Christmas Eve Storm Ideas…

We wanted to dive into some of the various ensemble data for this evening’s video.  While we’re very confident on a significant storm brewing Christmas Eve, we’re much less confident…

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Monday Evening Video Brief

Additional showers will rotate through central Indiana during the overnight, followed by a colder mid week stretch.  All eyes remain on the weekend for an impactful winter weather event across…

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Another Bout Of Rush Hour Wintry Mix; Longer Range Talk…

We think we’re dealing with another round of light freezing drizzle and a wintry mix for the Thursday morning commute.  Plan to allow extra travel time.

Forecast radar Thursday morning suggests freezing drizzle and a light wintry mix is in play across central Indiana.
Forecast radar Thursday morning suggests freezing drizzle and a light wintry mix is in play across central Indiana.

There’s some longer term data that’s in stark contrast from what a positive PNA should produce (yet alone a strong positive PNA).  Typical positive PNA pattern should promote an eastern trough and associated colder than normal pattern as drawn below:

PositivePNA

Needless to say, we disagree strongly with the NAEFS and GFS ensembles:

2014120312_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_186

Regardless, the future will tell!