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Category: Unseasonably Warm
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/01/video-jailbreak-pattern/
Sep 30
Prolonged Stretch Of Unseasonably Warm Weather…
The past couple of days have provided a classic fall feel across the region, but changes loom.
The PNA (Pacific North America Pattern) is forecast negative- at times, strongly so- through the better part of the first half of October.
Accordingly, we would expect to see a deep trough across the west and ridging/ associated warmer pattern across the east. Sure enough, that’s what the modeling is painting.
A prolonged stretch of unseasonably warm and humid weather will be with us through the first couple weeks of the month. Unfortunately, for fall foliage enthusiasts, for the second straight year, this will have a negative impact on the peak color season. Highs in the middle 80s and lows in the upper 60s to around 70° will be common during the period. Summer isn’t finished yet…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/30/prolonged-stretch-of-unseasonably-warm-weather/
Sep 28
VIDEO: Pleasant Early Fall Weekend…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/28/video-pleasant-early-fall-weekend/
Sep 24
VIDEO: Heavy Rain And Storms Arrive Overnight…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/24/video-heavy-rain-and-storms-arrive-overnight/
Sep 24
Periods Of Heavy Rain & Strong-Severe Storms To Open The Work Week…
An unsettled open to the work week is upon us. Periods of showers and thunderstorms can be expected this morning through Wednesday morning. Tuesday will present the most widespread thunderstorms and a few of these could reach strong-to-severe levels. Locally heavy rain can be expected at times. The greatest concerns from a severe perspective center around large hail and damaging straight line winds, but a couple of tornadoes can’t be ruled out.
Most widespread coverage of storms will arrive Tuesday.
Heaviest rain amounts will fall across eastern parts of the state where widespread 1″ to 2″ with locally higher amounts are expected by Wednesday morning. With that said, localized 1″+ amounts will also fall across northwest parts of the state as shown on the latest high resolution NAM.
The frontal boundary will sweep through the state late Tuesday and allow a cooler and drier air mass to filter into the region Wednesday. You’ll notice a true fall feel out the door Wednesday morning- low to mid 50s. Highs Wednesday afternoon will remain in the 60s.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/24/periods-of-heavy-rain-strong-severe-storms-to-open-the-work-week/
Sep 21
Welcome To Fall (Finally)!
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/21/welcome-to-fall-finally/
Sep 19
Ready For Fall, Y’all?
Meteorological fall (began September 1st) is running warmer than average across the eastern half of the country. More specifically, Indianapolis is running 4.8° above average through the period.
The culprit? A persistent strong eastern ridge (the same ridge that trapped Florence across the Carolinas after she made landfall).
That said, things are changing in significant fashion and these changes will result in much colder conditions as we wrap up the month and open October.
We note the PNA (Pacific North America pattern) trending strongly positive during the period.
A positive PNA typically leads to an eastern trough- especially during the fall months into the spring. Something like this kind of upper level pattern usually results.
Sure enough, the models are going to this look.
At the surface, the eastern warmth is reversed in a significant fashion with well below average temperatures. In fact, temperatures will grow cold enough to support high ground snow in the Rockies and northern Great Lakes and the threat of an early frost into the upper Mid West and perhaps portions of the Ohio Valley during the period.
Ah, true pumpkin spice season is right around the corner. 😉
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/19/ready-for-fall-yall/
Sep 17
Unsettled Close To The Week…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/17/unsettled-close-to-the-week/
Sep 15
Florence Continues To Impact The Carolinas; Mostly Dry Here…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/15/florence-continues-to-impact-the-carolinas-mostly-dry-here/
Sep 14
Florence Brings Devastating Flooding To The Carolinas; Extended Dry & Warm Stretch Here…
Florence made landfall around 7:15 this morning near Wrightsville Beach, NC. Within the past 30 minutes, a wind gust was reported to 105 MPH in Wilmington, NC.
Florence will crawl through the Carolinas this weekend and spread devastating flooding well inland- 20″ to 30″. Even the high ground of the North Carolina Blue Ridge will experience severe flooding Sunday into Monday- 6″ to 12″. These are forecast radar totals shown now through 2p Sunday. The Blue Ridge will see heavy rain continue into Monday evening.
Back here on the home front, expect an extended stretch of dry and warm weather. Plentiful sunshine can be expected as we head into the weekend along with a warming trend- mid 80s and lows in the mid to upper 60s. High pressure will remain in firm control.
The next item of excitement for our region will be from a cold front late next week. This will help increase shower and thunderstorm chances along with delivering cooler air next weekend.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/14/florence-brings-devastating-flooding-to-the-carolinas-extended-dry-warm-stretch-here/