Category: Summer
1.) 2017 continues to fly along. August features 3.13″ of rain during the month and temperatures that start out with an average high and low of 84°/ 65° and 83°/ 62° to end the month. Needless to say, temperatures this weekend will feature well below normal conditions that will feel more like it should jumping forward 6 weeks, or so.
2.) Moisture returns today and results in scattered shower coverage this afternoon and Wednesday. Most of both days will remain rain-free, but don’t be surprised by a passing shower at times.
Scattered showers return this evening across central Indiana.
3.) More widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms arrive Thursday afternoon into Friday morning as a strong cold front presses into the state. Localized heavy rain is possible and rainfall totals of 0.50″-1.00″ can be expected (with locally heavier amounts under stronger storms) between now and Friday.
4.) As surface low pressure wraps up over the Great Lakes Friday, it’ll help pull unseasonably cool air south into the state, along with gusty northwest winds. In fact, temperatures will remain steady or slowly fall as we move through the day Friday. It sure won’t feel like the first weekend of August as temperatures tumble into the 50s area-wide Saturday morning.
Temperatures will feel more like late-September this weekend.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/08/01/tuesday-morning-rambles-shower-chances-return-today/
The weather this weekend has been simply stunning. We’ve enjoyed unseasonably cool and refreshing air to go along with wall-to-wall sunshine. If you’re a fan of the unseasonably refreshing conditions, you’re in luck, as another blast of September-like air will arrive next weekend.
A cold front will sweep through the state Friday morning. While we’ll handle the specifics from a precipitation perspective in later posts, most widespread showers and thunderstorms appear to arrive Thursday. A deep trough will take up residence across the Mid West and East next weekend and result in temperatures more like late-September that early-August.
Look for fairly steady or slowly falling temperatures Friday afternoon (how often can we say that in early August?!) along with a gusty northwest breeze. That will set the tone for the weekend that will include low temperatures in the lower to middle 50s and highs in the middle 70s. Unlike this weekend, we’ll have a few more clouds and the threat of a passing shower with enough upper level energy around.
Much more later! Enjoy your Sunday, friends!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/30/even-cooler-next-weekend-early-taste-of-autumn/
The new JMA Weeklies are in and highlighted by the following:
- An unseasonably cool close to July
- Worst of the summer heat is behind us
- Warmest anomalies along the East and West Coasts
Week 1:
A trough will sink into the central and eastern portions of the country and result in rather widespread below normal and quite refreshing conditions as we close the month of July. Along with the cool, dry air will come an extended stretch of rain-free conditions through the latter portions of next week.
Week 2:
The JMA suggests the mean trough position will remain across the central portions of the country with signals of ridging developing along the Northwest coast. Cool, wet weather (compared to average) is forecast central as the heat continues across the West. We also note developing warmth across the Northeast region.
Weeks 3-4:
Seasonal temperatures are set to unfold across the central late August with warmest anomalies painting themselves across the Northeast and Northwest portions of the country. The pattern, locally, is set to become more active from a precipitation perspective as wet conditions return.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/27/jma-weeklies-hottest-of-the-summer-is-behind-us/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/26/video-locally-heavy-rain-thursday-unseasonably-cool-refreshing-weekend/
Highlights:
- Turning more humid this afternoon
- Heavy rain Thursday
- Cooler and drier weekend ahead
Heavy Rain Tomorrow…Wednesday is getting off to a pleasant and beautiful start across the Hoosier state. Sunshine will be with us throughout the day, but our pleasant air mass that we’re awaking to will grow increasingly moist this afternoon and evening. Our next storm system approaches late tonight and will help push widespread rain and thunderstorms across the state early Thursday morning. With such high water content in our air mass, expect periods of heavy rain across the region. Localized flooding will result.
The trade off to the wet and stormy Thursday will be an incredible weekend. Despite a few lingering showers Friday, we’ll notice a dramatic drop in humidity Friday night and this will set the stage for a refreshing last weekend of July. In fact, temperatures will grow cool enough both Saturday and Sunday mornings to perhaps trigger a feel of early autumn for some. Plentiful sunshine can be expected along with unseasonably low dew points with a northeasterly flow in place.
Temperatures and moisture levels will slowly increase as we get into early next week. With the increasing humidity, expect increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms towards the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.00″ – 3.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/26/heavy-rain-and-storms-thursday-phenomenal-weekend-ahead/
Highlights:
- Less humid air builds in
- Mid-week storms
- Refreshing weekend
Pleasant Open To The Work Week…High pressure will build overhead today and result in a dry open to the work week. A surface front moved south through the region late last night and north winds will help drier air continue to build in as we move through the day. By this evening, we’ll really feel the more refreshing brand of air.
We’ll remain rain-free through Tuesday before our next cold front approaches late Wednesday into Thursday. Most of Wednesday will remain dry, as well, but we’ll mention chances of a late night thunderstorm arriving from the northwest. Better overall coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected Thursday.
Timing is our friend this go around as the front passes Thursday evening, allowing a much drier and cooler air mass to build in. Considering this is the last weekend of July, it’ll feel very, very pleasant.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/24/now-this-is-more-like-it-3/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/22/video-oppressive-feel-gives-way-to-strong-storms/
Highlights:
- Periods of storms
- Heat and humidity makes things uncomfortable
- Drier early next week
Mother Nature Calls…Many awoke early this morning as a complex of thunderstorms rumbled southeast into central Indiana. Some local rain gauges are already registering 2″+ across the region. Eventually, we think clouds will thin enough later today to allow temperatures to zoom close to 90°. Factor in the moisture-rich nature of our air mass and heat indices will approach 105° later this afternoon.
We’ll keep mention of scattered storms this evening and while most of the daytime Saturday looks dry, we’ll have to keep a close eye on Saturday night as models try to deliver another round of storms into central Indiana. Ingredients will be in place for the potential of severe thunderstorms Saturday night, with damaging winds being the biggest concern from a severe perspective.
A frontal boundary will push south and we’ll finally begin to see humidity levels fall as we close the weekend and open next week. It’ll feel very refreshing during the Monday-Tuesday stretch.
Heat, humidity, and storm chances return by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1″ – 3″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/21/periods-of-storms-interrupt-an-otherwise-hot-humid-regime/
The new JMA Weeklies are in and highlighted by the following:
- Central hot pattern doesn’t last
- Seasonal pattern takes hold
- Heat builds across the Northeast region
Week 1:
Hottest anomalies remain across the central region, but the days are numbered on this pulse of heat and the JMA Weeklies suggest a cooler, more seasonal, pattern looms to close July and open August. We note the wet regime across the Southwest region, where associated cooler anomalies are also located.
Week 2:
It’s a “book end” hot pattern that includes heat along both the Northwest region and a developing hot pattern over the Northeast. The central region, including here on the home front, looks very seasonal. With a subtle northwest flow aloft, we’ll have to be mindful of storm complexes at times.
Weeks 3-4:
Our attention is drawn to the heat across the Northeast region and the cooler, wetter regime (relative to average) across the Southwest. Locally, there aren’t any strong indications for big time heat or heavy rains.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/20/jma-weeklies-seasonal-pattern-to-open-august/
Highlights:
- Increasingly hot and humid
- Isolated storm coverage becomes more widespread
- Relief next week
Air You Can Wear…The big weather story will be the increasingly hot and humid feel as we progress through the week and on into the weekend. The combination of dew points in the 70s and wet soils across the state should “beat back” the heat from getting to where it otherwise could (mid-upper 90s), but it’ll feel oppressive, nonetheless. Plan to hydrate and wear cool, lightweight clothing if you plan to be outdoors for any length of time.
While we can’t completely rule out a renegade storm through Friday, most neighborhoods will remain free of any rain through the remainder of the work week. Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will increase over the weekend into early next week as the transition from hot, humid weather begins to give way to a more pleasant feel.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/07/18/increasingly-hot-and-humid/
