It’s not just the daytime temperatures that will grab the weekend weather headlines (low-mid 90s), but the overnight lows will remain “oppressive,” as well (low-mid 70s) in what will be a very muggy air mass this weekend. “Air you can wear” will be an appropriate way to describe things this weekend around the entire Mid West. At times, heat indices will exceed the 100° mark. With an upper level ridge parked over the region, any storm coverage should be isolated at best. Most neighborhoods should remain free of rain or storms over the weekend.
Thankfully, even as the heat gets going in earnest, at least some slight relief is in sight. A cold front will approach the region early next week and increasing coverage of showers and thunderstorms should follow suit. We’ll forecast isolated to widely scattered coverage of storms Monday before better coverage (scattered to numerous) Tuesday. Some model data suggests the front will “stall out” over the Ohio Valley region which would keep high rain chances in our forecast into the middle and latter parts of next week. Stay tuned.
From this distance, late next week into the weekend looks seasonably warm and drier, overall.
Find a pool and stay cool this weekend, friends!
A cold front will drop south early next week and help increase overall coverage of showers and thunderstorms late Monday into Tuesday along with provide relief (at least temporary) from the hot, humid conditions. Temperatures will settle back closer to average by the middle of next week.
The end result shouldn’t only be an increasingly hot pattern taking hold Friday through Monday, but one that features mainly dry conditions, as well. With the upper ridge expanding over the immediate region, the majority of central Indiana neighborhoods should expect to remain mostly dry this weekend (only “isolated” coverage of storms expected at best).
Rain and storm coverage should increase early next week as a cold front approaches the region. With the increasing moisture, temperatures should also cool- at least slightly, as well…
An early look at next weekend shows general agreement with the GFS and European forecast models: drier air returning along with slightly cooler air. We’ll keep you updated!
Eventually these storms should pick up momentum and head off to the southeast later tonight.
An increasingly muggy air mass will take hold of the region as we close the work week, with dew points approaching 70° at times. The term “air you can wear” comes to mind. As impulses of energy interact with this tropical air mass, thunderstorms will blossom- particularly in the afternoon and evening hours.
Looking down the road, a “sticky” summer feel will remain intact through next week, but changes are brewing in the longer range. These changes would support a cooler regime developing just past mid-June (in the 10 to 15 day time frame). While the duration is up for debate, it’ll be nice for at least a few days of cooler air…
