Category: T-storms
As the race weekend and Memorial Day draw ever-closer, data is able to pick up on some of the specifics associated with our weather for the all-important long weekend.
After scrolling through the data this evening, it appears as if we need to bracket late Friday night-Saturday morning and again late Saturday into Sunday morning for the potential of two rounds of gusty storms. Some of these storms could reach strong to severe levels, and the Storm Prediction Center continues to outline central Indiana for a Slight Risk Saturday (large hail and damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern, locally).
Despite having to dodge a couple rounds of gusty storms this weekend, we want to stress that the majority of the holiday weekend should feature rain-free hours, and certainly isn’t worth cancelling any outdoor plans. In fact, after a beautiful Carb Day, most of the daytime hours both Saturday and Sunday should be rain and storm free. Have a means of getting the latest weather information, but plan to enjoy long stretches of rain-free hours this weekend.
Much more later!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/25/latest-thoughts-on-memorial-day-and-race-weekend/
Highlights:
- Rain ends and sunshine arrives later today
- Pleasant Carb Day
- Stormy at times this weekend
Trend Is Our Friend Today…Showers are “pinwheeling” around an area of low pressure to our east this morning, but these will begin to diminish as we move through the late morning and into the early afternoon. In fact, we think sunshine works in here later this afternoon and provides a pleasant finish to the day!
The majority of Friday will feature sunshine and pleasantly warm conditions by afternoon. We’ll keep a close eye on the radar Friday evening/ night, but currently believe thunderstorms will remain just north of here.
Unfortunately, the long race and Memorial Day weekend won’t be rain-free, but it also won’t be a wash-out. Most widespread thunderstorm activity should arrive Saturday evening into Sunday morning and some of these could become strong to severe. The current Day 3 (Saturday) Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center places central and southern portions of the state under a Slight Risk.
While we can’t completely rule out an afternoon shower or storm Sunday, the most widespread activity should occur during the morning hours- before race time. Stay tuned. We’ll turn cooler early next week…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.25″ – 1.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/25/pleasant-weather-later-today-unsettled-conditions-return/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Indy 500, Memorial Day weekend, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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May 23, 2017
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/23/video-unsettled-weather-returns-for-midweek-and-looking-ahead-to-race-day-weather/
Highlights:
- Sunny open to the work week
- Midweek storms
- Storm chances remain for the long race and holiday weekend ahead
Pleasant Open To The Work Week…High pressure will support dry and pleasant weather conditions as we open up the work week. Expect plentiful sunshine and comfortable conditions to spend time outdoors today! Enjoy!
Unsettled weather will return for midweek as low pressure moves into the Ohio Valley. Scattered showers Tuesday will increase in overall coverage and intensity Wednesday, including the potential of locally heavy rainfall. With all of the clouds and rain around through midweek, temperatures will run significantly below average.
Thankfully, we’ll get a breather Friday, with a mostly dry day expected. We’ll turn the temperature up a couple notches heading into the long race and Memorial Day weekend. Additionally, expect an increasingly muggy feel with scattered thunderstorms returning to the forecast this weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/22/busy-week-of-weather/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/21/video-sunday-morning-showers-give-way-to-afternoon-sunshine/
Highlights:
- Scattered storm chances continue
- Much cooler next week
- Midweek showers return
Watching For Afternoon And Evening Storms…We’re starting the day with low clouds, fog, and a chilly easterly breeze. That said, a warm front will begin to lift north this afternoon, allowing a warmer and increasingly muggy feel to return. Scattered thunderstorms will also increase in overall coverage later this afternoon and evening. While widespread heavy rains aren’t anticipated, localized heavy downpours are possible in slower moving, stronger storms.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain Sunday morning, but a cold front will pass around lunchtime with drier air arriving by the afternoon hours. If you have plans outdoors Sunday, the afternoon and evening looks absolutely beautiful with a more pleasant air mass building in with those drier conditions.
Unsettled conditions return Tuesday into Wednesday with unseasonably cool air. As of now, the early outlook for the big race weekend and Memorial Day holiday is a dry one, with just a scattered shower chance Saturday. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″ (Locally heavier amounts)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/20/scattered-storm-chances-through-sunday-morning-much-cooler-next-week/
The Storm Prediction Center includes portions of the state, including Indianapolis, under a Slight Risk of severe weather today and Saturday.
The culprit is a stalled frontal boundary that lies across the center of the state. This front will “bobble” around from time to time over the next 24 hours before lifting back north as a warm front Saturday evening. Accordingly, expect a significant temperature spread from north to south today and periods of showers and thunderstorms scattered about central Indiana. With high precipitable water values, localized heavy rains are expected, but, as mentioned, this won’t be a “uniform” event and there will be “haves and have nots.” Some neighborhoods can expect to pick up a 2-3 inches of rain between now and Sunday afternoon. Greatest severe threats include large hail and damaging straight line winds with storms, but we’ll also have to monitor things for the potential of a couple rotating storms as well.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/19/periods-of-storms-through-the-weekend/
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Filed under Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos, Windy
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May 16, 2017
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/16/video-late-week-storms-and-much-cooler-next-week/
Highlights:
- Sunshine and warmth continues
- Increasingly muggy feel develops
- Storm chances return
- Much cooler next week
Very Warm And Increasingly Humid…High pressure will supply continued dry conditions, along with unseasonably warm temperatures through midweek. A southwesterly air flow will help push an increasingly muggy feel into the region by Wednesday. “Air you can wear” will be an appropriate way to sum things up! 🙂
That increasing moisture will eventually yield better coverage of showers and thunderstorms as we move through late week into the weekend. It certainly won’t rain the entire time, but periods of scattered thunderstorms will be with us Thursday through Monday morning. With high moisture content, locally heavy rains will be possible.
A cold front will move through the state Sunday night and Monday and result in a significantly cooler trend next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/16/humidity-increases-late-week-storms-then-cooler/
Highlights:
- Sun-filled weather
- Trending warmer and more humid
- Storm chances return late week
Happy Mother’s Day…High pressure will provide stellar weather conditions to celebrate mom outdoors today. Look for plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and warm temperatures. Enjoy the day!
Dry weather will continue through early week, along with progressively warmer conditions. A southwesterly air flow will also develop and help pull increasingly moist air out of the Gulf of Mexico northbound. It’s safe to say that humidity levels will grow into the “uncomfortable” category by midweek.
With that increasingly moist air mass in place and an approaching frontal system to our west, we’ll begin to increase scattered shower and thunderstorm chances by Thursday, continuing (in scattered fashion) into the weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/14/a-beautiful-mothers-day-summer-like-feel-this-week/
