Dry Today; Windy And MUCH Colder Sunday…

Sat.	Sun.	Mon.	Tue.	Wed.	Thr.	Fri.

32/ 52	24/ 30	17/ 42	27/ 54	39/ 50	32/ 53	33/ 62
– – –	– – –	– – –	Light	– – –	– – –	– – –

Forecast Updated: 03.15.14 @ 8:53a

Nice Today; MUCH Colder Sunday. . .Today will easily be the pick of the weekend as mostly sunny skies dominate along with seasonable temperatures. Get outside and enjoy!

We continue to watch a southern storm system for the second half of the weekend and while model data trended north Thursday, the common theme most of Friday into this morning has been back south. As such, we’ll lean towards a less snowy forecast Sunday for central Indiana, but note if you have travel plans to the southern third of the state that accumulating snow and ice will greet you Sunday. Here across central Indiana look for a rather cloudy and MUCH colder day. In fact, temperatures won’t even make it to the freezing mark with a very strong east to northeast wind in play. Winds may gust as high as 35 MPH Sunday afternoon, making it feel like the single digits and teens.

Relatively Quiet Week. . .Modeling continues to struggle with the timing and strength of storm systems in the week ahead, but current thinking takes the storm track primarily north of our area next week, meaning less impact (from rain or snow chances) here. We caution that this can change and we’ll keep a close eye on things, but we’re trending our forecast towards a quieter one for now. The next system of note will be a fast moving low pressure area and associated cold front that will pass here Tuesday into Wednesday. A scattered shower and wind shift will occur with this system, but, as stated above, the majority of the more significant “weather” will lie to our north.

A brief warming trend to well above normal temperatures may carry us to close out the work week before the next systems eyes our area later next weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″

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I know many are saying thankfully we aren’t dealing with this kind of weather today. After a harsh winter, it’s always nice to see the sunshine and milder temperatures return. Today we take you back to a snowy Zionsville from February 17th. This shot was taken by Janet Baker. Thanks, Janet!

Bill McMillan March 15, 2014 No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, snow, Spring Tease, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Photos, Windy

70 Degree + Type Weather Coming?

While we remain in a overall colder than normal pattern, spring, obviously, has to get here one day, right?! The past week has seen an increase in spring at least “flirting” with the region for brief 24-36 hour time periods and this will continue over the upcoming week.

We remain concerned about a potential shot of well below normal cold to open April, but we thought it would be nice to talk about something pleasant for a change. 🙂 We’re keeping a close eye on next weekend, March 22nd and 23rd, for the potential first 70 degree + type day at IND this year.

The latest ensembles aren’t shying away from a significant, though transient, ridge building in during this time period.

Note the GFS showing the transient, though significantly, warmer than normal air that would likely occur in this type pattern. 70 degrees + would certainly be attainable.

See, we don’t just provide doom and gloom (though this past winter may seem that way) at IndyWx.com!

Bill McMillan March 13, 2014 No Comments Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Spring Tease, Unseasonably Warm

A Look At Where We’ve Been And Where We’re Going…

The region has been under the influence of a cold eastern trough month to date with a brief relaxation taking place presently. The frigid March start and anomalously cold east…

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Bill McMillan March 10, 2014 No Comments Arctic Cold, Canadian Model, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Saturday Morning Thoughts…

Good morning and happy Saturday! A weak weather system will move through the region and produce a couple of light showers this afternoon, but won’t be a big deal. Rain will end as a couple of snow flakes. Overall precipitation totals look less and less impressive with each model run, which wasn’t impressive to begin with. Needless to say, don’t be concerned by any sort of significant rain or snow today.

Latest simulated radar off the NAM and HRRR shows the band of light precipitation pushing through the state this afternoon.

While we’ll have a brief “set back” in the temperature department this weekend, early next week continues to look downright mild and very spring like. Note our region flirting with 60s. Impressively, a budding area of 70-degree warmth is expanding to our west.

Details remain quite sketchy in regards to nailing down the storm the middle of next week with any sort of confidence. While we’ll continue to sort through the data and gain a better understanding of things over the weekend, we’re confident on a colder regime returning by the middle of next week. Note the trough per the GFS ensembles returning to the east. Much more later!

Bill McMillan March 8, 2014 No Comments Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, NAM Model, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Beauty Of A Close To The Work Week…

Fri.	Sat.	Sun.	Mon.	Tue.	Wed.	Thr.

21/ 53	30/ 46	21/ 45	33/ 60	40/ 61	21/ 40	13/ 32
– – –	Light	– – –	– – –	– – –	Light	– – –

Forecast Updated 03.07.14 @ 7:30a

Get Outside & Enjoy…We’re going to wrap up the work week with beautiful conditions. If you can get out of work or school early today, IndyWx.com highly recommends it :-)! High pressure will support sunny skies (after a little morning fog in spots) and milder temperatures. Highs will zoom into the lower to middle 50s this afternoon!

Weak Weekend System…A weak cold front will slip south through the region Saturday. Early morning sunshine will quickly give way to increasing clouds and developing light rain. Rain will end as a period of light snow Saturday evening, but won’t accumulate. The key word in all of this is light, with rainfall totals under a tenth of an inch.

Sunday will be a dry, chilly day with highs in the middle 40s.

True Spring Feel…The spring crave will be in full effect early next week as highs both Monday and Tuesday shoot into the lower 60s with sunshine. We’ll notice a gusty westerly breeze Monday, assisting with the milder surge of air into the Ohio Valley.

Late Season Winter Storm Brewing? Many questions remain around the ultimate track of the storm system by the middle of next week. As of now, a blend of forecast model suggests a rain-to-snow scenario Wednesday, but it’s far too early to talk accumulations. We’ll be able to fine tune some things over the weekend and have a better idea soon in regards to precipitation type and amount. Regardless, a much colder air mass will pour into the region by the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1-3″
7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.25″