Category: Unseasonably Cool Weather

VIDEO: Unsettled At Times This Week; Jolt Of Winter-Like Chill To Close The Week…

Updated 04.04.22 @ 6:54a

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VIDEO: Nice Close To The Weekend Before An Extended Stretch Of Unsettled Weather…

Updated 04.03.22 @ 9:11a

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VIDEO: Busy Pattern This Week; Wintry Conditions Next Weekend…

Updated 04.02.22 @ 8:46a

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VIDEO: Active Time Of Things As We Open Up April…

Updated 04.01.22 @ 8:07a

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Long Range Update: The Roller Coaster That Is Spring…

Updated 03.31.22 @ 7:09a

As we look ahead over the next couple weeks, a rather active pattern is expected to continue, including multiple storm systems that will likely impact our area every few days. This will likely also result in brief but significant spikes of warmth ahead of the system (example: yesterday’s high of 78°) in what otherwise will be a period of cooler than normal conditions.

Below normal temperatures are expected overall through the 1st half of April.

Despite the active nature of the pattern, precipitation should be pretty close to average through the middle of April, locally. The heavier rainfall, relative to average, will be confined to the Gulf Coast.

It’s been a while since we talked about the MJO and that’s due to it being a non-factor over the past couple weeks residing in the null, or neutral, phase.

Other teleconnections (namely the NAO and EPO) have supported the overall cooler regime of late. However, these drivers are in the process of flipping to states (positive) that will at least likely attempt to drive more sustained warmth our way as we approach mid-April. Modeling may be catching on to that as well. Note when looking at 5-day increments, the ‘mean’ trough position is looking to dump the trough into the West closer to mid April.

Moral of the story is to hang in there. Though we still yet have additional chilly times to get through over the next 10-14 days, there’s reason to begin buying into the potential of more sustained warmth trying to take hold towards mid and late month.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/31/long-range-update-the-roller-coaster-that-is-spring/

VIDEO: Chilly Showers Build In This Afternoon; Storms Blow In Wednesday Evening…

Updated 03.29.22 @ 6:45a

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VIDEO: Sunny, Cold Open To The Work Week; Tracking Midweek Storms…

Updated 03.28.22 @ 6:35a

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VIDEO: Conditions Come Together For A Few Strong Storms Wednesday Evening; Colder Shift Yet Again To Close The Week…

Updated 03.27.22 @ 8:52a

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Strong Storm Potential Midweek; Cold, Wintry Conditions Reinforce Themselves Next Weekend…

Updated 03.26.22 @ 8:45a

Some northern Indianapolis suburbs are waking up to more than a coating of snow this morning (have reports of 1″ to 2″ in and around Fishers this morning). Across other parts of the area, snow didn’t accumulate much more than a dusting, but all of the area has gotten in on the late season snow “excitement” (at least seeing it fall) between last night and early Saturday morning.

As we progress through the day, drier air will take hold and help put an end to the localized snow squalls. Skies will clear tonight and winds will diminish, allowing temperatures to fall into the middle 20s. If that’s not cold enough, Monday morning should feature low temperatures between 20° and 22° for most, especially outside of the immediate metro.

Forecast low temperatures Monday morning

The new work week will open with sunshine before clouds increase late Monday and into Tuesday. Light rain will be fast to follow.

After a break in the action Wednesday morning, temperatures will briefly spike into the lower 70s by afternoon, courtesy of a strong southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front. Our attention by this time will shift to the west as an expanding area of rain and thunderstorms approaches for Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. Side note: I wouldn’t be surprised if the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) eventually puts at least southern portions of the state in a risk of severe weather Wednesday (focused on evening into the nighttime hours). We’ll monitor that moving forward.

The front will quickly sweep through the state Thursday morning, allowing temperatures to fall through the day Thursday. In fact, temperatures will likely once again grow cold enough to allow wrap around rain to begin mixing with snow Thursday evening. Friday will likely feature scattered snow showers with temperatures struggling to make it out of the 30s for highs. Additional hard freezes are on deck next weekend (20s at night).

Snow will once again fly across the region late next week

The pattern beyond next weekend continues to look colder than normal into the 10-15 day period. As long as that NAO remains negative, we won’t get excited for “stick and hold” spring conditions anytime soon…

April 5th-10th is expected to continue the cool (to colder) than normal theme.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/26/strong-storm-potential-midweek-cold-wintry-conditions-reinforce-themselves-next-weekend/

Still Some Winter Left In The Tank…

Updated 03.25.22 @ 7:40a Rain will mix with and change to snow after sunset with widespread snow showers and embedded squalls taking up residence across the area Saturday morning. A…

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