Category: Unseasonably Warm

Thunderstorms, Especially West…

Screen Shot 2015-09-05 at 9.51.02 AMHighlights:

  • Western storms
  • Hot Labor Day
  • MUCH cooler late next week

Thunderstorms will slowly push south this morning, especially across western portions of the state.  Many will be asking “what storms?” while others are getting pounded by heavy rain, vivid lightning, small hail, and strong winds.  Best chances of getting a storm will be along and west of I-65.

Drier conditions will build in for the second half of the weekend and into early next week.  Labor Day will be a very hot and humid one.

Rain and storm chances will increase as we push into the mid week stretch as a strong cold front moves into the Mid West.  MUCH cooler air will infiltrate the state late next week and things will be feeling very “fallish” by the weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1″ (locally heavier totals)

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/05/thunderstorms-especially-west/

Summer Like Now, But Cooler Times Loom…

Screen Shot 2015-09-04 at 7.59.33 AMHighlights:

  • Storm potential north
  • Hot Labor Day weekend
  • Cold front delivers storms and cooler air next week

We’re off to another steamy one this morning with many neighborhoods already between 65-70 as we type this predawn Friday.  We’ll zoom up yet again to around 90 this afternoon with only isolated storm coverage.  Better chances of rain and storms can be expected across northeastern portions of the state due to a little “weakness” in the atmosphere.

The story for the long holiday weekend is one of heat and humidity, with little, if any, storm threat (very isolated coverage).  Highs Saturday though Monday should reach around 90.

However, changes are coming down the road as a significant cold front sweeps the region Wednesday into Thursday.  Showers and thunderstorms will accompany the frontal passage followed by a MUCH cooler, fall-like, air mass arriving by the end of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/04/summer-like-now-but-cooler-times-loom/

Hot With Isolated Storms…

Screen Shot 2015-09-03 at 7.55.33 AMHighlights:

  • Hot and humid conditions continue
  • Isolated storm coverage
  • Cold front approaches next week

In the short term, heat and humidity remain the big weather story as we head into the long Labor Day weekend, and unofficial end of summer.  BTW- meteorological summer ended Monday evening; however someone forgot to tell Mother Nature.  Isolated storm coverage will be present into the weekend.

The next big weather maker is on the horizon by the middle of next week in the form of a cold front.  Much better chances of more widespread showers and thunderstorms should precede the front before a much cooler air mass arrives late next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/03/hot-with-isolated-storms/

Cooler Times Ahead By Mid Month?

Summer sure doesn’t appear to be letting go anytime soon as our recent 7-day outlook suggests, but there are indications that our unseasonably hot and humid regime may take a back seat to the refreshing taste of fall in about 10 days.  The big “tip of the cap” towards the cooler pattern?  The PNA, or Pacific North American pattern, shifting from negative to positive.  As shown below, both the European (top) and GFS (bottom) highlight the PNA shift to positive.

Screen Shot 2015-09-02 at 7.58.03 AMA positive PNA favors eastern troughiness and an associated cooler than normal regime over our neck of the woods.

PositivePNASure enough, models are trending towards a much cooler direction for week 2.

Screen Shot 2015-09-02 at 7.54.04 AM

Screen Shot 2015-09-02 at 7.53.54 AM

Screen Shot 2015-09-02 at 7.54.14 AMIt’ll be fun to watch things unfold.  For now, if you’re a fan of summer weather, be sure to enjoy the next week, or so, as things appear to be changing for the much cooler side of things around the 10th (give or take a day or two).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/02/cooler-times-ahead-by-mid-month/

Summer Isn’t Letting Go…

Screen Shot 2015-09-01 at 9.42.32 PMHighlights:

  • Isolated slow moving storms
  • Hot and humid air mass remains
  • Stagnant pattern

An upper level disturbance will push slowly east into Ohio Wednesday, but will remain close enough to have some impact on our local weather.  Coverage of storms won’t be as widespread as those of today, but we’ll likely see a few slow moving, strong storms develop across central IN all the same.

We’ll maintain mention of isolated storms into the weekend, but the big weather story will be the unseasonably hot and humid air mass in place.  It’s all part of the big weather picture that includes a strengthening high pressure ridge (hot dome) over the Lakes and SE Canada as we rumble into the long holiday weekend.

Looking ahead, there are indications that more active times are around the corner once to mid month.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″ (locally heavier totals)

Storms rumbled across portions of central IN today, but the “@cryptics cam” caught a glorious sunset from Danville this evening.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/01/summer-isnt-letting-go/

Tuesday Weather Notebook…

  Tuesday Storms: A small, but vigorous upper level disturbance is overhead this morning and will serve as a focal point for thunderstorm development. The disturbance shows up very nicely…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/01/tuesday-weather-notebook-2/

Better Coverage Of Storms Tuesday…

Screen Shot 2015-08-31 at 10.09.29 PMHighlights:

  • Better coverage of Tuesday storms
  • Splash and dash storms through the rest of the week
  • Hot pattern continues into the holiday weekend

An upper level disturbance will track overhead Tuesday and be responsible for helping kick off more widespread showers and thunderstorms.  These will be slow movers and capable of depositing hefty rainfall totals in localized areas.  This won’t be a “uniform” rain event by any stretch of the imagination and some locales may not even see a drop of rain.

Coverage of showers and thunderstorms will diminish to “isolated” for mid and late week.  The big weather story will be the unseasonably warm regime leading into the holiday weekend.  Our next storm of note appears to be on the horizon around a week from today and deliver better rain and storm chances by next Tuesday, along with cooler air.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.25″ (locally heavier totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/31/better-coverage-of-storms-tuesday/

Monday Weather Notebook…

Cool August:    Despite the warm close to August, the month, as a whole, has been cooler than average across the Plains, Ohio Valley, and Tennessee Valley. Heat Expands:   …

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/31/monday-weather-notebook-2/

Spotty Saturday Showers…

Screen Shot 2015-08-29 at 10.18.08 AMHighlights:

  • Most widespread rain across northern IN today
  • Isolated storm possible Sunday
  • Warm week upcoming

A weak frontal boundary remains draped to our west this morning and is serving as the focal point for showers from IL into northern IN.  As of now, most of central IN is simply dealing with mostly cloudy skies and dry conditions.  As we progress into the afternoon we’ll include the mention of scattered showers, but this won’t be a big deal and many will remain rain-free today.

Though isolated showers or storms are possible during the upcoming week, most will remain free of any rain.  Temperatures will be very summer-like- not a bad thing as we rumble towards the big Labor Day weekend and the kick-off to the college football season (hard to believe)!

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.25″

Yesterday was a fantastic day for a hot air ballon ride and the “@cryptics cam” caught just that!  Be sure to follow @cryptics on Twitter for awesome views of the sky and associated weather conditions here across central IN!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/29/spotty-saturday-showers/

Thursday Weather Notebook…

Cool and Dry:       We’re off to a cool start this morning with many reporting sites in the lower 50s. Note the cooler than normal air extends all the…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/27/thursday-weather-notebook-2/

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