Category: T-storms
Highlights:
- Scattered storms
- More concentrated; heavier rain this weekend
- Drier to open the work week
Scattered Storms Around…A weak frontal boundary will kick up a couple of scattered storms today. While rainfall totals won’t be uniform (some may not even see any rain at all), a couple of heavier downpours are a good bet. We’ll notice a drier and slightly cooler air mass overnight into Thursday.
The dry time won’t last long as a more significant storm system approaches this weekend. Most of the daytime Friday should be dry, but rain and storm chances will increase Friday night and Saturday continues to look wet with periods of showers and thunderstorms. Morning showers will impact portions of the region Sunday before we dry things out Sunday PM. Dry times continue to open the new work week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″-1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/14/scattered-storms-today-more-widespread-rain-saturday/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/13/video-two-cold-fronts-this-week-and-late-sept-talk/
It’s a quiet and cool start to the work week across central Indiana. In fact, a couple upper 40s are showing up on the morning station plots. It’s getting to be that time of the year… (Feel free to click on the image to enlarge).
Temperatures are running slightly below average, locally, with cooler anomalies across the Northeast.
High pressure will remain entrenched over our region today and supply dry conditions and pleasant humidity levels.
Our next storm system will push in Wednesday and as the cold front sags south through the state, it will spark scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
Reinforcing cool air will move in behind the front for a couple days. Lows in the lower-middle 50s with highs in the upper 70s.
As we flip the page to the weekend, it still looks rather damp Saturday as another boundary moves in. This will have more moisture to work with when compared to Wednesday and rain coverage will be more widespread. As a whole, (7) day rainfall totals should be in the 0.50″-1.00″ range for most.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/12/tracking-two-fronts-this-week/
Highlights:
- Greatest storm coverage and intensity this morning
- Turning much drier and cooler
- Reinforcing mid week cool air
Turning Much Drier This Evening…It’s been a wet and stormy time of things as of late. Locally heavy rain will continue to accompany stronger storms this morning, but we note greatest storm coverage should begin to shift ENE as the morning progresses into afternoon. Renewed showers will likely develop this afternoon as the cold front moves through the state. We’ll then enjoy a marked NW wind shift this evening and that will help push much drier and cooler air in to help create a true fall feel tonight. The second half of the weekend look beautiful- sunny and crisp!
Much needed dry time will be with us for the balance of the upcoming work week. We note a reinforcing push of cool air mid week that could spark a shower, but rainfall amounts don’t look impressive (the air will be much drier than the “soupy” feel we’ve been dealing with for the past week). A more significant rain-maker should arrive next weekend…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1″-2″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/10/drier-cooler-air-on-our-doorstep/
A “wavy” frontal boundary will be located over our region through the next 36-48 hours before getting a “shove” south from a cold front Saturday.
The combination of the stationary front along with a tropical-rich air mass in place will be enough in and of itself to produce periods of heavy rain today into Saturday morning. Add in a couple of disturbances moving along the boundary and the heavy rain prospects grow even higher. A strong to severe storm also can’t be ruled out-primarily this afternoon and again Friday afternoon.
Already this morning (6:30a) we note widespread showers and embedded thunder impacting IL and northern IN.
As mentioned, the air mass is plenty “juicy” to fuel locally heavy rain through the period. Precipitable water values (PWATs) will surge north of 2″ for all of central IN later today.
While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of heavy rain will remain in our forecast today through Saturday morning. Widespread 1″-2″ totals will be common, with locally heavier totals.
High pressure will build overhead Sunday and lead to quite the change. A much cooler and drier air mass will return along with brighter skies to wrap up the weekend.
Lows in the middle 50s will be common for the city, itself, Sunday through Tuesday mornings. Upper 40s to lower 50s are a good bet away from the metro.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/08/periods-of-heavy-rain-then-much-cooler/
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/06/tuesday-evening-weather-notebook/
The refreshingly cool couple days we’ve recently enjoyed will begin to give way to moderating temperatures today. Humidity levels will remain pleasant and it’ll be a great Labor Day weekend to spend time outdoors. Highs will top out around 80 today and into the middle 80s Sunday. Labor Day will feature the mercury climbing closer to the 90 degree mark. – Fitting, I suppose, for the unofficial end to summer.
Humidity levels will be on the uptick come Monday evening and Tuesday as Gulf moisture is transported northward.
It’ll be a downright hot week, as well. Temperatures will top out around 90 through the end of the short work week.
As we rumble into next weekend and the following week indications continue to point towards wetter and cooler times.
After a dry week ahead, rain and storms will come with that increased humidity next weekend.
Early numbers off the press suggest 1″-2″ rains possible next weekend.
The increased rain and storm chances signal another shift in the pattern towards a cooler one just beyond the Day 10 period. From experience, I would look for this trough around mid month to trend deeper (more significant) as time draws closer.
It’s possible the first push of widespread 40s loom around the middle of the month. Time will tell…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/03/warmth-next-week-gives-way-to-a-cool-mid-month/
Highlights:
- Sun-filled days
- Turning hot
- Storm chances return by mid week
Refreshing Temperatures (For Now)…High pressure and a dry northeast flow will continue to support refreshing conditions across the region. Plentiful sunshine along with low humidity values will create ideal weather to spend time outdoors as we go into the long Labor Day weekend. Perhaps a bonfire is in order this evening?
Eventually, our air flow will back around to the southwest and this will allow a much warmer and increasingly humid air mass to return. Sunday will be noticeably hotter, but the true push of humidity will arrive Labor Day into Tuesday. It’ll, officially, feel “oppressive” by mid week. That increased moisture will also help ignite scattered storm chances Wednesday into Thursday.
Looking just beyond the (7) day period shows the potential of a cooler period building back in next weekend…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/02/hot-weather-returns/
Highlights:
- Scattered afternoon storms
- Turning much drier and cooler tonight
- Refreshing into the weekend
Cold Front Inbound…We’re getting to that time of the year where cold fronts will begin to pack more and more of a punch, offering up increasingly cool to, eventually, cold air… An early fall-like front will surge south this evening. Ahead of the boundary, scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into the evening- particularly from central into southern portions of the state. Storms will be moving relatively quickly this evening so flash flood concerns are limited.
Behind the front, much drier and cooler air will ooze into the region tonight and set us up for an absolutely delightful few days of weather, complete with dry skies and low humidity. Temperatures into the upper 40s wouldn’t surprise us Saturday morning for outlying communities.
Eventually the heat will return from Labor Day into most of next week. As moisture surges north, scattered storm chances will also return to our forecast by Tuesday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/31/refreshing-times-ahead/
Today into Wednesday will offer up more of what we’ve grown so accustomed to over the past several days- incredibly humid air, along with scattered heavy thunderstorms. Similar to days past, the humid, “heavy” nature to our air will help fuel localized torrential downpours.
Thankfully, the hour glass has been “flipped” and time is running out on the humid air mass. In fact, as early as Thursday morning, we’ll notice a huge change. A northeast flow will provide a much drier brand of air and temperatures will also cool significantly. Several mornings (Thursday through Sunday) will feature lows in the 50s with highs in the 70s. Lows into the upper 30s will drive southeast into the high ground of the beautiful east TN mountains.
Eventually, our air flow will back around to the southwest and help push Labor Day into the “hot” territory. Highs in the upper 80s to around 90 will be common for Labor Day, itself.
The balance of the first half of September looks warm, but there are indications for changes to begin showing up towards mid to late month that would lead towards more sustained, consistent pushes of cool…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/30/changes-ahead/
