Category: Unseasonably Cool Weather
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Fog, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, HRRR, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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August 6, 2014
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Watching Storms To Our Northwest…Fog is locally dense in many communities across central Indiana this morning and it’ll take a couple hours to burn off. Plan for extra drive time on your way to work and school. Once the fog burns off we’ll look at mostly cloudy skies today along with the chance of showers this afternoon. A complex of thunderstorms is off to our northwest this morning and the general track will take this complex of showers and storms into our general area later this afternoon in a weakened form. Not everyone will get wet, but rain chances will be around this afternoon and evening.
Friday Battle…Forecast models continue to struggle with exact heavy rain placement Thursday night into Friday, mainly due to how they handle an area of high pressure to our north. Thinking here continues to suggest we’re under the gun for a rather rainy Friday, but must maintain this is a lower than normal confidence forecast. Central and southern Indiana appears most at risk for locally heavy rainfall, including some 2″ totals somewhere in the aforementioned region. Widespread 0.75″-1.25″ amounts remain a good bet.
Increasing Sunshine This Weekend…Sunshine will be welcome after a rather gloomy work week. We forecast high pressure to build in and supply partly cloudy and pleasant conditions this weekend before rain chances return early next week.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
We’ll keep an eye on showers and thunderstorms to our northwest this morning. Forecast high resolution data points to this arriving into central Indiana in a weakened form this afternoon.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/mostly-cloudy-with-afternoon-shower-chance/
This afternoon’s video update takes a closer look at what continues to appear to be a rather cool, rainy close to the work week. Widespread soaking rains and temperatures that remain in the 60s Friday are very possible for some portions of our area.
The Canadian forecast model has remained most consistent on Friday’s forecast and holds firm on an axis of heavy rain through central Indiana.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tuesday-afternoon-video-update-closer-look-at-friday/
Severe clear can be used to sum up the start to our Sunday. High pressure is in control and will result in a sun-filled day with temperatures trying their best…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sunday-morning-a-look-at-where-weve-been-and-where-were-going/
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Filed under European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Hail, Heavy Rain, JAMSTEC, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Winter thoughts...
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August 2, 2014
Happy Saturday! Upper level energy will hang around the region today, creating a continued chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Similar to Friday, a few of these could be strong…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/saturday-morning-rambles-3/
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Upper Level Disturbance…An upper level disturbance will help lead to better coverage of shower and thunderstorm activity later this afternoon and again Saturday. While everyone won’t get wet, more neighborhoods can expect to see a passing storm than the past couple of days. Temperatures will remain below seasonal levels.
Drying Out And Warming Up…We’ll build a drier and warmer picture into your forecast for the back half of the weekend on into the first half of the new work week. High pressure should supply a partly cloudy sky and while temperatures will moderate from the cool readings of late, they certainly won’t be too hot for early August. All-in-all, very comfortable readings can be expected with lots of sunshine.
Watching A Potential Late Week Storm…Forecast model guidance is a bit inconsistent at this time period, but we’re still eyeing the next chance of showers and thunderstorms towards the end of next week. More details to come as we move forward.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Upper level energy will move overhead late today and Saturday and help lead to better coverage of showers and thunderstorms.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unsettled-1st-half-of-the-weekend/
