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Category: Summer
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/08/video-ready-to-heat-things-up-this-weekend/
Jun 06
VIDEO: Pleasant Weather Gives Way To Weekend Heat…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/06/video-pleasant-weather-gives-way-to-weekend-heat/
Jun 05
Dry Times Remain: Briefly Cooler Then The Heat Is On…
Our overall weather pattern will be dominated by short-term cooling, significant warming by the weekend, and dry times continuing.
We’re noticing a significant change to the brand of our air mass this evening as a northerly wind is taking hold and helping to usher in lower dew points. This is only the beginning of a significantly cooler stretch of weather that will take us through the day Tuesday, continuing into Thursday. While the upper level low will drift south into the Northeast, our region will be dominated by a northerly flow and a much cooler, refreshing air mass into the latter portions of the work week.
In fact, we forecast highs Wednesday to only top the upper 60s, and this will be a good 10°-15° below average for June 7th. Lows each morning through Friday will start out in the lower-middle 50s for the city, itself, but some outlying neighborhoods will fall deep into the 40s. Very refreshing, indeed, for early June!
High pressure will dominate our weather through late week, continuing the overall drier than normal theme.
Models slowly begin to increase moisture levels as we move into the weekend and an isolated shower or thunderstorm could develop, but widespread rains of significance aren’t anticipated for the foreseeable future.
The bigger story by the weekend will be a developing hot weather pattern. Temperatures will be flirting with the 90° mark as early as Sunday and Monday. Instead of running 10°-15° below normal such as midweek, temperatures by early next week will be running 5°-10° above normal and very much like the “heart” of summer.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/05/dry-times-remain-briefly-cooler-then-the-heat-is-on/
Jun 04
Storms May Rumble In Later Today; Cooler For Midweek…
We’ve enjoyed a warm and beautiful weekend, and most of Sunday will follow that pleasant them. However, a cold front will drop south into the state later today and this “trigger” mechanism, combined with the heating of the day, will likely spark a broken line of thunderstorms. These storms will sink south into central Indiana later this evening, and a couple of storms could become strong.
Modeled radar shows how things may evolve later this evening, including time stamps at 5p, 8p, and 10p.
Most significant rainfall will occur across the northern half of the state, including a couple of 1″+ totals in the heavier storms.
As we push into the midweek stretch, cooler, refreshing air will take up residence across the region. Temperatures will run significantly cooler than average, including lows in the upper 40s for some Wednesday and Thursday morning and highs only in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Dry weather will continue, as well.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/04/storms-may-rumble-in-later-today-cooler-for-midweek/
Jun 03
Overall Dry And Pleasant Weather Continues…
Highlights:
- Scattered late-day storms Sunday
- Dry weather returns
- Cooler next week
Scattered Strong Storms Late Sunday…Our beautiful weekend weather will continue into Sunday. Expect a mostly dry day along with warm and humid conditions. A cold front will approach late in the day and we still think a broken line of thunderstorms will slip south into central Indiana Sunday evening into Sunday night. A couple of these could become strong, but a widespread severe weather event isn’t anticipated.
We’ll quickly get back to dry conditions as we open the new work week and another extended spell of rain-free conditions should carry us through the balance of the upcoming forecast period. Additionally, a notable cooling trend will engulf the region. With dry skies, low humidity, and highs in the lower 70s it’ll be picture-perfect to spend time outdoors.
Moisture will begin to return next weekend and, accordingly, we’ll introduce scattered showers and thunderstorms into our forecast next Saturday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/03/overall-dry-and-pleasant-weather-continues/
Jun 01
Drier Trend Continues This Weekend…
Highlights:
- Dry close to the work week
- Mostly dry weekend
- Slightly cooler next week
Models Continue To Trend Drier…It was only a couple days ago that models were suggesting the threat of heavy rain and scattered strong storms this weekend- beginning Friday. In this business, it doesn’t take long for things to change sometimes, but this is the first legitimate change for the “drier” that we’ve seen with storm systems since winter. Time and time again as we draw closer to events, modeling has had to play “catch up” for the wetter over the past few months.
The end result is one that will feature a mostly dry weekend, including only isolated storm coverage Saturday afternoon and evening (most stay dry) and scattered coverage Sunday. As a whole, many more dry hours are expected this weekend than stormy.
The other big takeaway over the past few days is the cool bias models have had. This is noted and documented and we’re adjusting our forecast accordingly moving forward. Drier and cooler air will arrive after Monday showers, but temperatures won’t run nearly as cool as once projected. For the second week in a row, very pleasant and refreshing weather is ahead for the middle of the week. Not bad, at all, by June standards.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/01/drier-trend-continues-this-weekend/
May 29
Pleasant Weather As We Close May…
Highlights:
- Pleasant weather ahead
- Storm chances return to close the week
- Drier trend this weekend
Happy Memorial Day…Before we look forward to the rest of the week, a secondary cold front will pass this evening and a couple of showers could bubble up as sunset nears. These won’t be a big deal and should be quick movers with cooler, drier air building in overnight. That will set the stage for a very pleasant midweek stretch, temperature-wise. Another round of showers are possible Wednesday, but more dry time can be expected than wet.
More widespread showers and thunderstorms will return as we close the work week and open the weekend. A cold front will push southeast Saturday morning and we’ll turn briefly warmer and more humid Friday with increasing thunderstorm chances during the back half of the day. Once the front slides to our south, drier and cooler air will quickly return. From this distance the weekend doesn’t look bad, at all. Unseasonably cool, dry air will continue next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/29/pleasant-weather-as-we-close-may/
May 27
More Dry Time Than Not, But Keeping A Close Eye On Storm Chances…
Highlights:
- Much more dry time than stormy
- Timing storm chances
- Unseasonably cool open to June
Best Storm Chances Arrive Overnight…Low clouds and areas of fog should dissipate and give way to partial sunshine as we progress into the late morning and afternoon hours. A warm and humid feel will develop this afternoon.
The majority of the long race and holiday weekend will be free of any rain and storms, but we will continue to keep a close eye on the potential of more widespread storm activity:
Overnight tonight into early Sunday morning and again Sunday afternoon.
Data would place more emphasis on the potential of widespread severe weather across southern parts of the state tonight. Damaging wind and hail are the primary concerns. Additionally, as a cold front rumbles into the warm and moist airmass in place Sunday afternoon, additional strong to severe storms may develop. These will be more scattered in nature when compared to the overnight round of storms, but any one particular neighborhood across central Indiana is fair game for getting wet for a brief time Sunday afternoon.
The cold front will sweep through the state Sunday evening and usher in a less humid and pleasant Memorial Day. We’ll keep an eye on Tuesday into Wednesday for shower chances, but think we’ll remain mostly rain-free. The region will be under a fast-paced northwest flow aloft and models can struggle with specifics associated with weak disturbances in that northwest flow. The next chance of storms arrives Friday, along with a warmer feel.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/27/more-dry-time-than-not-but-keeping-a-close-eye-on-storm-chances/
May 16
VIDEO: Late Week Storms And Much Cooler Next Week…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/16/video-late-week-storms-and-much-cooler-next-week/
May 16
Humidity Increases; Late Week Storms Then Cooler…
Highlights:
- Sunshine and warmth continues
- Increasingly muggy feel develops
- Storm chances return
- Much cooler next week
Very Warm And Increasingly Humid…High pressure will supply continued dry conditions, along with unseasonably warm temperatures through midweek. A southwesterly air flow will help push an increasingly muggy feel into the region by Wednesday. “Air you can wear” will be an appropriate way to sum things up! 🙂
That increasing moisture will eventually yield better coverage of showers and thunderstorms as we move through late week into the weekend. It certainly won’t rain the entire time, but periods of scattered thunderstorms will be with us Thursday through Monday morning. With high moisture content, locally heavy rains will be possible.
A cold front will move through the state Sunday night and Monday and result in a significantly cooler trend next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/16/humidity-increases-late-week-storms-then-cooler/