Category: T-storms
*We’re going to begin posting a discussion going into more detail around the what and why of the seven day forecast in the mornings, followed by the actual updated 7-day…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/17/monday-weather-notebook/
Highlights:
- Warm and humid
- Midweek storms may reach strong to severe levels
- Late week model differences
The second half of the weekend will feature plenty of warmth and humidity, but should be mainly dry. We’ll include mention of an isolated storm. Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will return to our forecast through the early week period and we’ll continue to keep a close eye on the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday. Stay tuned.
As we look forward, there’s some disagreement with the evolution of things from mid to late week. The GFS is more progressive and delivers drier, cooler air to wrap up the week, while the European is a bit more sluggish. We’ll go with a blend for now, leaning more towards the GFS solution.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/15/keeping-an-eye-on-mid-week-storms/
1.) With the first half of August in the books, it’s been slightly cooler than normal with slightly below normal precipitation (-0.94″). 2.) A broken line of showers…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/15/saturday-morning-rambles-6/
Highlights:
- Beautiful weather continues
- Warmth and humidity returns over the weekend
- Spotty weekend storm coverage
- Better storm chances ramp up next week
High pressure remains in control of our weather today and will supply lots of sunshine and continued low humidity. Get outdoors and enjoy if at all possible!
A frontal boundary will make a run at the region from the north Friday evening and may result in an increase in cloudiness, but we expect any shower and thunderstorm activity that may make it into northern portions of the state to dissipate upon moving into central Indiana.
Small upper level disturbances will have to be watched over the weekend for the potential of sparking an isolated to widely scattered storm, otherwise mostly dry conditions can be expected with continued sunny skies.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/13/another-picture-perfect-day/
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Filed under Autumn, CFSv2, El Niño, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, JAMSTEC, SST Discussion, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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August 13, 2015
We may only be in mid August, but the IndyWx.com office is busy putting together initial thoughts around fall and winter (it’ll be here before you know it)! The upcoming…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/13/thoughts-shifting-to-fall-and-winter/
Highlights:
- AM fog gives way to lots of sunshine
- Early fall preview
- Warmer days return
- Spotty weekend storms possible
We still have warm to hot days left before we get into true fall air, but the next couple days will have many craving the autumnal season ahead. It’s not every year we can say mid August will feature lows in the mid to upper 50s and highs in the 70s, but that’s the case for Wednesday. Despite some patchy dense fog in spots, look for wall-to-wall sunshine today, continuing right through the end of the work week. Have an extra vacation day or two to use at work? Might we suggest burning them over the next 48-72 hours? 😉
Warmth and humidity will return heading into the weekend and on into early next week. Additionally, we’ll have to keep a close eye on weak upper level disturbances moving into the region. They may provide just enough “umph” to spark isolated storms over the weekend. Better coverage of thunderstorms can be expected early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/11/early-fall-preview/
Highlights:
- Early week storm threat
- Drier, cooler air inbound
- Next rain chance comes Saturday
The week will open with a typical humid and oppressive feel, but take heart in knowing it won’t last long. A cold front will move through the region Monday night and drier air will filter into the Hoosier state Tuesday. A much cooler and drier air mass will be with us through mid week before warmth builds heading into the weekend. Thursday morning will have many really craving those cool, crisp autumn mornings.
As far as rain and storm chances are concerned, we’ll keep an eye to the sky for scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage today. Forecast models differ on the weekend. The GFS suggests a cold front moves through here Saturday with scattered showers and thunderstorms and we’ll lean in that direction for now. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 0.75″
Interested in winter weather and snow removal consulting? Email us at bill@indywx.com
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/09/humid-feel-to-open-the-week-doesnt-last/
1. August has gotten off to a cool start through the first eight days and we expect this to continue during the upcoming week, only growing cooler, relative to the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/09/sunday-morning-weather-rambles-2/
Highlights:
- Half-n-half weekend
- Early week storms
- Fall preview coming
The weekend is off to a pleasant start- both from a temperature and humidity perspective, but also with current sky conditions across the area. Expect periods of mid and high level cloudiness to increase later today. We also note some of our shorter term modeling trying to push light rain into the picture by evening, but think the air mass will take some time to moisten up before we see much in the way of rain. Most of this should dissipate moving into western IN this evening.
The second half of the weekend will provide much better chances of showers and embedded thunder. In fact, we expect a couple waves of showers and thunderstorms Sunday. It won’t rain the entire time, but keep the umbrella and rain gear handy. Thunderstorm chances will continue as we open the new work week before a big push of cooler and drier air engulfs the region heading into mid week. An early fall preview will settle in Tuesday evening and have things feeling mighty nice around these parts for the rest of the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/08/pick-of-the-weekend-is-today-taste-of-early-fall-coming/
Highlights:
- Wet start today
- Beautiful close to the week
- Storms return early next week
- No oppressive heat or humidity in the picture
Low pressure will track east through the lower Ohio Valley today and help spread widespread rain up to the I-70 corridor this morning. Periods of heavy rain can be expected downstate. Thankfully rain won’t stay around all day and we should get into clearing later this afternoon and evening as drier air wins out from northwest to southeast. This will set up a beauty of a close to the work week with nice weather continuing into the weekend.
Moisture will return early next week and we’ll introduce storms into the picture as early as Sunday afternoon, but particularly Monday and Tuesday before drier, more refreshing air returns for mid week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″ (heavier south)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/05/wet-start-not-a-bad-finish/