Category: Unseasonably Warm

Jun 05

Dry Times Remain: Briefly Cooler Then The Heat Is On…

Our overall weather pattern will be dominated by short-term cooling, significant warming by the weekend, and dry times continuing.

We’re noticing a significant change to the brand of our air mass this evening as a northerly wind is taking hold and helping to usher in lower dew points.  This is only the beginning of a significantly cooler stretch of weather that will take us through the day Tuesday, continuing into Thursday.  While the upper level low will drift south into the Northeast, our region will be dominated by a northerly flow and a much cooler, refreshing air mass into the latter portions of the work week.

In fact, we forecast highs Wednesday to only top the upper 60s, and this will be a good 10°-15° below average for June 7th.  Lows each morning through Friday will start out in the lower-middle 50s for the city, itself, but some outlying neighborhoods will fall deep into the 40s.  Very refreshing, indeed, for early June!

High pressure will dominate our weather through late week, continuing the overall drier than normal theme.

Models slowly begin to increase moisture levels as we move into the weekend and an isolated shower or thunderstorm could develop, but widespread rains of significance aren’t anticipated for the foreseeable future.

The bigger story by the weekend will be a developing hot weather pattern.  Temperatures will be flirting with the 90° mark as early as Sunday and Monday.  Instead of running 10°-15° below normal such as midweek, temperatures by early next week will be running 5°-10° above normal and very much like the “heart” of summer.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/05/dry-times-remain-briefly-cooler-then-the-heat-is-on/

Jun 03

Overall Dry And Pleasant Weather Continues…

Highlights:

  • Scattered late-day storms Sunday
  • Dry weather returns
  • Cooler next week

Scattered Strong Storms Late Sunday…Our beautiful weekend weather will continue into Sunday.  Expect a mostly dry day along with warm and humid conditions.  A cold front will approach late in the day and we still think a broken line of thunderstorms will slip south into central Indiana Sunday evening into Sunday night.  A couple of these could become strong, but a widespread severe weather event isn’t anticipated.

We’ll quickly get back to dry conditions as we open the new work week and another extended spell of rain-free conditions should carry us through the balance of the upcoming forecast period.  Additionally, a notable cooling trend will engulf the region.  With dry skies, low humidity, and highs in the lower 70s it’ll be picture-perfect to spend time outdoors.

Moisture will begin to return next weekend and, accordingly, we’ll introduce scattered showers and thunderstorms into our forecast next Saturday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/03/overall-dry-and-pleasant-weather-continues/

Jun 01

Drier Trend Continues This Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Dry close to the work week
  • Mostly dry weekend
  • Slightly cooler next week

Models Continue To Trend Drier…It was only a couple days ago that models were suggesting the threat of heavy rain and scattered strong storms this weekend- beginning Friday.  In this business, it doesn’t take long for things to change sometimes, but this is the first legitimate change for the “drier” that we’ve seen with storm systems since winter.  Time and time again as we draw closer to events, modeling has had to play “catch up” for the wetter over the past few months.

The end result is one that will feature a mostly dry weekend, including only isolated storm coverage Saturday afternoon and evening (most stay dry) and scattered coverage Sunday.  As a whole, many more dry hours are expected this weekend than stormy.

The other big takeaway over the past few days is the cool bias models have had.  This is noted and documented and we’re adjusting our forecast accordingly moving forward.  Drier and cooler air will arrive after Monday showers, but temperatures won’t run nearly as cool as once projected.  For the second week in a row, very pleasant and refreshing weather is ahead for the middle of the week.  Not bad, at all, by June standards.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/01/drier-trend-continues-this-weekend/

Jun 01

JMA Weeklies: Cool Gives Way To More Seasonal Conditions…

The new JMA Weeklies are in and the highlights include:

  • Unseasonably cool conditions Week 1
  • Anomalously wet across the Southeast
  • Warmer, more seasonal early-summer weather arrives

Week 1:

The pattern is dominated by an eastern trough and western ridge. Accordingly, cooler than average conditions will dominate the central and eastern portions of the country.  Very wet conditions should dominate the southern and eastern tier of the country (heaviest rains should fall east and south of Indiana).

Week 2:

The pattern begins to “relax” a bit, locally, with warmer conditions set to develop.  We note three areas of anomalously wet weather- west coast, northern Plains and Southeast.

Weeks 3-4

While the pattern doesn’t seem to promote any sort of significant heat or cool (relative to normal), this is certainly a warmer look, overall, to close the month than how we’re starting.  This look would suggest warm, seasonal, summer conditions locally with average precipitation.  Wet weather continues to dominate the pattern across the south and begins to emerge into the central.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/01/jma-weeklies-cool-gives-way-to-more-seasonal-conditions/

May 23

VIDEO: Unsettled Weather Returns For Midweek And Looking Ahead To Race Day Weather…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/23/video-unsettled-weather-returns-for-midweek-and-looking-ahead-to-race-day-weather/

May 22

Busy Week Of Weather…

Highlights:

  • Sunny open to the work week
  • Midweek storms
  • Storm chances remain for the long race and holiday weekend ahead

Pleasant Open To The Work Week…High pressure will support dry and pleasant weather conditions as we open up the work week. Expect plentiful sunshine and comfortable conditions to spend time outdoors today!  Enjoy!

Unsettled weather will return for midweek as low pressure moves into the Ohio Valley.  Scattered showers Tuesday will increase in overall coverage and intensity Wednesday, including the potential of locally heavy rainfall.  With all of the clouds and rain around through midweek, temperatures will run significantly below average.

Thankfully, we’ll get a breather Friday, with a mostly dry day expected.  We’ll turn the temperature up a couple notches heading into the long race and Memorial Day weekend.  Additionally, expect an increasingly muggy feel with scattered thunderstorms returning to the forecast this weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/22/busy-week-of-weather/

May 18

Unsettled Stretch Of Weather Ahead…

Highlights:

  • Scattered storms
  • Turning cooler next week
  • Continued unsettled

Periods Of Storms In The Days Ahead…While we’ll have more dry time than not into the weekend, multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms can be expected as we close the work week and move into the weekend.  With a moisture-rich air mass in place, locally heavy rain is possible.  Storms will reach most widespread coverage during the afternoon and evening hours through Saturday.

A cold front will sweep through the state Sunday with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms followed by drier, cooler air for Monday.

As we progress through next week, the region will remain in a much cooler, challenging northwest flow.  Individual disturbances will race southeast and result in continued unsettled weather as race weekend and the Memorial Day holiday draws closer.  We’ll keep a very close eye on things.  The balance of next week will be significantly cooler than average.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/18/unsettled-stretch-of-weather-ahead/

May 16

VIDEO: Late Week Storms And Much Cooler Next Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/16/video-late-week-storms-and-much-cooler-next-week/

May 16

Humidity Increases; Late Week Storms Then Cooler…

Highlights:

  • Sunshine and warmth continues
  • Increasingly muggy feel develops
  • Storm chances return
  • Much cooler next week

Very Warm And Increasingly Humid…High pressure will supply continued dry conditions, along with unseasonably warm temperatures through midweek.  A southwesterly air flow will help push an increasingly muggy feel into the region by Wednesday.  “Air you can wear” will be an appropriate way to sum things up!  🙂

That increasing moisture will eventually yield better coverage of showers and thunderstorms as we move through late week into the weekend.  It certainly won’t rain the entire time, but periods of scattered thunderstorms will be with us Thursday through Monday morning.  With high moisture content, locally heavy rains will be possible.

A cold front will move through the state Sunday night and Monday and result in a significantly cooler trend next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/16/humidity-increases-late-week-storms-then-cooler/

May 14

A Beautiful Mother’s Day; Summer-like Feel This Week…

Highlights:

  • Sun-filled weather
  • Trending warmer and more humid
  • Storm chances return late week

Happy Mother’s Day…High pressure will provide stellar weather conditions to celebrate mom outdoors today.  Look for plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and warm temperatures.  Enjoy the day!

Dry weather will continue through early week, along with progressively warmer conditions.  A southwesterly air flow will also develop and help pull increasingly moist air out of the Gulf of Mexico northbound.  It’s safe to say that humidity levels will grow into the “uncomfortable” category by midweek.

With that increasingly moist air mass in place and an approaching frontal system to our west, we’ll begin to increase scattered shower and thunderstorm chances by Thursday, continuing (in scattered fashion) into the weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/14/a-beautiful-mothers-day-summer-like-feel-this-week/

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