Category Archives: Unseasonably Warm

Active Pattern; Severe Weather A Major Concern…

Screen Shot 2015-07-12 at 9.43.43 AMHighlights:

  • Another round of strong to severe storms rumble in tonight
  • Significant severe weather outbreak Monday
  • Storms and flood threat continue Tuesday
  • Drying out and turning hot late week

A very active weather pattern will remain through the short-term.  Overnight storms have exited to the southeast and we’re now dealing with dry weather and sunshine. A few storms could bubble up this afternoon in the very humid air mass, but the more widespread showers and thunderstorms will hold off until late tonight as another northwest to southeast moving complex rumbles in.  Similar to early this morning, flash flooding will be a concern, along with the potential of damaging wind, and hail.

Perhaps more concerning is what we think will be a secondary thunderstorm complex Monday evening into Monday night.  Furthermore, conditions appear to favor the threat of a couple super cells developing in advance of the big storm cluster.  These individual super cells will have the potential of producing tornadoes and large hail.  We’re then concerned of a widespread damaging wind threat with the large storm complex as it moves southeast.  Torrential rains and flash flooding will also be a big concern.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday, but there’s a light at the end of this wet tunnel by mid week.  We forecast a few days of dry weather in the Wednesday through Saturday time period.  As ridging expands, heat and humidity will build in a big time way.  For those holding out for true summer heat, next weekend may be your time!  That said, the long range pattern still supports a wetter/ cooler than normal regime quickly returning so enjoy!

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ with locally heavier totals

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Tornadoes, Unseasonably Warm

More Rain And Storms Ahead…

Screen Shot 2015-07-07 at 12.49.30 PMHighlights:

  • Periods of showers and storms through mid week
  • Can’t shake weekend storm chances, but drier, and turning hot
  • Scattered storms return early next week

A frontal boundary will slip south of central IN later this evening and take most of the heavy rain and storms south tonight into a good chunk of Wednesday.  However, the boundary will return north Wednesday evening in response to an area of surface low pressure moving northeast out of the lower and middle MS River Valley.  This will return the focus of showers and heavier thunderstorms for our region Wednesday evening into the first half of Thursday.  Similar to that of today, locally heavy rainfall is a good bet at times.

The area of low pressure will track east Thursday afternoon and take most of the moisture with it.  We’ll forecast drier times to wrap up the work week along with rising temperatures.  While we can’t shake weekend storm chances, Friday through Sunday will be drier, overall, when compared to the next couple days.  With the heat and humidity around, a few strong to severe storms are possible- particularly Sunday afternoon.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

Scattered, “splash and dash,” coverage of storms returns early next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Afternoon Storms; Watching Bill’s Remnants…

Screen Shot 2015-06-18 at 7.37.07 AMHighlights:

  • Afternoon showers and storms
  • Watching Bill’s remnants
  • Active pattern remains

The day is dawning with overcast skies and humid conditions. Dew points in the lower 70s coupled with lower 70 degree air temperatures have things feeling very tropical.  Showers and thunderstorms will fire later this afternoon and a few of these could become strong to severe. With the moisture-laden air mass in place, torrential rainfall will remain likely with storms.

As we shift into Friday and Saturday all eyes will be on the remnant moisture of what once was Tropical Storm Bill. Latest model data focuses in on southern IN for the greatest threat of widespread heavy rain and potential flash flooding, including rainfall amounts of 3″ to 4″ in spots. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on the precise track of Bill’s remnants, but, as of now, folks downstate are at highest risk of flooding problems.

As we move into next week the active and stormy times continue.  There are questions in regards to an expanding heat dome.  Latest data has backed down dramatically on the potential heat next week.  With the wet ground in place it’s hard to argue with that idea.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Potential: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally heavier totals)

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Bill, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, Tropics, Unseasonably Warm

AG Weather Report: 6.17.15

June has gotten off to a warm start across the region.   It’s been a wet month (to date) across northern regions of our #AGwx viewing area.      Bill’s remnant moisture…

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No Comments AG Report, Bill, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Tuesday Evening “Catch Up!”

Rain and embedded thunder returns after a drier day, overall: Tuesday was a much drier day, overall, and sunshine built into central IN this afternoon to make for a very…

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No Comments Bill, Flooding, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm