Category: T-storms

Friday Morning Video Update: Pleasant Open To The Holiday Weekend Before Wet Times Build In…

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Enjoy The Dry Time While We Have It…

Screen Shot 2016-06-29 at 6.18.41 PMHighlights:

  • Pleasant air in the short-term
  • Storm chances Friday
  • Widespread soaker

Looking Increasingly Wet For The Holiday Weekend…High pressure will supply continued dry times Thursday, but clouds will increase during the evening and give way to scattered showers and embedded thunder Friday. This doesn’t look like a huge deal, but don’t be surprised by rain and/ or a clap of thunder to close the work week.  That said, there will be more dry time than wet Friday.

As we rumble into the long Independence Day weekend, confidence continues to increase for a widespread soaking rain to develop.  Thankfully, Saturday still looks mostly dry, but we think clouds will be on the increase late in the day, followed by rain overspreading the region from west to east as Sunday afternoon approaches.  Widespread rain should continue into Monday.  We still have questions on timing and precise placement of heaviest rains (2″+ totals), but it’s safe to say most, if not all, of the region can expect a long-duration rain event developing Sunday.  Stay tuned.  It’ll also be cool.  Areas where heaviest rains set up Sunday likely won’t climb out of the 60s.

Drier air will return late Monday into the middle of next week, but we caution that another wet weather maker appears to have eye on the region beginning next Thursday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.5″-2.5″

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Catching Up On Tuesday Night…

June to date is running warmer (+3.6°) and wetter (+0.71″) than normal in Indianapolis.


That said, drastic changes have taken place over the past 24 hours for the cooler and drier. In fact, as we write this, many central IN neighborhoods are enjoying temperatures in the lower 60s already at the 10 o’clock hour. An unseasonably cool night is in store with widespread low-mid 50s come Wednesday morning. (Anyone else craving fall)?!🍂


Highs Wednesday afternoon will only reach the upper 70s for most.


Our next chance of rain will arrive on scene to close the work week, however, moisture return still doesn’t look terribly impressive. We’ll continue advertising widely scattered coverage Friday. 


The plot thickens as we roll into the crucial Independence Day weekend. Latest data suggests a hefty rain storm will be in our general vicinity, but we caution many details have to be ironed out. Our forecast, locally, Sunday-Monday may differ drastically over a relatively short piece. Fine tuning on track, timing, and amounts will have to be adjusted.


GFS ensemble members also show the challenging times ahead.


Stay tuned! In the meantime, get those window opens and enjoy the weather! 

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Monday Evening Video Update…

Cooler, more refreshing times are building in.  Temperatures come mid week will have you asking “Is this late June?!”

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PM Strong Storms…

The morning is off to a sunny, muggy, and warm start.  Temperatures will rise into the lower 90s this afternoon, but when we look at heat indices, it’ll feel like around 100 degrees across many central IN neighborhoods.

The visible satellite shows the sunny skies in place right now, but we note the cloud deck off to the northwest.  That’s in association with a frontal boundary that will press through our region tonight.

VisA line of thunderstorms will develop later this afternoon and a few of these could be strong to severe as they push to the south.  Large hail and damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern.  We think best chances of thunderstorms across central IN will come during the mid to late afternoon hours into the early evening.

3p

6p

1

11pThe air mass is loaded with moisture today.  In fact, precipitable water values will zoom to 2″+ this afternoon and suggest the threat of torrential rainfall with any storm that develops.

2Once to Tuesday, a MUCH cooler, drier air mass will arrive on the scene and help set up an unseasonably cool close to the month.

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