Category: Summer
An early look at the radar this morning shows a couple of lone storms near Decatur and Blufton. These are moving off to the east.
While we’ll maintain mention of a widely scattered thunderstorm today and Independence Day, the majority of both days will remain rain-free.
A wave of low pressure will track through the Ohio Valley Wednesday night into Thursday and this will result in an uptick in storm coverage. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible. While some localized totals could be higher, we think widespread rains of 1″-1.5″ is a good bet Wednesday night into Thursday.
High pressure will build in over the weekend and aid in a drier and cooler theme.
Lows will return to the 50s across central Indiana Sunday morning and refreshing (upper 50s at night and upper 70s to lower 80s during the day) air will remain with us into early next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/03/monday-morning-rambles-4/
Highlights:
- Mostly dry this weekend
- Unsettled next week
- Locally heavy rain
Classic Summertime Weather…While we’ll deal with some clouds from time to time today, most of the region will remain rain-free. Best chances of seeing a passing shower will be across the southern half of the state. Sunday will feature partly cloudy and seasonable conditions. It’ll be a great day to be outdoors!
Unsettled conditions will return next week, including Independence Day. Storm coverage will be most widespread during the afternoon and evening hours in this “rinse and repeat” pattern through late week. That said, each day will offer up many more dry hours than stormy. Just have a “plan B” in mind when those passing storms arrive.
Looking ahead, we may inject a drier and slightly cooler regime next weekend…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/01/mainly-dry-weekend-stormy-weather-returns-next-week/
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Filed under AG Report, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, HRRR, Independence Day, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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June 30, 2017
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/30/video-closing-out-june-and-heading-into-july/
1.) Temperatures are running much warmer across the Mid West and Ohio Valley this morning. In most cases, communities are 15° to 20° ahead of this time 24 hours ago. Ah, the fall-like feel was nice while we had it!
2.) With the increasing warmth and humidity will also come an increase in shower and thunderstorm chances today through Saturday. Most widespread coverage of thunderstorms should occur during the evening hours today and Friday night into Saturday morning. Drier air will try and work in Saturday afternoon into Sunday. Here’s a look at the forecast radar valid at 7p this evening.
3.) While we should dry things out Saturday afternoon into Sunday, active times will return early next week. We’ll have to fine tune timing, but the period Monday into Independence Day may feature a rather strong storm complex moving in a southeast fashion across the region. Again, details still have to be determined. While strong storms are possible at some point during the period, more dry time than wet can be expected.
4.) The latest JMA Weeklies are in and while we’ll have a more extensive post this evening on the weekly breakdown, the screaming message to us is an active period continues along with cooler anomalies setting up shop across the central, including our region.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/29/thursday-morning-rambles-3/
Highlights:
- One more pleasant day
- Humidity increases
- Storm chances return
Unsettled Weather Looms…We’ve got one more pleasant day to enjoy, but take advantage of it as changes for a more tropical-feel loom. With that increasingly warm and moist air, we’ll also see an increase in showers and thunderstorms as we wrap up the week. While it won’t rain the entire time, a couple rounds of strong-to-severe thunderstorms are possible during the Thursday afternoon-Friday period.
We think we return to drier conditions late weekend into Monday, but this drier theme likely won’t hold through the holiday period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms return by Independence Day.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ -1.50″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/28/muggy-air-and-storm-chances-returns/
Highlights:
- Scattered storms this evening
- Pleasant air continues for now
- More humid and stormy by late week
Pleasant Start Ends With Storms For Some…We couldn’t ask for more beautiful weather conditions for the last week of June. Hopefully you were able to get outside and enjoy these pleasant conditions over the weekend. If not, you still have a couple days to do so. Despite the sunny start to the day, enough upper level energy will move overhead this evening to help spark scattered showers and thunderstorms. Initially these storms will fire over northern Indiana before settling south through the evening. We think greatest coverage across central parts of the state will arrive between 6p-10p before these storms push south and diminish. Localized brief heavy downpours are possible, but, overall, this won’t be a significant, widespread heavy rain event.
We’re back to dry and pleasant conditions through Wednesday, but humidity will be on the rise by Thursday and so will shower and thunderstorm chances. We’ll have to monitor the potential of a couple rounds of gusty storms and heavy rain late week and we’ll have to fine tune timing as we get closer. Unsettled weather conditions will continue into the holiday weekend ahead.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″-2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/26/pleasant-air-evening-storms-for-some/
I. The new work week will open up with a continuation of unseasonably cool temperatures. Speaking of temperatures, how nice has it been to have air equivalent of late-September as we get set to wrap up the month of June?!
II: A weak upper level disturbance will drift overhead Monday afternoon and help spark scattered showers and thunderstorms into the evening hours. Not everyone will get wet Monday evening, but a couple gusty storms are possible. Here’s a look at the radar valid at 6p Monday.
III. After a dry Tuesday and Wednesday, better shower and thunderstorm chances will return to our forecast for late week into next weekend. Additionally, temperatures and humidity levels will return to closer to seasonal norms.
IV. An active pattern will remain with us as we progress through the first half of June. A busy NW flow aloft will likely send multiple storm clusters southeast into the region and we’ll have to be mindful for the potential of some of these storm complexes containing strong-to-severe storms and excessive rainfall.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/25/another-week-is-upon-us-looking-ahead/
Highlights:
- Early fall-like feel
- Shower chance to open the work week
- More humid late week
Beautiful Weather Continues…To help put this weather into perspective- our average low and high in late September falls in the lower 50s with highs in the lower to middle 70s. For the next few days, an early fall-like feel will grip central Indiana, and you won’t hear many folks complaining about it! (Personally, I say let’s skip right to those crisp late September days and football season :-))! Despite a weak upper level disturbance creating a shower chance Monday, we’re dry through midweek.
A return southwesterly air flow will arrive on the scene by late week and this will serve to help boost temperatures and humidity levels, along with assist in creating a better chance of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms late week into next weekend. Let yours truly worry about that and you be sure to enjoy this rare late June air!
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00-1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/24/early-fall-like-weather-continues/
Highlights:
- Breezy, warm Thursday
- Heavy rain Friday
- Drier and much cooler air on deck
Heavy Rains Likely Friday…A warm front is draped to our north this morning and this is helping spark a few showers across northern portions of the state. Here on the “home front,” with the exception of an isolated shower or storm, most should remain rain-free through the day, locally. Things begin to change late tonight into Friday as the region feels the effects of a “squeeze play” between Cindy’s remnant tropical moisture tracking through the TN Valley and an approaching cold front to our north. The combination of the two will promote the development of showers and thunderstorms across central IN. With a tropical nature to the airmass Friday, some of these storms will produce locally heavy rainfall. Most widespread rain and storm coverage should occur Friday morning into the afternoon before a drying trend develops from northwest to southeast Friday evening.
Our cold front will push southeast and clear the state Friday night which will allow a much drier and cooler air mass to settle in for the weekend, continuing into next week. You’ll be hard pressed to find anyone complaining about our weather through the period as a stretch of beautiful summer conditions take on an almost early fall-like feel through Tuesday. While we’ll have to keep an eye on a sneaky disturbance riding into the region on the fast northwest flow (could spark a quick passing shower), most of the period should remain rain-free. Eventually our air flow will shift to a southwesterly direction by the middle of next week and this will help transport an increasingly moist feel back into the region.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/22/friday-squeeze-play-much-cooler-air-coming/
Highlights:
- PM storms
- Dry midweek
- Wet close to the work week
- Much cooler air looms
Busy Times…Upper level energy and just enough instability could spark another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Similar to Monday, these will be quick-movers, but shouldn’t be quite as strong as yesterday.
Dry weather will return through midweek and while pleasant air will still be with us Wednesday, a more humid feel will develop Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms will begin to creep back into the picture Thursday downstate, but we believe most of central Indiana should remain rain-free.
We’ll be in a “squeeze play” of sorts to close the work week and head into the weekend. A cold front will drop in from the north while remnant tropical moisture moves north out of the Deep South. Widespread showers and thunderstorms should result, including the potential of locally heavy rain.
The big story over the weekend into the last week of the month will be unseasonably cool air. Enough upper level energy will be around in a fast northwest flow aloft to lead to shower chances Sunday, otherwise early next week looks stunning- including plentiful sunshine, dry air, and unseasonably cool temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/06/20/active-weather-pattern-remains-much-cooler-to-close-june/
