Highlights:
- Pleasant close to the weekend
- Rainy open to the work week
- Turning colder with rain and snow late week
Sunshine Gives Way To Rain…The weekend will end on a pleasant note as weak high pressure provides a variably cloudy sky today. That early-April sunshine will help temperatures top out in the lower 60s this afternoon.
Clouds will increase tonight and showers will develop during the overnight period. We’ll add a little instability to the mix by afternoon and introduce thunderstorms into the forecast Monday afternoon and evening. This storm system will then exit just as quickly as it arrives Monday night and help set up a pleasant Tuesday.
Eyes will then shift to a stronger storm system that will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms Wednesday, with locally heavy rain a good bet. As the storm wraps up over the Great Lakes region late week, colder air will spill into the state on gusty northwesterly winds. Backlash, wind-whipped, rain showers will transition to wet snow showers Thursday into Friday as colder air settles in. The good news here is that the weekend will get off to a nice start…after a cold beginning Saturday morning.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.00″ 2.50″ with locally heavier totals
Highlights:
Highlights:
2.) We bracket the hours of 2p-8p (couple hours earlier from yesterday’s thinking) as the period of potential most widespread strong to severe thunderstorms across central Indiana, and the HRRR forecast radar shows what the radar may look like this evening. Have a means of getting the latest warnings.
3.) Scattered showers will continue into Friday morning before drier air arrives during the evening hours.
4.) This drier trend Friday PM is one that will continue into the weekend. High pressure will supply mostly dry weather through the entire weekend (small shower chances return Sunday evening), including sunshine.
5.) Another active period of weather awaits next week, including multiple rain chances early and late week. The latter storm looks to be the bigger event with heavy rain and thunderstorm potential Wednesday into Thursday. 7-day rain numbers check in between 1.5″-2″ with locally heavier amounts.
6.) The story becomes a chilly one next weekend, and models suggest central Indiana may be dealing with frost and freeze conditions by next Saturday or Sunday morning.
Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will likely impact central Indiana through the mid and late morning hours Thursday.
As we press into the early afternoon hours, model data suggests we see a “lull” in the stormy weather and potentially even a few breaks in the cloud cover. This would serve to “up the ante” in regards to the prospects of severe weather potential Thursday afternoon, particularly mid and late afternoon through the evening hours. Accordingly, the Storm Prediction Center continues to highlight central Indiana for the risk of severe weather Thursday.
In fact, given a look at the most recent data, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the “enhanced” risk area expand further north in future updates. This would also include all modes of severe weather (large hail, damaging straight line winds, and potentially a tornado). As things stand this evening, we bracket the hours of 4p and 10p Thursday for the greatest potential of severe weather.
As we push into the overnight hours Thursday into Friday, unsettled weather will continue, but we’ll get rid of the severe potential. “Nuisance” type showers will continue into the first half of Friday before drier air arrives Friday afternoon and evening. This drier theme will settle in for the weekend and provide a very pleasant open to April.