Category: T-storms
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
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May 13, 2014
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Stepping outside this morning you would think it was July or August. Unseasonably warm conditions are coupling with dew points in the middle to upper 60s to help create quite the muggy feel to the central Indiana air mass once again. This will help fuel showers and heavy rain producing thunderstorms today, especially during the PM. Perhaps the most widespread rain and thunderstorms will arrive Wednesday into early Thursday as a wave of low pressure moves up along a cold front that will be just east of our region by that time frame. We still forecast locally heavy rainfall amounts during the course of the next 48 hours, including widespread additional 1.25″-1.50″ totals. The other big story will be the dramatically cooler temperatures that filter in tomorrow. We’ve called Wednesday our transition day and that remains our idea now, as well. Temperatures will likely fall through the afternoon and evening hours. Speaking of cool, temperatures will remain in the 40s for the better part of your Thursday (hope you haven’t put those jackets and sweaters away just yet)! We’ll slowly begin to shake the showers and clouds over the weekend and have trended more optimistic for Sunday’s forecast into early next week.
Most widespread shower and thunderstorm activity will likely occur Wednesday into early Thursday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/13/showers-and-storms-then-much-cooler/
It’s a warm and muggy evening across central Indiana and showers and thunderstorms are in your forecast. More on this and the long advertised BIG cool down looming inside the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/12/monday-evening-video-update/
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The new work week will feature a very stormy and unsettled weather pattern. While everyone won’t get wet today, we do note the likely chance of afternoon thunderstorms bubbling up during the heating of the day. Like Sunday, any of these storms could feature torrential rain and could quickly pulse to severe levels. More widespread rain chances will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday in direct association with a cold front. The long advertised cooler pattern will arrive behind this front and set up an unseasonably cool time of things to close out the second half of the week and head on into the weekend. Rainfall totals this week will average an additional 1.25″ to 1.50″ with locally higher totals. As for temperatures, we’ll go from well above seasonal levels today (8-10 deg. above normal) to well below seasonal levels by mid week (20 deg. below normal).
Forecast radar at 2:00p today, via the short-term high resolution HRRR forecast model.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/12/unsettled-and-stormy-turning-much-cooler/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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May 8, 2014
Posts this weekend will be a bit “off schedule” as I celebrate my brother’s graduation. That said, posts will hit the site over the weekend and we’ll also keep you updated on our Twitter feed- @indywx. A busy time of things lies ahead and a very active weather pattern will carry us into this time next week. Let’s get into some of the details!
1.) (2) rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be likely Friday. Weakening showers and embedded thunder will dissipate moving into central Indiana Friday morning. That said, depending on the amount of clearing that takes place behind the first wave of showers and storms will go a long way into determining the severity of round two Friday evening. The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) continues to highlight our area for a Slight Risk of severe weather (primary threats are large hail and damaging straight line winds) Friday evening. We also note the latest high resolution NAM simulated radar shows potential strong to severe thunderstorms moving in tomorrow evening.
2.) A second heavy rain and storm maker will arrive early next week. The Gulf of Mexico is open for business and suggests some locally heavy downpours are a good bet with both storms. This isn’t bad news as it’s been dry as of late. We’re now on day 9 without measurable precipitation and that will be changing in a big way over the upcoming 7 day period. Widespread 2″-2.5″ rains are a good bet over the upcoming week, including some locally heavier totals.
The detailed video discussion below covers more on the severe chances, heavy rain threat, and a much cooler pattern ahead!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/08/smorgasbord-of-weather/
Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. 63/ 84 64/ 70 59/ 73 57/ 81 66/ 80 49/ 67 43/ 59 – –…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/08/another-hot-day-today-busy-pattern-on-deck/
Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. 58/ 86 63/ 87 62/ 69 60/ 75 60/ 81 64/ 77 46/ 64 – –…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/07/summer-like-today-storms-by-friday/
Good morning and happy Tuesday! We’re looking forward to a beautiful, and warm, few days ahead before unsettled conditions return by late week. The video covers those details below.
Monday’s highs displayed quite the spread across the state- ranging from near 90 down state to the upper 50s across far northeastern Indiana. Here across central Indiana, many enjoyed upper 60s to near 70 on Monday. (Click on the image to enlarge).
Despite the surge of warmth coming mid week, and likely again early next week, the overall theme is one that’s cooler than normal for mid May. Note the strong trough developing over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
Video discussing today’s forecast and looking ahead to the weekend and beyond:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/06/catching-up-on-a-tuesday-morning/
Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Mother’s Day 45/ 66 48/ 71 56/ 80 59/ 82 63/ 72 62/ 72 55/ 72 Light…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/05/cranking-the-thermometer-up-this-week/
Here’s the video that was supposed to go with this morning’s forecast package. We finally got the technical difficulties worked out. Have a great evening!
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/01/better-late-than-never/
Quick evening update to discuss the overnight period and look at the cooler pattern moving in for late week.
Showers will diminish during the overnight and gusty northwest winds will deliver a cooler air mass that will hang on as we put a wrap on the work week:
The video below has more details! Have a great evening!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/29/tuesday-evening-update/
