Category: T-storms

Severe Threat This Evening…

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Video discussing today’s custom built IndyWx.com Forecast issued at 8:51am:

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/29/severe-threat-this-evening/

Monday Night Severe Weather Update.

Good evening and welcome in to IndyWx.com!

We continue to closely monitor radar and satellite trends tonight and keep a close eye on severe developments to our west.  As the video discusses, the clouds and rain from earlier today have helped in a big way from at least limiting what today “could have been” from a severe perspective.

That’s not saying we’re signaling the all-clear by any stretch of the imagination, it’s just saying that the clouds and rain from earlier have helped to keep us from really destabilizing the local atmosphere and the clearing we’re seeing now may be too little too late in regards to widespread severe weather here.

All of that said, keep a close eye on local radar tonight and remain weather aware.  The dynamics at play could result in a thunderstorm turning severe rather rapidly tonight and we’ll continue to closely monitor.

Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will impact central Indiana during the overnight period:

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The video below has more details:

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/28/monday-night-severe-weather-update/

Keeping A Close Eye On Severe Potential This Evening…

The region is still very much under the gun for potential severe weather this afternoon and tonight.  That said, the severe threat across central Indiana is highly dependable on just how easy we’re able to shake the clouds and rain this morning.  Sometimes modeling (even high resolution data) struggles with this.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines the region for a Slight Risk of severe weather- again the primary threat time lies this afternoon into tonight.

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Latest high resolution data suggests we’re able to clear things out this afternoon and introduce sunshine to help add heat and further destabilize our local atmosphere (not a good thing), which would help lead to rather robust thunderstorm development.

Note the simulated satellite data showing the dreaded clearing from now through the afternoon:

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Latest high resolution data suggests potential super cell thunderstorms begin to fire to our west as early as 4-6pm.  We’ll keep a close eye on things.

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Bottom line, a significant severe weather threat is present this evening into tonight.  We’ll hope the clouds and rain linger longer than modeling currently projects as this would greatly limit the potential heating and destabilization and subsequent severe risk.  That said, it’s important to note current data does suggest we break into afternoon sunshine.

Greatest severe risks here appear to be large hail, damaging straight line winds, and a possible tornado.  Be sure to have a way to get the latest weather information this afternoon and tonight.  Stay safe out there!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/28/keeping-a-close-eye-on-severe-potential-this-evening/

Unsettled Week On Deck…

Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat.               45/ 69 59/ 74 55/ 73 49/ 59 43/ 52 41/ 54 39/ 56  Light Moderate…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/27/unsettled-week-on-deck/

Saturday Morning Video Update

Good morning and happy Saturday!  A beautiful day is underway and we’ll keep mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures for the better part of the day.  Clouds increase tonight and…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/26/saturday-morning-video-update/

Nice Weekend Before A Prolonged Rainy/ Stormy Stretch…

A mostly dry and warm weekend is underway.  The Friday afternoon sunshine we enjoyed is a preview of what the majority of the weekend will provide.  We note the threat of a scattered shower or storm across northern portions of the state during the predawn hours Saturday and across central portions of the state (including Indianapolis) during the predawn hours Sunday. That said, in both cases, most will remain rain-free.

The big event is still slated for a late Sunday night arrival.  Low pressure will sit and spin across the Plains states Saturday into Sunday.  While we stay mostly dry, a major severe weather outbreak will likely unfold across this area during the day Saturday and again Sunday.

Better chances of rain and thunderstorms will arrive across central Indiana late Sunday night.  Some of these storms may be strong, but we think it’s more in the Monday and Tuesday time frame where we really need to be on our toes in regards to severe potential.  At this juncture, it appears as if all modes of severe weather will be in play across the region, including tornadoes, hail, and damaging straight line winds.  An enhanced risk of severe weather will lie across southern portions of the state.

The Days 4 and 5 severe weather outlook from the fine folks at the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) will likely be expanded north as we move forward.day48prob

Forecast radar from some of our high resolution model data suggests thunderstorms begin to rumble into the state as early as Sunday night.

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Eventually, this big spring storm will begin to weaken and turn into a large closed off upper level low pressure system. This promises a MUCH cooler stretch here mid to late next week along with continued unsettled conditions, with periods of showers and blustery northwest winds.  In fact, IND very well record measurable precipitation every day Sunday through next Saturday…

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After a warm weekend and early week, note the colder air moving in to wrap up April and open May. Temperatures are moving in the wrong direction.  Highs by the mid to latter part of next week will only make it into the lower 50s some days.  The first week of May looks much cooler than average.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/25/nice-weekend-before-a-prolonged-rainy-stormy-stretch/

Clearing And Windy After Morning Rain…

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Video discussing today’s custom built IndyWx.com Forecast issued at 7:44am:

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/25/clearing-and-windy-after-morning-rain/

Thursday Evening Weather Update: Storms Roll In Tonight.

Showers and embedded thunderstorms will roll into the state late tonight through Friday morning.  Here’s a look at what the radar may look like as you’re getting ready to leave the house in the morning!  The video below has more details…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/24/thursday-evening-weather-update-storms-roll-in-tonight/

New Storms Rumble In Tonight

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Video discussing today’s custom built IndyWx.com Forecast issued at 8:04am:

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/24/new-storms-rumble-in-tonight/

Wednesday Video Update

This morning’s video discusses rain and storm chances late tonight and again late Thursday night.  We also talk about a big storm brewing for later this weekend into next week.…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/23/wednesday-video-update/

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