chilly today, that increasingly powerful early-March sun angle will have things feeling mighty nice over the weekend.  We suggest finding a patio and enjoying!

Our next storm system will arrive Monday.  Clouds will increase overnight and showers (mostly light) will arrive on the scene during the day.  Rainfall amounts aren’t expected to be significant this go around (in general, 0.25″ to 0.40″ for most).  Winds will turn strong and gusty during the day Monday, continuing Tuesday and Wednesday.

Colder air will get pulled into the Ohio Valley Tuesday evening and as upper level energy moves overhead, mixed rain and snow showers will develop Tuesday night through Thursday morning.

By next Thursday morning, widespread lows in the 20s can be expected.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/02/sun-filled-weekend-colder-next-week/

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