Christmas Eve Storm Ideas…

We wanted to dive into some of the various ensemble data for this evening’s video.  While we’re very confident on a significant storm brewing Christmas Eve, we’re much less confident…

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Monday Evening Video Brief

Additional showers will rotate through central Indiana during the overnight, followed by a colder mid week stretch.  All eyes remain on the weekend for an impactful winter weather event across…

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Another Bout Of Rush Hour Wintry Mix; Longer Range Talk…

We think we’re dealing with another round of light freezing drizzle and a wintry mix for the Thursday morning commute.  Plan to allow extra travel time.

Forecast radar Thursday morning suggests freezing drizzle and a light wintry mix is in play across central Indiana.
Forecast radar Thursday morning suggests freezing drizzle and a light wintry mix is in play across central Indiana.

There’s some longer term data that’s in stark contrast from what a positive PNA should produce (yet alone a strong positive PNA).  Typical positive PNA pattern should promote an eastern trough and associated colder than normal pattern as drawn below:

PositivePNA

Needless to say, we disagree strongly with the NAEFS and GFS ensembles:

2014120312_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_186

Regardless, the future will tell!  

Tuesday Evening Video Update

We cover rain chances later this week and some of the conflicting data that’s currently out there regarding amounts.  We’ll post a more extensive piece about the longer range later…

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