Category Archives: Unseasonably Warm

Warm Easter Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Warm Easter weekend
  • Scattered storms, but more dry time than wet
  • Bigger storm system looms late next week

Summer-Feel This Weekend…The big weather story for the Easter weekend will be the unseasonably warm temperatures, including a “touch” of humidity for the first time this spring.  That warmth and humidity will aid in storm development, at times, this weekend, but the balance of the holiday weekend will be rain-free.

We think best storm coverage comes this evening (primarily after the evening rush) and again on Easter Sunday.  While an isolated storm is possible Saturday, most of the day should be dry.

A cold front will sweep through the state Easter evening and help set-up a dry, slightly cooler regime to open the new work week.  Dry conditions remain Tuesday before scattered storms return to the forecast Wednesday.  A bigger, more significant storm system looms by the end of next week and could result in heavy rainfall totals.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50′ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Easter, Forecast, Rain, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Beautiful Wednesday Gives Way To Shower Chances Thursday…

We’re off to a glorious start this morning, including crystal-clear skies, and crisp temperatures.  This morning’s satellite shows the mostly sunny skies that should be with us for the majority of the day.

Temperatures will rise from the upper 30s and lower 40s into the middle 60s by evening.

As we push into Thursday, moisture will return and will lead to an increase in cloud cover, along with scattered showers, especially across northern regions.  It won’t rain the entire day by any means, and some neighborhoods likely won’t see a drop of rain Thursday, but we need to be prepared for a passing shower, especially from mid-morning into the evening.

Looking ahead to Easter weekend, unsettled weather is still expected with scattered showers and thunderstorms associated with a warm front lifting north through the region Friday into Saturday before a cold front sweeps through Easter Sunday with additional thunderstorm chances.  That said, there will be plenty of rain-free hours this Easter weekend and warmth will dominate.  In fact, highs will flirt with 80° Friday and Saturday.  More on the Easter weekend forecast and our full 7-day later today!

Enjoy a sunny Wednesday!

No Comments Forecast, Rain, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Drier Weather Arrives For Midweek; Unsettled Easter Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Drier air arrives
  • Unsettled Easter weekend
  • Drier; cooler early next week

Brighter Days Ahead…Needless to say, our storm system to open the work week has “overachieved.”  Severe thunderstorm warnings were hoisted as early as this morning northwest of the city, including Lafayette- where damaging hail was reported.  Storms remained northwest of the city through the rush hour before a line of slow-moving “gully washers” arrived just as Hoosiers were heading home from work.  Thankfully these remained below severe levels, but heavy rain and vivid lightning was noted and most certainly led to a slow commute home.

Drier (and brighter) days are ahead this week.  High pressure returns as we progress through midweek and should allow for increasing sunshine and beautiful weather.

Unfortunately, we can’t dial up 3 nice weekends in a row, but it will be far from a wash-out.  A warm front will lift north Friday into Saturday and result in scattered showers and thunderstorms before a cold front pushes southeast with showers and thunderstorms  Easter, especially in the morning.  We want to reiterate there will be plenty of dry time this weekend…just have the rain gear handy as needed.  Drier air will return Easter afternoon and remain in place early next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″ (locally heavier totals)
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Easter, Forecast, Severe Weather, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Can’t Beat This Weekend Weather…

Highlights:

  • Sun-filled weekend
  • Sunday turns windy
  • Storms arrive Monday evening

Sunscreen Required This Weekend…It’s not very often around these parts where we can dial-up two beautiful weekends in back-to-back fashion, but that’s exactly what we’ll do.  High pressure will supply a gorgeous Saturday and Sunday, complete with plentiful sunshine.  We’ll add 10° Sunday, but also throw in 30-40 MPH wind gusts, especially by afternoon.  Get outside and enjoy this weather!

A weak frontal boundary will slip into the state Monday afternoon and will likely kick-up some thunderstorms as it pushes southeast Monday afternoon and evening.  A strong thunderstorm, or two, can’t be ruled out.  We’re back to dry weather midweek before unsettled weather returns to close out the work week.  Looking ahead just beyond the current 7-Day would suggest a wet and stormy beginning Easter Sunday before a drier finish.  Stay tuned as we still have time for things to change.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Easter, Forecast, Rain, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Windy

Word On The Weeklies…

New JMA Weeklies stream in on Thursday mornings and we send out a Thursday morning report, in detail, to our clients dissecting the latest data, but want to try and start making public comments on the model here, as well.

The overall idea after looking at the JMA Weeklies is wet and warm over the upcoming (4) weeks relative to average. That said, there will be periods of drier times, especially Week 1, and late season chill- as can be expected every April.

Week 1:

Week 2:

Weeks 3-4:

The big picture is one that shows a drier pattern developing across the East during Week 1, but we caution that this drier regime doesn’t look to “lock” in.  Data suggests we get back to an active pattern between Week’s 2-4, biased wetter than normal in the Mid West and Plains.  The other screaming message is that a busy severe season should continue through the period.  Cold sets up across the Pacific Northwest, associated with the “mean” trough position, while spring-like warmth continues to build across our region in overall terms.  We know what that means as storms eject off the Rockies and track east…

No Comments AG Report, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, JMA, Long Range Discussion, Rain, Severe Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weekly Outlook