Category: T-storms

Mar 30

Now This Is More Like It…

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Forecast Updated 03.30.14 @ 9:24a

A Nice Close To The Weekend. . .After a cold, wet, and snowy Saturday, it’ll be nice to have a full day of sunshine as we put a wrap on the weekend.  While we’re getting off to a cold and frosty start, that increasingly powerful late March sun angle will help warm temperatures quickly.

Weak Front. . .A moisture starved front will cross the region late Monday night into early Tuesday.  While a light shower is possible as this front limps through the region, we’re keeping our forecast dry for now.  Regardless, Monday will be a very nice day, despite an increasing southwest breeze.  Tuesday will be equally as nice, just a few degrees cooler.

Big Rains For Mid/ Late Week. . .The Gulf will open up for business in the days ahead and this will keep our neck of the woods rather wet Wednesday through Friday.  Periods of rain will fall Wednesday and Thursday, and temperatures will be cooler thanks to an easterly breeze.  All in all, Wednesday and Thursday will be wet, raw days.  We’ll get into some warmer air ahead of a strong cold front Friday and this will increase thunderstorm chances, including the potential of a  couple strong storms.  We think rainfall totals between Wednesday and Friday could reach between 1.5″ and 2″.

Chilly Weekend. . .A colder air mass will build into the region behind Friday’s front. While sunshine will return Saturday, temperatures will go backwards.  Couple a strong northwest breeze into the mix and Saturday could be a pretty chilly day.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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For weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Big, wet snow flakes were falling fast and furious Saturday morning.  John Salewicz sent in this photo of the heavy snow falling in Zionsville Saturday morning. Thanks, John!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/30/now-this-is-more-like-it/

Mar 27

Slushy Saturday Snow For Some…

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Forecast Updated 03.28.14 @ 7:57a

Early Rain. . .Some lingering showers will be possible early this morning, but the majority of the heavier rain and thunderstorms are exiting stage right as we kick off the last day of the work week.  We may even note some afternoon clearing, but otherwise think the day will be a mostly cloudy one, along with steady or slowly falling temperatures and a gusty northwest wind.

Tricky Saturday Situation; Better Sunday. . .As fast as one storm system departs, our attention has to turn to the next event.  Rain will overspread the area late tonight into early Saturday morning.  As low pressure moves from the southern TN Valley into the central and eastern parts of KY, colder air will be drawn into the storm along the northern periphery of the precipitation shield.  Additionally, precipitation rates will likely be heavy enough to assist in cooling the column of air just enough to allow for a transition to wet snow across portions of the region during the morning Saturday.

While we’re not expecting major snowfall accumulations, it’s likely some communities (especially north and northeast of IND) see a slushy 1-3″ of snow Saturday morning.  It’ll be a wet snow and will likely fall “fast and furious” for a short time period Saturday morning.  Stay tuned as we continue to fine tune.  Otherwise, look for a rather cloudy, cold, and raw day with precipitation ending from southwest to northeast during the late morning into the early afternoon.

After a very cold start to Sunday, that March sun will get to work and help salvage a pleasant second half of the weekend. In fact, Sunday is looking mostly sunny and much milder at this point.

Weak Front. . .A weak front will swing through here late Monday into early Tuesday morning, but moisture will be lacking with this front and a scattered shower or thundershower is possible Monday night.  That said, most will likely remain dry.

Big, Wet Storm System. . .A significant storm system will organize over the Plains by the middle of next week.  Unlike our early week storm, the Gulf of Mexico will be wide open and help supply copious amounts of moisture.  We target Wednesday and Thursday for heavy rain and thunderstorms (some of which may be strong Thursday).  While it won’t rain the entire time, early ideas place 1-2″ of rain down in the Wednesday-Thursday time period alone.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2.5″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1-3″ 

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/27/wet-snow-saturday/

Mar 27

Covering Gusty Storms Tonight And Saturday Snow…

Busy times in the forecast office continues.  We are eyeing potentially noisy thunderstorms later tonight and the threat of wet accumulating snow for portions of the area Saturday.  Details can…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/27/covering-gusty-storms-tonight-and-saturday-snow/

Mar 27

Busy Pattern…

A busy weather pattern will keep us on our toes with two storm systems of note between now and Saturday.

Periods of showers will keep most of today wet.  While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of moderate to heavy showers are possible today.  A quick punch of milder air will arrive this afternoon after a chilly start to the day, combined with a strengthening south wind.  Total rainfall today and tonight should average half an inch, or less.

Highs today will reach the lower 50s, despite the showers.

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Latest simulated radar data shows the potential of a line of thunderstorms moving through here late tonight, directly associated with the cold front.  A strong storm is possible along with gusty winds as the front slides through early Friday morning.

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As if all of this wasn’t enough, another storm system will arrive Saturday.  This system will have a wintry component to it, with the chance of a stripe of wet snow along the northern shield of precipitation.  It’ll require our attention as we move forward.  March storms have been known to have a surprise or two and it’s our job to try and help eliminate any of these surprises.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/27/busy-pattern/

Mar 24

Out Of Season Cold…

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Forecast updated 03.24.14 @ 12:00a

Unseasonably Cold And Tracking Snow. . .It sure won’t feel like late March around these parts to kick off the new work week. Instead, we’ll deal with a biting north wind and temperatures more comparable to January.  Needless to say, certainly plan to grab the coat on the way out the door.

As we move into the evening hours clouds will begin to increase and light snow and scattered snow showers will arrive tonight into Tuesday morning.  This won’t be a big deal and we’re still anticipating little, if any, accumulation for most (perhaps up to half an inch in localized spots).  All the same, for a region that’s been brutally cold and snowy for month on end, this probably won’t be a welcome with “arms wide open” type of forecast.

South Winds Deliver Warmer Air. . .A gusty southwest wind will blow milder air north into the region Thursday. Along with the milder air will come moisture and we forecast showers to develop Thursday with a potential thunderstorm Thursday night into Friday morning as a cold front slides through the region.

Nice Weekend. . .Though Saturday will be colder than normal, sunshine should return for the weekend.  Furthermore, we’ll enjoy a southerly flow of air by Sunday which may help temperatures reach close to 60!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Less than 1″

twicFor weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/24/out-of-season-cold/

Mar 16

Changeable Weather This Week…

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Forecast Updated 03.17.14 @ 12:00p

Quiet, Brighter Start To The Work Week. . .After a “ridiculously” cold, windy, and gloomy Sunday, it’ll be nice to see the sunshine return as we kick off another work week.  Temperatures will remain much colder than average, but with that late March sun working through later this afternoon (once these pesky clouds move east), it’ll feel somewhat better.

Fast Moving Storm System. . .Most of Tuesday will be sunny and dry, but a frontal boundary will race towards central Indiana Tuesday evening and we note some of our high resolution model data trying to bring a thin line of showers and thunderstorms through in association with this frontal passage.  After a mainly dry day, clouds will increase and we’ll forecast quick-moving showers and embedded thunder Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  Rainfall amounts will remain light.

Dry, blustery weather will return Wednesday afternoon with temperatures just a few degrees below normal.

Late Week Storm. . .After a dry and pleasant Thursday, southwest breezes will kick into high gear and allow temperatures to jump into the middle to perhaps upper 60s Friday (dependent upon how much sunshine we see).  That said, another cold front will have it’s eyes set on our area and clouds will increase during the afternoon and evening hours with showers and thunderstorms developing Friday night as the front pushes southeast.

This will then set the stage for another cold weekend ahead.  While we’re trending next weekend (especially Sunday) MUCH colder, it’s possible we’ll have to lower temperatures even further in the days ahead.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast:  0.25″

twic

For weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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After a long winter, sunshine and pleasant temperatures provided a great day to get outside and enjoy the conditions last Saturday in Zionsville!  Thanks to John Salewicz for this shot!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/16/changeable-weather-this-week/

Mar 16

Much Colder And Very Windy Sunday

The storm system that looked like it may provide central Indiana accumulating snow earlier this week is, indeed, remaining south. Portions of southern parts of the state will see light…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/16/much-colder-and-very-windy-sunday/

Mar 12

Busy Morning; Quick Weather Word.

It’s an extremely busy morning here and we won’t have time to post the fresh 7-Day forecast until this evening.  After a round of thunderstorms overnight, precipitation has now transitioned…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/12/busy-morning-quick-weather-word/

Mar 11

Catching Up After A Day Outside Enjoying This Weather…

1.) We don’t really have any changes to the going snowfall accumulation forecast we have out concerning Wednesday.  We think Indianapolis accumulates 2″, with heavier amounts north of the city…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/11/catching-up-after-a-day-outside-enjoying-this-weather/

Feb 19

Active Thursday Ahead…

* Your complete 7-Day forecast can be found below this post.

We continue to monitor things closely Thursday as a busy day is on tap.  Thunderstorms will initially blow into the region Thursday morning as a warm front lifts north through central Indiana.  These storms will be capable of producing heavy rain and vivid lightning.

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We’ll then get into a much warmer south wind (gusting up to 30 MPH) and watch radar trends closely to our west.  We’re still very concerned for a squall line plowing east through the region Thursday evening.  Time of greatest concern lies between 5PM and 8PM for this line, but we caution timing may have to be adjusted after looking over evening data.  Damaging straight line winds are of the greatest concern Thursday evening, along with torrential rainfall.

ThrSeverThreatSIMRadarFollowing the squall line, we’re also concerned for strong and potentially damaging northwest winds Thursday night, gusting up to 50 MPH, as low pressure rapidly deepens moving into the Great Lakes.

Bullet Point Thoughts You Need To Know For Thursday

  • Morning round of heavy rain and thunderstorms
  • Severe squall line capable of wind gusts over 60 MPH Thursday evening- targeting 5pm to 11pm
  • Heavy rain totals around 1″
  • Strong northwest winds Thursday night that could gust up to 50 MPH

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/02/19/active-thursday-ahead/

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