Highlights:
- Showers with falling temperatures today
- Rain and snow showers Thursday
- Cold close to the work week
- Windy weekend warm-up comes with showers
Downward Trend…Showers will increase in coverage this afternoon and evening as temperatures fall into the 40s (this afternoon) and 30s (this evening). Certainly plan to carry the jacket with you to work and school as you’ll need it on the way home this evening.
Our next weather maker will be a fast-moving clipper system that will arrive Thursday afternoon. Gusty showers will blow through central Indiana through the afternoon and evening hours before transitioning to snow showers and embedded heavier squalls (capable of a quick coating where the heavier squalls occur). A dry, but cold close to the work week is ahead with highs Friday only in the middle 30s.
Just as quickly as the cold air hits, it’ll leave this weekend as a windy warm-up develops. A flurry or sprinkle is possible Saturday as the warm front lifts north and then showers will increase in coverage, along with a strengthening southwest wind (gusts of 40 MPH +) Sunday.
A strong cold front looks to blow through the region Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms a good bet Monday night into Tuesday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Dusting
- Rainfall:1.00″-1.50″
This morning’s showers and thunderstorms were the first of (3) rounds of storms expected today. Ironically, most of the daytime hours should be rain and storm-free. We’ll note scattered showers and thunderstorms across northern portions of the state this afternoon, as a warm front continues to lift north.
Finally, our severe weather threat will come to an end with the passage of a squall line during the pre-dawn hours Wednesday morning. The biggest threat with this line of storms will be damaging wind, but a quick spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out either.
With the majority of this event occurring when most are sleeping, please have a way to get the latest information on watches and warnings that are sure to come tonight. We highly encourage everyone to have a weather radio, and be sure to set the alert mode to “on” before bedtime tonight.
This warmer regime is the sign of stormy times that will develop as we move into Tuesday. An initial round of showers and thunderstorms will impact central Indiana Tuesday morning and the HRRR forecast radar is picking up on this nicely, especially during the predawn hours.
The wet, stormy start to the day will give way to a mostly dry time of things through the majority of the daylight hours Tuesday, but our concentration will be on the Tuesday night-Wednesday morning period, as the potential exists for some rather turbulent weather.
Modeled radar suggests things may begin to get “busy” around these parts late evening and during the overnight. The latest high resolution NAM (hot off the press as of this update) paints a rather ominous look as midnight nears Wednesday morning.
We then note modeling bringing the squall line through central Indiana during the overnight and predawn hours. We’ll have to fine tune timing as we move through the day Tuesday, but we bracket the hours of 2a and 6a when a concentrated line of strong to severe storms rumbles through the state (northwest to southeast). Hail and damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern, but a quick spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out.
Our weather will turn quieter, but colder, as Wednesday progresses into Wednesday evening, including blustery conditions with falling temperatures.
That said, the chilly late week conditions won’t last long, and a gusty southwesterly air flow will develop as early as Saturday. This will help give temperatures a significant boost Saturday afternoon after a cold start to the day. 60° is possible Saturday afternoon and the mercury may approach 70° Sunday!
Highlights: