Category: Unseasonably Warm

All Eyes On Florence; Generally Quiet Here…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/13/all-eyes-on-florence-generally-quiet-here/

Improving Weather This Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/10/improving-weather-this-week/

Looking At The Week Ahead…

Rainfall of significance is over, and thankfully so.  Many area rainfall totals checked in between 4″ and 7″ and while significant, the overall forward motion of Gordon’s remnants moved much quicker than forecast guidance suggested, ultimately limiting flooding issues from being even worse.

Today we’re left will overcast skies, patchy drizzle at times, gusty winds, and MUCH cooler air.  In fact, the majority of our Sunday will be spent in the 50s.  In case you’re wondering, November 1st is the “average” first day with a high in the 50s- 59° to be exact.

Patchy drizzle is possible through the day, but significant rainfall is over.

Temperatures will remain steady in the upper 50s for the majority of the day.

High pressure will return to open the work week.  We’ll still likely deal with more clouds than sun on Monday, but as high pressure builds directly overhead Tuesday, more in the way of sunshine will return.  Temperatures will be very pleasant through the first half of the work week- lows in the 50s and highs in the 70s.

All eyes will shift to Florence by midweek.  She’ll likely go through a period of significant strengthening on her journey closer to the southeast US coast with a potential landfall along the Carolina coastline Thursday.  There’s still time to watch things unfold, but confidence is increasing on a potential major hurricane making landfall later this week.

Unfortunately, the upper air pattern and lack of a steering current would lead to Florence either stalling out or “meandering” around the mid-Atlantic region for potentially several days…

Meanwhile, back here on the home front, our fall-like early week feel will transition to warmer times as we move into late week and next weekend.  Highs in the mid 80s will return with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/09/looking-at-the-week-ahead-2/

Wednesday Evening Rambles: Cool, Wet, & Blustery Weekend On Deck…

Gordon’s remnant moisture will claim headlines through the weekend.

I.  A cold front will approach Indiana Thursday and result in increased cloudiness AND a better chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms- especially during the afternoon and evening hours.  Though still warm and humid, temperatures will begin a “step down” process to eventually MUCH cooler readings this weekend.

II.  Unsettled weather will continue Friday into Saturday as the surface front settles south.  As an increasingly blustery easterly flow takes hold across central Indiana, cooler air will continue to “ooze” into the state.  Highs shouldn’t make it out of the 70s Friday with considerable cloudiness and showers around.

III.  Unseasonably cool air will be with us Saturday (most of the afternoon will be spent in the 60s for the majority of central IN, especially north of I-70). A stiff easterly flow and showers will continue.

IV.  The remnant moisture of Gordon will creep closer to the region Saturday PM before setting up shop Saturday night into Sunday evening.  This is the most concerning period for potentially excessive rainfall rates and localized flooding.  We still have time to watch things unfold, but the idea here is that widespread 2″ to 4″ totals are likely with locally heavier totals.  This is “beefed up” from this morning’s call of 2″ to 3″.  Stay tuned, especially if you live near water ways.

V.  Finally, the tropical moisture will surge northeast Sunday night and Monday and a cold front will sweep through the region.  This will set up a much drier and very pleasant period as we open up the new work week.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/05/wednesday-evening-rambles-cool-wet-blustery-weekend-on-deck/

VIDEO: MUCH Cooler, Wet, And Blustery Weekend On Deck…

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VIDEO: Gordon’s Remnant Moisture Arrives To Close The Week…

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VIDEO: Gordon Takes Aim On The N-Central Gulf Coast; Unsettled Close To The Week…

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VIDEO: Welcome Back College Football And WARRRRRR EAGLE!

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Prolonged Hot, Muggy Stretch…

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September Opens Warm Before Mid-Month Changes…

Thursday features updated weekly products from both the JMA (morning) and European (evening).  We’ll update this post tonight once the European Weeklies are in.

The updated JMA Weeklies show a hot open to September as a significant upper ridge takes up residence over the eastern portion of the country.  While the upper Mid West gets in on heavy rain, it’s a rather dry pattern, locally.  Sure we’ll have typical “splash and dash” variety of storms through the Labor Day weekend, but nothing worth cancelling any of your outdoor plans.  In fact, we recommend incorporating a visit (or two) to the pool over the weekend as well above average warmth and humidity dominate.

Week 1

“Transitional period” summarizes this timeframe.  The upper ridge begins to retrograde during Week 2, but it’s still a warmer than average pattern.  It’s a rather dry pattern, as well.

Week 2

Craving a more “fall-ish” regime?  The model says you’re in luck towards the middle of September and would make sense with some of the larger pattern drivers we’re beginning to see behind the scenes.  The ridge axis shifts west and allows a cooler than normal pattern to descend into the central part of the country.

Weeks 3-4

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/30/september-opens-warm-before-mid-month-changes/

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