Category: T-storms

Jun 19

Remaining Active…

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It was a rather noisy evening across north-central Indiana with numerous strong to severe thunderstorms that dumped torrential downpours and provided damaging wind for some.  While rainfall totals certainly weren’t “uniform,” many communities received anywhere from 1.5″ – 2.5″ of rain between the two rounds of storms.  Today and Friday are liable to be another couple of active days as the heat, humidity, and instability builds during the afternoon.  Heavy showers and embedded stronger thunderstorms will likely fire across central Indiana this afternoon.  Locally heavy rain can be expected with any storm that develops.  As we move forward, we still think we can introduce slightly drier air into your weekend forecast with rain coverage greatly reduced Saturday and almost non-existent Sunday.  Next week poses a whole set of problems as forecast models aren’t in agreement in the least.  For now we’ll go with a blend, leaning slightly more in the direction of the cooler/ drier GFS by the middle of next week as it’s been performing nicely with the cooler, drier air masses so far this spring and summer.  Stay tuned.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/19/remaining-active/

Jun 18

Two Rounds Of Storms Ahead.

Good evening friends!  I hope this finds you having a nice Wednesday.  Our video update this evening looks at a couple rounds of strong, to potentially severe, thunderstorms ahead.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/18/two-rounds-of-storms-ahead/

Jun 18

Nighttime Thunder…

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An unsettled and overall active weather pattern will remain in place over the upcoming forecast period.  While it certainly won’t rain and storm the duration of the next seven days, we’ll have to focus in on individual disturbances and the associated impacts on our immediate region as we move forward.  The Storm Prediction Center does include the majority of central Indiana in a Slight Risk of severe weather this afternoon and tonight, with damaging straight line winds the primary concern.  All of that said, we also must point out that some of our short term model data is trending east with the thunderstorm activity tonight, primarily impacting eastern Indiana into Ohio.  We’ll monitor things closely and have another update on a potential storm track and timing this evening.  Stay tuned.  Widespread seven day rainfall numbers off an average of computer models would place 1.5″-2″ down across central Indiana.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/18/nighttime-thunder/

Jun 17

Focusing On Wednesday Evening Severe Potential…

Good afternoon!  We wanted to cut a video discussing our thinking around timing and primary threats from any severe weather that gets going across central Indiana tomorrow evening.

4km NAM forecast radar suggests a stormy time of things Wednesday evening. We discuss in your afternoon video update!

4km NAM forecast radar suggests a stormy time of things Wednesday evening. We discuss in your afternoon video update!

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/17/focusing-on-wednesday-evening-severe-potential/

Jun 17

Hot And Humid…

Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon.               70/ 90 71/ 89 71/ 89 70/ 86 70/ 86 70/ 84 67/ 80  – –…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/17/hot-and-humid/

Jun 16

Monday Evening Video Update; Feeling Very Much Like Summer…

Quick video update tonight discusses some of our thoughts as we progress through the week ahead!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/16/monday-evening-video-update-feeling-very-much-like-summer/

Jun 16

Monday Morning Weather Rambles…

Walking out the door this morning feels dramatically different than what we’ve enjoyed over the weekend!  Not only are humidity levels much higher, but temperatures are 15-20 degrees warmer than what they were this time 24 hours ago across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.

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With the increased warmth and humidity, it’s not going to take much to kick scattered showers and thunderstorms off.  That’s exactly what we’re seeing across central Indiana this morning.  Locally heavy downpours are possible under any of the stronger storms.

Look at the Northeast region radar snapped at 8am, courtesy of the Penn State e-wall site:

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As for precipitation amounts, it still appears as if we’re in a wetter than normal regime over the next couple weeks.  As of this morning, we’re officially running 1.56″ above normal at IND year-to-date.  A look over a blend of GFS, Euro, and Canadian would imply widespread 2-3″ amounts over the upcoming two weeks, with locally heavier totals where local downpours occur.  This is NOT what one wanting a hot pattern to lock in wants to hear.

While warmth and humidity will be the story this week, we still think we turn cooler to wrap up June.  We’ve been talking about a cooler than normal pattern developing for late month and latest guidance continues to suggest that thinking has merit.  Much more later!  BTW- your 7-day forecast can be found here.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/16/monday-morning-weather-rambles-2/

Jun 15

Very Humid; Splash And Dash Storms…

Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun.               68/ 85 70/ 89 71/ 90 70/ 89 71/ 85 68/ 86 67/ 84  Light –…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/15/very-humid-splash-and-dash-storms/

Jun 14

Sunday Night Thunder

Our nice weekend is set to continue for another 18-24 hours with another unseasonably cool night ahead. While humidity will increase during the afternoon Sunday, most of Sunday will be dry, albeit warmer.  High temperatures will climb into the middle 80s for many central Indiana communities.

Times will begin to change as we go into Sunday night as just the beginning of a series of convective elements come together to impact the region through Tuesday.  Thunderstorms will likely rumble into far western portions of the state as early as 4-5pm.  Speaking of far western portions of Indiana, the updated severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center highlights western Indiana for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms.  Again, this is a late day severe weather risk with damaging wind and large hail of greatest concern.

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Forecast simulated radar shows the convection rumbling east Sunday night and most of central and eastern Indiana get in on the thundery action before Sunday is finished.  Here’s a look at what the radar may look like from 8pm Sunday to midnight Monday morning.

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While the storms will likely weaken as they track east, a strong thunderstorm or two is certainly possible for the greater Indianapolis region Sunday night.  We’ll keep you posted with future updates.  Have a relaxing Saturday night.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/14/sunday-night-thunder/

Jun 14

Beautiful Weekend Underway!

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Normal lows and highs for mid June are in the lower 60s and lower 80s, respectfully.  Once again today, temperatures will remain well below average.  Many communities outside of the circle dipped into the 40s this morning- officially 46 this morning here at IndyWx.com HQ.  Highs today will only reach the middle 70s under a mostly sunny sky with a light north breeze.  Get outside and enjoy every minute of it!  (BTW- does this weather have anyone else craving college football season)?  In looking ahead, it’s a good thing we’re able to get the AC a break for a few days, because we still anticipate the heat and humidity to really crank next week.  While Father’s Day will get off to another refreshing start, humidity will build during the afternoon and evening, and really set the tone for the week ahead- hot and humid!  We’ll monitor the chances of a couple complexes of showers and thunderstorms late Sunday night through Tuesday and again Thursday through Friday, but it won’t rain the entire period.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/14/beautiful-weekend-underway/

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