Highlights:

• Cool weather continues through mid week
• Upper low spawns shower chance Wednesday-Thursday
• Dry, warmer close to the week
• Much warmer and more humid early next week with storm chances

After a cool open to the work week, the next couple of days will continue a similar theme.  We’ll enjoy more sunshine Tuesday when compared to Monday afternoon and temperatures should be a degree or two warmer.

Attention will shift to a potent upper level area of low pressure dropping across the region in the mid week time period.  This will do two things of note- provide reinforcing cool air and help create a scattered shower chance in the Wednesday-Thursday time period. (Scattered 0.10″ to 0.25″ rainfall amounts).

Weather conditions will begin to relax as we put a wrap on the work week.  Expect increasing sunshine and a much warmer pattern.

Warmth and humidity will continue to build early next week and help add fuel to storm potential.

It’s a rather anomalous look to the 500mb (upper air pattern) charts for mid week, courtesy of Weatherbell.com.  A potent upper level low will dive southeast across the region and help spawn a shower chance, along with provide a much cooler feel of things Wednesday night into Thursday.  Surface low pressure will develop along the SE coast (in response to the UL energy diving southeast) that will provide a windy/ rainy end to the week across coastal regions down east.

Warmer days are ahead, and more humid days, as well.  Our wind flow will back to the southwest late in the weekend and early next week.  Temperatures will respond, but so will humidity levels.  Throw in a little energy and you have the makings for stormy times to open up next week.

Highlights:

• More heavy rain and embedded thunder tonight
• Unseasonably cool air this week
• Frost and freeze threat

Low pressure over IN this evening will move north into the Great Lakes Monday and strengthen along the way.  A cold front will sweep through the region later tonight and Monday morning and shut off the heavier rainfall.  Before that we have several hours of additional moderate to heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms tonight.  Tomorrow will be a breezy and MUCH cooler day and help set the tone for the week as a whole.  We’ll watch for a weak disturbance to provide a shower chance mid week and keep a close eye on the weekend for the chances of rain.  Model data is in disagreement on Saturday as of now.

Tonight’s radar, courtesy of WeatherTap.com, shows another slug of moderate to heavy rain and embedded thunder moving in from the south.  Heavy downpours will make for excellent sleeping weather tonight.

Overall rain coverage will decrease significantly as we progress through Monday, but we can’t totally rule out the chance of afternoon showers redeveloping in “pop-corn” fashion as just enough sunshine may work on what will be a very unseasonably cool air mass moving in.

Forecast radar, courtesy of Weatherbell.com, shows this Monday afternoon.

Unseasonably chilly air will be the rule this week- including 50s for highs most every day.  The only exception may be highs around 60 Tuesday and highs that may not make it out of the 40s Wednesday.  Frost and freeze conditions will be a concern on multiple nights/ mornings this week.

After a warm month (to date) [image 1], Mother Nature will do what she does best- attempt to balance things out the upcoming 7-10 days [image 2].