Highlights:
- Storm chances increase tonight-Monday morning
- Drier, cooler air on deck
- Widespread storms Thursday
Hang In There…It’s been a long couple of days with high heat and humidity, but relief is in sight. A cold front will move through the state Monday. Ahead of this front, a band of showers and thunderstorms will slide through Indiana. A few of these storms could be strong with locally heavy rain. Best chances of storms across central IN appear to arrive tonight and Monday morning, before transitioning to southern IN Monday afternoon. Drier air will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday.
Our next rain and storm chances are dialed up for Thursday and early indications suggest this could be a fairly widespread event. Though we’ll maintain rain chances next weekend, coverage will diminish when compared to Thursday. Temperatures will be much more tolerable than what we’re dealing with today.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″-1.25″ (Locally heavier totals)
While some oppressive heat and humidity will impact our local area to wrap up the work week and head into the weekend, this is a pattern where it’s incredibly difficult to deal with any sort of one particular weather pattern for any time of substance. Looking forward to August, we don’t see this changing. Remember that word we leaned on to begin summer? “Transient” remains the best way to describe the pattern moving forward, as well.
To close, we’ll leave you with a look at the latest PNA pattern. This has been the primary driver of our weather this summer, and it also argues any sort of dry, hot weather doesn’t last. Note the positive PNA returning to close July. This also lines up well with our idea of unsettled times returning…
Ensemble data continues to suggest that the mean ridge position (hot dome) develops over the eastern portion of the country early next week before slowly retrograding northwest with time.
By the middle and latter portions of next week, the hot dome is set up in a position that will yield an extended stretch of hot temperatures across the state, including multiple mid-90 degree highs across central IN.
Given the current look of the ridge position, this would also be a rather dry pattern, as well, as the storm and rain track would shift north across the Canadian border into the northern Great Lakes states. (Follow that 588 line above for a good indicator of the storm track).
One always has to be careful in trying to predict the timing of the ridge breaking down/ overall placement this time of year (models can struggle), but for now it appears as if we really heat things up and dry things out as we move through next week- especially the middle and latter portions of the week.