Category Archives: T-storms

Strong Storm Potential Friday Before A Pleasant Saturday…

Highlights:

  • Strong-to-severe storms Friday
  • Pleasant Saturday
  • Humidity and storms return

Active Friday For Some…Before we can discuss the pleasant and absolutely gorgeous weather conditions that will welcome in the weekend, we have to deal with a potentially “bumpy” few hours Friday afternoon into the early evening across portions of the state.

Central Indiana is under the gun for severe weather Friday.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines central and southern portions of the state for the threat of severe weather Friday.  Damaging straight line winds are the greatest concern with a line of storms that develop Friday afternoon and push southeast.  Drier weather will quickly build in behind a cold front Friday evening and help usher in a very pleasant open to the weekend.  We’ll certainly notice the lower dew points Saturday and cooler feel with plentiful sunshine.  Enjoy it!

Unfortunately the pleasant and dry conditions won’t last very long, and shower chances return as quickly as Sunday afternoon.  Humidity and a true tropical feel will also engulf the region next week.  This, combined with upper air disturbances moving through the Mid West and Ohio Valley, will aid in daily “splash and dash” thunderstorm coverage.  With a moisture-rich air mass in place, stronger storms will produce torrential downpours.  Overall, the active and unsettled summer that central Indiana has grown accustomed to shows no signs of let-up in the week ahead…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall:  0.00″
  • Rainfall:  2.00″-3.00″ (locally higher totals)
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms

Monday Morning Rambles…

An early look at the radar this morning shows a couple of lone storms near Decatur and Blufton. These are moving off to the east. 

While we’ll maintain mention of a widely scattered thunderstorm today and Independence Day, the majority of both days will remain rain-free. 

A wave of low pressure will track through the Ohio Valley Wednesday night into Thursday and this will result in an uptick in storm coverage. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible. While some localized totals could be higher, we think widespread rains of 1″-1.5″ is a good bet Wednesday night into Thursday. 

High pressure will build in over the weekend and aid in a drier and cooler theme.

Lows will return to the 50s across central Indiana Sunday morning and refreshing (upper 50s at night and upper 70s to lower 80s during the day) air will remain with us into early next week. 

Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Independence Day, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Mainly Dry Weekend; Stormy Weather Returns Next Week…

Highlights:

  • Mostly dry this weekend
  • Unsettled next week
  • Locally heavy rain

Classic Summertime Weather…While we’ll deal with some clouds from time to time today, most of the region will remain rain-free.  Best chances of seeing a passing shower will be across the southern half of the state.  Sunday will feature partly cloudy and seasonable conditions.  It’ll be a great day to be outdoors!

Unsettled conditions will return next week, including Independence Day.  Storm coverage will be most widespread during the afternoon and evening hours in this “rinse and repeat” pattern through late week.  That said, each day will offer up many more dry hours than stormy.  Just have a “plan B” in mind when those passing storms arrive.

Looking ahead, we may inject a drier and slightly cooler regime next weekend…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.50″ – 2.00″
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Independence Day, Rain, Summer, T-storms

Thursday Morning Rambles…

1.)  Temperatures are running much warmer across the Mid West and Ohio Valley this morning.  In most cases, communities are 15° to 20° ahead of this time 24 hours ago.  Ah, the fall-like feel was nice while we had it!

2.)  With the increasing warmth and humidity will also come an increase in shower and thunderstorm chances today through Saturday.  Most widespread coverage of thunderstorms should occur during the evening hours today and Friday night into Saturday morning.  Drier air will try and work in Saturday afternoon into Sunday.  Here’s a look at the forecast radar valid at 7p this evening.

3.)  While we should dry things out Saturday afternoon into Sunday, active times will return early next week.  We’ll have to fine tune timing, but the period Monday into Independence Day may feature a rather strong storm complex moving in a southeast fashion across the region.  Again, details still have to be determined.  While strong storms are possible at some point during the period, more dry time than wet can be expected.

4.)  The latest JMA Weeklies are in and while we’ll have a more extensive post this evening on the weekly breakdown, the screaming message to us is an active period continues along with cooler anomalies setting up shop across the central, including our region.

Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Independence Day, JMA, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Weather Rambles