Mar 09
A true taste of spring weather is on the way for the middle of the week as highs zoom to around 60° (give or take a few degrees) for many.…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/09/spring-fling/
Mar 09
Forecast models are coming around to a more aggressive, wetter, solution for Tuesday. As such, we’ll hit the rain a little harder in our forecast. Anticipate a wet afternoon, especially…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/09/milder-air-and-rain/
Mar 08
Mostly Quiet Weather For Now…A weak weather system will once again scoot by to our north later today. While this may increase our cloud cover this afternoon and evening, most, if not all, of the precipitation should remain north of our immediate region. Best chances of seeing a light shower later today will be across the northern third of the state. We’re back to sunshine Monday!
The first of two weather systems will impact the state Tuesday. We’ll introduce the chance of a shower across central Indiana, but most of the area will be dry. More widespread rains will fall across southern and southeastern portions of the state.
The story for mid week remains the delightful weather conditions- dry, sunny, and mild! We’ll gladly welcome 55-60 temperatures Wednesday and Thursday!
A significant storm system will lift north out of the Gulf of Mexico late week and deliver widespread moderate to heavy rains Friday into Saturday. Heavy rain is likely to close the week, but model data differs on just how fast the rain will diminish as we move into the weekend. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/08/relatively-quiet-week-until-late-in-the-period/
Mar 07
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/07/touching-base-on-a-saturday-afternoon/
Mar 07
Spring Fever Anyone?! A weak weather system is racing through the region this morning. Clouds and gusty southwest winds are accompanying this, but the air mass is too dry to sustain any sort of precipitation (with the exception of a snow flurry across northern portions of the state). Sunshine should increase as we progress from morning into the afternoon hours. Although we’ll remain colder than average this weekend, highs in the lower 40s will feel downright balmy when compared to the bitterly cold times we’ve gone through over the past several weeks.
Early next week will feature a wet weather maker move northeast out of the Deep South, but this should remain east of our region. We note the European model tries to deliver some light rain Tuesday, but for now we’ll keep our forecast rain-free and dry.
A real surge of “spring fever” will push in here by the middle of the week with highs in the middle 50s Wednesday and upper 50s Thursday (some areas will touch 60 Thursday). White Leg Warnings will have to be issued, no doubt ;-).
Unfortunately, weather conditions will take a dramatic turn downhill late week into the weekend as a big storm system lifts north out of the Gulf of Mexico. Colder and raw times are ahead, including a gusty wind-driven rain. Moderate to heavy rainfall totals appear to be a good bet from 6-7 days out.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/07/now-were-talking/
Mar 06
It’s another frigid start to the day and this seems to be the story of the winter of 2024-2015. The weather roundup of 7am temperatures and March 6th snow cover…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/06/where-we-are-and-where-were-going/
Mar 05
Hang In There; Help Is On The Way…Today and Friday will be incredibly cold for this time of year. Morning clouds should give way to increasing afternoon sunshine today. The combination of clear skies, a widespread snowpack, and arctic high pressure overhead will lead to a frigid night tonight. We officially forecast 2 degrees below zero at IND by Friday morning, but there will be colder reports in outlying areas away from the city.
A moderating trend begins this weekend with sunshine. A weak weather system will scoot through here Saturday night and early Sunday with a possible light shower or snow shower- not a big deal by any means.
The moderating trend gets even stronger early next week and we forecast highs near 50 Tuesday and pushing 60 Wednesday! Enjoy!
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/05/light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel/
Mar 04
After a long and cold winter, many are excited about hearing of the prospects of a warm up and first true taste of spring.
While the European data has totally bought in to the impressive “spring fling” next week, the GFS isn’t as excited of the potentially warmer times. Case in point, the GFS and European couldn’t be in more different camps for mid and late next week. Where the GFS has low/ mid 40s for highs the European has low/ mid 60s for highs. What’s 20 degrees amongst friends?!
Wild model swings and disagreements are common when pattern changes are taking place. While we might not get as warm as the Euro. would imply, it’s a safe bet we’ll be considerably warmer than the chilly GFS readings.
Note the AO and NAO strongly positive through the next 10-15 days. This is the time of the year when these teleconnections can impact our region’s weather in the most significant way. Both of these are warm signals taken at face value.
Note the pattern flip to a “flat” ridge by Day 10, indicative of the milder times ahead.
However, by Day 15 we notice the Alaskan ridge redeveloping. This is NOT a signal for warm weather across our part of the region, as the steering currents would tap available cold air and direct it south into the Mid West and Ohio Valley.
So, what do we take from this? We’re going to warm next week without question. While the extent of the warming is up for debate, the overall milder times for a 5-7 period is a good call at this point. On the flip side, we’re not ready to buy into the idea that spring is here for good just yet. The building Alaskan ridge by the end of Week 2 would imply a cold close to March, and potentially continuing into early April.
Another item to keep a close eye on the upcoming 4-6 weeks? Those NAO and AO signals. Should they remain predominately positive this time of year then it’ll be exceptionally challenging to get any sort of cold pattern to lock in for more than a day or two.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/04/warm-up-coming/
Feb 09
Lots Of Winter Ahead…After a brief weekend thaw, winter’s set to roar back with authority this week. Morning freezing drizzle and freezing fog should diminish and give way to a mostly cloudy day. It’ll be much colder than what we enjoyed over the weekend as temperatures hold nearly steady through the day.
Sunshine returns briefly Tuesday, but another fast-moving weather disturbance will bring a light rain shower Wednesday. As a shot of arctic air drills in here Wednesday night and Thursday, snow showers will blow into town with gusty winds.
A second and even more intense surge of bitter arctic air will pour south Saturday into Sunday. Dangerously cold air will be accompanied with this surge, including below zero wind chills and more snow showers.
We’re eyeing early next week for the opportunity of a more widespread winter event. Stay tuned…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/02/09/winters-back/
Feb 08
Another mild day is on tap with a southwest flow ahead of a frontal boundary that slips through this evening with light showers. Note the sharp temperature gradient this evening.…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/02/08/enjoy-today-cold-week-coming/