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Category: Summer
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/07/video-no-looking-back-on-the-active-wet-pattern/
Aug 06
Unsettled 24-36 Hours And Looking Beyond…
A cold front is slowly sinking south and will feature a weak wave of low pressure that will track along the boundary Tuesday. The end result spells for increased chances of showers and thunderstorms across central Indiana over the upcoming 24-36 hours.
Initially, we expect an area of thunderstorms to push south and potentially impact north-central portions of the state later tonight. The latest high resolution NAM forecast radar gives us an idea what the radar may look like late tonight- just after midnight.
Some of the storms across the northern third of the state may “pulse” to severe levels this evening, including the potential of large hail and damaging winds. (This complex will weaken as it surges south later tonight).
As we turn our attention to Tuesday, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. A few strong storms are possible, including locally heavy rain.
Eventually, drier times will return by mid-week. Beforehand, most central Indiana rain gauges should receive somewhere between 0.50″ to 1″ of rain. With a rich, tropical airmass in place, there will be some locally heavier totals.
Image courtesy of weathermodels.com
Image courtesy of weathermodels.com
As the cold front moves south during the midweek stretch, drier times will return Wednesday and Thursday. With that said, the drier regime won’t last long, as a cut off upper low “mucks” things up over the weekend. While it certainly won’t rain the entire time, daily rain chances will return late Friday, continuing throughout the weekend. There’s no need to cancel any outdoor plans, but have the rain gear handy, as you’ll likely need it at times throughout the weekend.
A “cut off” upper low will impact the region this weekend. Image courtesy of tropicaltidbits.com.
Speaking of rain and overall unsettled times, the pattern sure looks active around these parts into the mid and longer range. More on that in future updates…
Longer range data suggests wetter than normal times throughout the Ohio Valley mid and late August. Image courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/06/unsettled-24-36-hours-and-looking-beyond/
Aug 06
VIDEO: Week Is “Bookended” By Unsettled Weather…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/06/video-week-is-bookended-by-unsettled-weather/
Aug 05
VIDEO: Hot Close To The Weekend; Cold Front Begins To Impact The Region Monday Afternoon…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/05/video-hot-close-to-the-weekend-cold-front-begins-to-impact-the-region-monday-afternoon/
Aug 03
VIDEO: Summer Feel Returns…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/03/video-summer-feel-returns/
Aug 02
Mostly Dry Weekend; Active Times Return Early Next Week…
A summer-like feel will return as we move through the weekend. While the heat and humidity won’t be excessive by any means, you’ll certainly notice a different feel when compared to the cooler air we’ve enjoyed over the past 10 days, or so. We forecast highs in the mid-upper 80s with plentiful sunshine through the weekend. While an “isolated” thunderstorm is possible, most will remain rain-free until early next week. That said, best rain and storm chances will be confined to northern Indiana Thursday evening and forecast radar products are picking up on a skinny line of showers and thunderstorms.
A thin line of storms may impact northern Indiana this evening. Image courtesy of weathermodels.com.
This area of thunderstorms is forecast to diminish before it would impact central Indiana.
Forecast radar 9p. Image courtesy of weathermodels.com.
The weekend will be highlighted by plentiful sunshine with only isolated storm coverage and an increasingly muggy feel. Note the southwest air flow returning around an area of high pressure off the East Coast and our next approaching storm system to the northwest.
That storm system will settle south and begin to impact central Indiana early next week with storm chances increasing Monday into Tuesday. With rich tropical moisture in place, locally heavy rain will be likely as the front moves in.
Models are in overall agreement of additional significant rainfall early next week (widespread 1″ to 2″).
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/02/mostly-dry-weekend-active-times-return-early-next-week/
Aug 01
VIDEO: Foggy Open To August; Discussing Rain Chances Ahead…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/01/video-foggy-open-to-august-discussing-rain-chances-ahead/
Jul 31
Summer Feel Returns…
The past (10) days have been particularly pleasant across central Indiana, especially by late-July standards. 80% of the period has featured temperatures at, or below, normal, and the past couple of days have been impressively cool. Hat tip to Sean Ash (@SeanWTHR) for the most recent stat: “Just the 12th time in 147 years of back-to-back July days in Indianapolis with a high of 72° or below.” Rainfall has been plentiful across central Indiana, including widespread amounts of 1″ to 2″ with some reports of 3″ to 5″ over the past 48 hours.
After a warm open to the month, July has taken on a significantly cooler side as of late: Graphic courtesy of Midwestern Regional Climate Center
As we rumble into August, you knew that summer feel had to return, right?! 🙂
Forecast models are in agreement that an upper level ridge will expand across the Great Lakes region in the 6-10 day period. This will deliver a return of warm-to-hot and muggy conditions to central Indiana- beginning this weekend into next week.
GEFS Days 6-10: Graphic courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com
EPS Days 6-10: Graphic courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com
While the next couple of days will continue the cooler than normal theme, temperatures will return to a “summery” feel over the weekend, continuing into next week. Along with the warmer air will also come increasing humidity. In short, we recommend incorporating a pool visit (or two) into your weekend schedule. Highs will return into the upper 80s to around 90° and overnight lows will dip into the upper 60s to around 70°. While warmer and certainly more humid than we’ve been, we still believe the hottest of the season is behind us (highs of 94° on July 4th and 14th).
Highs will top out a couple degrees either side of 90 this weekend. Graphic courtesy of weathermodels.com
While a more summer-like feel will replace the unseasonably cool close to the month and open to August, it sure looks like the hotter regime will be transitional. The general consensus from data points towards a return of seasonable to below average temperatures along with a continuation of active times as mid-month approaches…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/31/summer-feel-returns/
Jul 30
VIDEO: Periods Of Heavy Rain To Open The Work Week; Unseasonably Cool…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/30/video-periods-of-heavy-rain-to-open-the-work-week-unseasonably-cool/
Jul 29
Sunday Evening Short-Term Video Update…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/29/sunday-evening-short-term-video-update/