Category: Unseasonably Warm
Highlights:
- Afternoon light shower possible
- Very humid, tropical feel this weekend as things heat up
- Splash and dash weekend storms
- T-storms likely with a cold front Monday
We’re off to a pleasant start today, but clouds will increase this afternoon with a light shower possible, particularly from the city and points north. Most of today will be dry.
The big story this weekend will be a much more humid feel. While it’ll be hot, it won’t be anything out of the ordinary for late July around these parts. That said, factor in a dew point in the lower to middle 70s and it’ll feel extremely oppressive. A warm front will pass Friday morning with a thunderstorm threat, and then we’ll also mention a widely scattered thunderstorm during the afternoon/ evening through the weekend.
A cold front will move in Monday with more widespread showers and thunderstorms, along with a return to “average” temperatures by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″-1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/16/nice-now-but-big-ticket-humidity-on-the-way/
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/15/wednesday-evening-video-update-3/
July so far has been unseasonably wet and unseasonably cool for our part of the country (what’s new this summer)?! As we progress through the next couple days, refreshingly…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/15/wednesday-morning-rambles-5/
Highlights:
- Another round of PM storms
- Cooler; drier stretch of weather midweek
- Storms rumble Friday as hot and humid weather builds
- Hot and very humid weekend
One more round of showers and thunderstorms will fire this afternoon, some of which may be strong to severe. Thankfully, needed drier (and cooler) air will build in tonight and help set up a very pleasant mid week.
With all of the rain, hot weather fans haven’t been able to enjoy much in the way of significant summer heat this summer; however, things will change (briefly) this weekend. Very humid air will expand into the region over the weekend, including true summer heat as highs go into the lower 90s both Saturday and Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms may accompany the push of hot, humid air, Friday but we think the weekend will be dry at this point.
The hot, humid weather won’t last long as a cold front moves in Monday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. A much cooler air mass will return next week behind the frontal boundary.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/14/pm-storms-cooler-and-more-pleasant-air-coming-for-mid-week/
-
Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Tornadoes, Unseasonably Warm
-
July 12, 2015
Highlights:
- Another round of strong to severe storms rumble in tonight
- Significant severe weather outbreak Monday
- Storms and flood threat continue Tuesday
- Drying out and turning hot late week
A very active weather pattern will remain through the short-term. Overnight storms have exited to the southeast and we’re now dealing with dry weather and sunshine. A few storms could bubble up this afternoon in the very humid air mass, but the more widespread showers and thunderstorms will hold off until late tonight as another northwest to southeast moving complex rumbles in. Similar to early this morning, flash flooding will be a concern, along with the potential of damaging wind, and hail.
Perhaps more concerning is what we think will be a secondary thunderstorm complex Monday evening into Monday night. Furthermore, conditions appear to favor the threat of a couple super cells developing in advance of the big storm cluster. These individual super cells will have the potential of producing tornadoes and large hail. We’re then concerned of a widespread damaging wind threat with the large storm complex as it moves southeast. Torrential rains and flash flooding will also be a big concern.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday, but there’s a light at the end of this wet tunnel by mid week. We forecast a few days of dry weather in the Wednesday through Saturday time period. As ridging expands, heat and humidity will build in a big time way. For those holding out for true summer heat, next weekend may be your time! That said, the long range pattern still supports a wetter/ cooler than normal regime quickly returning so enjoy!
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ with locally heavier totals
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/12/active-pattern-severe-weather-a-major-concern/
Highlights:
- Periods of showers and storms through mid week
- Can’t shake weekend storm chances, but drier, and turning hot
- Scattered storms return early next week
A frontal boundary will slip south of central IN later this evening and take most of the heavy rain and storms south tonight into a good chunk of Wednesday. However, the boundary will return north Wednesday evening in response to an area of surface low pressure moving northeast out of the lower and middle MS River Valley. This will return the focus of showers and heavier thunderstorms for our region Wednesday evening into the first half of Thursday. Similar to that of today, locally heavy rainfall is a good bet at times.
The area of low pressure will track east Thursday afternoon and take most of the moisture with it. We’ll forecast drier times to wrap up the work week along with rising temperatures. While we can’t shake weekend storm chances, Friday through Sunday will be drier, overall, when compared to the next couple days. With the heat and humidity around, a few strong to severe storms are possible- particularly Sunday afternoon. We’ll keep an eye on things.
Scattered, “splash and dash,” coverage of storms returns early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/07/more-rain-and-storms-ahead/
-
Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Bill, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, Tropics, Unseasonably Warm
-
June 18, 2015
Highlights:
- Afternoon showers and storms
- Watching Bill’s remnants
- Active pattern remains
The day is dawning with overcast skies and humid conditions. Dew points in the lower 70s coupled with lower 70 degree air temperatures have things feeling very tropical. Showers and thunderstorms will fire later this afternoon and a few of these could become strong to severe. With the moisture-laden air mass in place, torrential rainfall will remain likely with storms.
As we shift into Friday and Saturday all eyes will be on the remnant moisture of what once was Tropical Storm Bill. Latest model data focuses in on southern IN for the greatest threat of widespread heavy rain and potential flash flooding, including rainfall amounts of 3″ to 4″ in spots. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on the precise track of Bill’s remnants, but, as of now, folks downstate are at highest risk of flooding problems.
As we move into next week the active and stormy times continue. There are questions in regards to an expanding heat dome. Latest data has backed down dramatically on the potential heat next week. With the wet ground in place it’s hard to argue with that idea.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Potential: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/18/afternoon-storms-watching-bills-remnants/
June has gotten off to a warm start across the region. It’s been a wet month (to date) across northern regions of our #AGwx viewing area. Bill’s remnant moisture…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/17/ag-weather-report-6-17-15/
Rain and embedded thunder returns after a drier day, overall: Tuesday was a much drier day, overall, and sunshine built into central IN this afternoon to make for a very…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/16/tuesday-evening-catch-up/
Highlights:
- Best weather of the week is today
- Strong to severe storm potential Sunday and Monday
- Widespread heavy rain threat mid week
- Unsettled pattern continues
We’re opening the weekend with dry skies across central IN, along with a very tropical feel. The combination of a nearby weak boundary and the humid air mass will help fuel isolated to widely scattered storms this afternoon. That said, overall coverage of storms will be reduced from what we saw Friday. Most of the day will feature dry conditions.
We’ll begin to increase storm chances as we rumble into the second half of the weekend and on into the new work week. Some of these may be strong to severe Sunday-Monday, including strong damaging winds and large hail.
Attention will then shift to mid week and the potential of an excessive rainfall event. Modeling is leaning towards tracking a tropical disturbance north out of the western GOM (Gulf of Mexico) before shifting northeast around the periphery of a southeastern ridge. Very heavy rainfall would result if this idea pans out. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Potential: 2″-4″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/13/today-is-the-pick-of-the-week-wet-and-stormy-pattern-looms/
