Category: Unseasonably Warm

Nov 02

One More Warm Day; T-storm Chances Tonight…

screen-shot-2016-11-02-at-7-35-00-amThe 2016-2017 IndyWx.com Winter Outlook is now available.

Highlights:

  • Unseasonably warm Wednesday
  • T-storms tonight
  • Cooler close to the work week

Cold Front Arrives Late Tonight…The majority of today will be dry (and warm), but we do note some of the high resolution model data suggest we deal with an initial round of scattered showers and thunderstorms this evening (in the 4p-7p time frame).  This would be in advance of more widespread showers and thunderstorms tonight into the wee morning hours Thursday.

Cooler air will flow into the region to wrap up the work week and dry conditions will prevail through the upcoming weekend.  We note patchy frost potential Saturday morning away from the city.

Our next storm system will approach early next week.  From this distance, Election Day looks mostly dry through the daytime hours,  but shower chances will begin to increase by evening.

Longer term, model data continues to suggest we’re in line for a mid-month pattern change to cooler conditions.  While this will initially be a “step-down” (back and forth) process, the potential is on the table for a downright wintry pattern to develop by late month.  We note the GEFS (GFS ensembles) keying in on this (images courtesy of weatherbell):

Days 1-5

1

Days 6-10

2

Days 10-15

3

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/02/one-more-warm-day-t-storm-chances-tonight/

Nov 01

VIDEO: Touching base on Tuesday evening…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/01/video-touching-base-on-tuesday-evening/

Oct 31

Weather Certainly More Of A Treat Than A Trick…

screen-shot-2016-10-31-at-7-26-50-amThe 2016-2017 IndyWx.com Winter Outlook is now available.

Highlights:

  • Great trick-or-treat weather in store this evening
  • Near record warmth Tuesday-Wednesday
  • Cooler to close the week

Pleasant Halloween Weather…Recent Halloweens have produced accumulating snow, heavy rain, and storms.  Thankfully, today will be much more pleasant and feature mostly cloudy skies and pleasant temperatures.

Speaking of temperatures, they’ll get a big boost Tuesday and Wednesday (both days will feature near record highs).  A breezy SW wind will be in play and clouds will increase Wednesday, eventually giving way to showers Wednesday night.  Rain will continue Thursday morning as a cold front moves through the region.  Cooler, drier air will move in as we close the work week.

Looking ahead to the weekend, Saturday will be dry and pleasant.  Sunday is a bit of a question mark.  The European model is suggesting a reinforcing push of cooler air will ooze into the area, while the GFS is less impressed.  We’ll lean our forecast more towards the European for now.  Regardless, Sunday will be a dry day.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/31/weather-certainly-more-of-a-treat-than-a-trick/

Oct 29

Warmth Dominates…

screen-shot-2016-10-29-at-7-41-51-amHighlights:

  • Near record warmth
  • Windy conditions
  • Scattered showers to wrap up the weekend
  • “Ups and downs” next week

Hard To Believe This Is Late October…A strong southwest flow will help provide a windy, but incredibly warm Saturday.  Highs will approach record territory around 80.  (We’ll have to keep an eye on that 81 degree record set in 1922).  Southwest winds gusting around 30 MPH will be a good bet this afternoon, especially in the open country.

A weak disturbance will push southeast Sunday and help to increase our cloud cover, along with providing scattered showers- mainly in the afternoon and evening.  We’ll turn cooler, but still remain above normal for Halloween.  Trick-or-treat conditions look ideal, especially considering recent Halloweens have served up rain, storms, and snow across the region.

A warm front will lift north Monday night and offer up another opportunity to push for record warmth Tuesday and Wednesday before a cold front slides through Thursday with showers.  Cooler air will settle into the Ohio Valley and Mid West to wrap up the work week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/29/warmth-dominates/

Oct 28

VIDEO: Unseasonably warm pattern to open November…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/28/video-unseasonably-warm-pattern-to-open-november/

Oct 27

Warm Close To October And Open To November…

screen-shot-2016-10-27-at-7-56-39-amHighlights:

  • Cooler and blustery today
  • Warmer times coming to close the month and open November
  • Scattered showers return next week

Chilly Today, But Warmer Times Loom…A cold front swept through central IN earlier this morning.  Since we’re on the NW side of the front now, a cooler air mass is filtering in as we type this.  Today will be blustery and chilly with considerable cloudiness.  That said, the chilly air will only hang around for 24 hours, as we begin to moderate Friday afternoon.  SW winds will blow Friday PM and help give a chilly start to the day a rather significant boost into the upper 60s for a high.  Saturday will out-do that as we zoom into the middle 70s.

A weak front will slip through here Sunday and cool us off a few degrees.  While a light shower is possible as the front moves through, we think most stay dry.

We quickly return to the warm regime early next week.  At this time, Halloween looks mild and dry for those trick-or-treaters out there.

Looking further down the road, significant changes loom by mid and late November.  Those changes include the following words: cold and wintry…

Upcoming 7-day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″-0.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/27/warm-close-to-october-and-open-to-november/

Oct 26

VIDEO: Briefly Cooler Thursday Before A Windy Warm-Up…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/26/video-briefly-cooler-thursday-before-a-windy-warm-up/

Oct 18

VIDEO: Colder Changes To Close The Week; Wet Thursday Ahead…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/18/video-colder-changes-to-close-the-week-wet-thursday-ahead/

Oct 17

Warm Winds Give Way To Rain And Cooler Air…

screen-shot-2016-10-17-at-7-34-57-amHighlights:

  • Warm SW winds
  • Cooler air arrives mid week with rain
  • Much cooler to close the week

A Little Something For Everyone…The big story over the next 24-48 hours will be unseasonably warm temperatures, but equally as impressive, strong and gusty winds (30-40MPH).  Enjoy the extended period of shorts and short sleeves, but please note a “big hair warning” is in effect through Tuesday night.  🙂

A cold front will slip through the state Wednesday (from north to south) and could spark a scattered shower as it drifts south.  Eventually the front will stall along the KY border.  This is in response to an area of low pressure developing to our southwest.  The surface low will lift northeast and help spread widespread soaking rain across the state Thursday.  Additionally, we’ll note a much cooler air mass and winds that will shift around to the north in the PM, helping drive a much cooler close to the week.  Moderate to locally heavy rainfall can be expected Thursday.

As we get set to put a wrap on the week, we’ll get back to weather we’d expect for this time of year: dry, cool, and crisp!  In fact, patchy frost is possible Saturday morning across outlying areas away from the city.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/17/warm-winds-give-way-to-rain-and-cooler-air/

Oct 16

Remarkable Summer Feel Through Mid Week; Late Week Changes…

Before we talk about the warmth, we have some showers and embedded thunder to deal with across parts of the region today.  Best rain chances today will be along and north of I-70, but a few showers could scoot south later this afternoon.  We note most concentrated rain should fall through the early afternoon hours before moving out to allow for a dry evening.

Forecast radar 1p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Forecast radar 12p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Forecast radar 2p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Forecast radar 2p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

We get back to a dry pattern Monday and Tuesday.  Along with the dry conditions, unseasonably warm temperatures can be expected.  Along with the summer-like feel, very strong southwest winds will be noted (gusts to 30-40 MPH).

A strong SW flow will promote 30-40 MPH gusts early week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

A strong SW flow will promote 30-40 MPH gusts early week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

The warmest temperature anomalies will be located over the Ohio Valley this week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

The warmest temperature anomalies will be located over the Ohio Valley this week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

Highs Monday and Tuesday will top out in the lower to middle 80s and rival records across central IN.  While that’s impressive enough, overnight lows of 65-70 are almost unheard of.

Overnight lows Tuesday morning will be close to 70 degrees. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Overnight lows Tuesday morning will be close to 70 degrees. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Cooler air will begin to move in by late week as a trough replaces the warm ridge.  While we’re very confident on the much cooler feel, details in regards to the specifics around rain timing and amounts remain “muddy” at best.  We’ll forecast best rain chances to arrive Thursday, but caution this may have to be fine tuned as we move forward.  Highs that were in the 80s for early week will crash late week (upper 50s to lower 60s).

European ensemble shows the cool and unsettled late week pattern. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

European ensemble shows the cool and unsettled late week pattern. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

As of now, next weekend looks dry and cool, but it was only yesterday that rain chances looked like they may continue into the early portions of the weekend. Stay tuned.  As previously mentioned, temperatures will be much cooler (upper 30s to lower 40s for lows and lower to middle 60s for highs).

Complete 7-day will be posted later!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/16/remarkable-summer-feel-through-mid-week-late-week-changes/

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