Category: T-storms
|
Mon.
|
Tue.
|
Wed.
|
Thr.
|
Fri.
|
Sat.
|
Sun.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
63/ 82
|
66/ 77
|
52/ 60
|
44/ 56
|
42/ 55
|
37/ 60
|
38/ 60
|
|
Light
|
Light
|
Moderate
|
Light
|
Light
|
Light
|
Light
|
The new work week will feature a very stormy and unsettled weather pattern. While everyone won’t get wet today, we do note the likely chance of afternoon thunderstorms bubbling up during the heating of the day. Like Sunday, any of these storms could feature torrential rain and could quickly pulse to severe levels. More widespread rain chances will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday in direct association with a cold front. The long advertised cooler pattern will arrive behind this front and set up an unseasonably cool time of things to close out the second half of the week and head on into the weekend. Rainfall totals this week will average an additional 1.25″ to 1.50″ with locally higher totals. As for temperatures, we’ll go from well above seasonal levels today (8-10 deg. above normal) to well below seasonal levels by mid week (20 deg. below normal).
Forecast radar at 2:00p today, via the short-term high resolution HRRR forecast model.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/12/unsettled-and-stormy-turning-much-cooler/
-
Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
-
May 8, 2014
Posts this weekend will be a bit “off schedule” as I celebrate my brother’s graduation. That said, posts will hit the site over the weekend and we’ll also keep you updated on our Twitter feed- @indywx. A busy time of things lies ahead and a very active weather pattern will carry us into this time next week. Let’s get into some of the details!
1.) (2) rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be likely Friday. Weakening showers and embedded thunder will dissipate moving into central Indiana Friday morning. That said, depending on the amount of clearing that takes place behind the first wave of showers and storms will go a long way into determining the severity of round two Friday evening. The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) continues to highlight our area for a Slight Risk of severe weather (primary threats are large hail and damaging straight line winds) Friday evening. We also note the latest high resolution NAM simulated radar shows potential strong to severe thunderstorms moving in tomorrow evening.
2.) A second heavy rain and storm maker will arrive early next week. The Gulf of Mexico is open for business and suggests some locally heavy downpours are a good bet with both storms. This isn’t bad news as it’s been dry as of late. We’re now on day 9 without measurable precipitation and that will be changing in a big way over the upcoming 7 day period. Widespread 2″-2.5″ rains are a good bet over the upcoming week, including some locally heavier totals.
The detailed video discussion below covers more on the severe chances, heavy rain threat, and a much cooler pattern ahead!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/08/smorgasbord-of-weather/
|
Thr.
|
Fri.
|
Sat.
|
Sun.
|
Mon.
|
Tue.
|
Wed.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
63/ 84
|
64/ 70
|
59/ 73
|
57/ 81
|
66/ 80
|
49/ 67
|
43/ 59
|
|
– – –
|
Moderate
|
Light
|
Light
|
Heavy
|
Light
|
Light
|
We’ll enjoy another warm (almost considered downright hot by my standards :-)) day under mostly dry conditions. If your travels take you up across northern Indiana, a shower or quick storm is possible later this afternoon. Our weather will begin to change Friday as a cold front draws closer to the region. This will prompt shower and thunderstorm development- especially during the afternoon and evening. If we get enough sunshine into the mix during the first part of the day, some of these storms could reach severe levels Friday evening, including large hail and damaging wind. Officially, the Storm Prediction Center outlines the area for a Slight Risk of severe weather Friday. There are a few questions around the timing for Saturday, but for now we still think the day starts wet and dries out rather quickly, including increasing sunshine. Another storm system approaches early next week and will deliver another round of heavy rain and potential severe thunderstorms followed by a MUCH cooler air mass by the middle part of next week.
Video discussing today’s custom built IndyWx.com Forecast issued at 7:46am:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/08/another-hot-day-today-busy-pattern-on-deck/
Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. 58/ 86 63/ 87 62/ 69 60/ 75 60/ 81 64/ 77 46/ 64 – –…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/07/summer-like-today-storms-by-friday/
Good morning and happy Tuesday! We’re looking forward to a beautiful, and warm, few days ahead before unsettled conditions return by late week. The video covers those details below.
Monday’s highs displayed quite the spread across the state- ranging from near 90 down state to the upper 50s across far northeastern Indiana. Here across central Indiana, many enjoyed upper 60s to near 70 on Monday. (Click on the image to enlarge).
Despite the surge of warmth coming mid week, and likely again early next week, the overall theme is one that’s cooler than normal for mid May. Note the strong trough developing over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
Video discussing today’s forecast and looking ahead to the weekend and beyond:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/06/catching-up-on-a-tuesday-morning/
Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Mother’s Day 45/ 66 48/ 71 56/ 80 59/ 82 63/ 72 62/ 72 55/ 72 Light…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/05/cranking-the-thermometer-up-this-week/
Here’s the video that was supposed to go with this morning’s forecast package. We finally got the technical difficulties worked out. Have a great evening!
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/01/better-late-than-never/
Quick evening update to discuss the overnight period and look at the cooler pattern moving in for late week.
Showers will diminish during the overnight and gusty northwest winds will deliver a cooler air mass that will hang on as we put a wrap on the work week:
The video below has more details! Have a great evening!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/29/tuesday-evening-update/
Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. 49/ 71 47/ 58 39/ 53 42/ 56 43/ 65 46/ 65 42/ 66 PM Severe…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/29/severe-threat-this-evening/
Good evening and welcome in to IndyWx.com!
We continue to closely monitor radar and satellite trends tonight and keep a close eye on severe developments to our west. As the video discusses, the clouds and rain from earlier today have helped in a big way from at least limiting what today “could have been” from a severe perspective.
That’s not saying we’re signaling the all-clear by any stretch of the imagination, it’s just saying that the clouds and rain from earlier have helped to keep us from really destabilizing the local atmosphere and the clearing we’re seeing now may be too little too late in regards to widespread severe weather here.
All of that said, keep a close eye on local radar tonight and remain weather aware. The dynamics at play could result in a thunderstorm turning severe rather rapidly tonight and we’ll continue to closely monitor.
Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will impact central Indiana during the overnight period:
The video below has more details:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/28/monday-night-severe-weather-update/
