Prolonged Stretch Of Unseasonably Warm Weather…
The past couple of days have provided a classic fall feel across the region, but changes loom.
The PNA (Pacific North America Pattern) is forecast negative- at times, strongly so- through the better part of the first half of October.
Accordingly, we would expect to see a deep trough across the west and ridging/ associated warmer pattern across the east. Sure enough, that’s what the modeling is painting.
A prolonged stretch of unseasonably warm and humid weather will be with us through the first couple weeks of the month. Unfortunately, for fall foliage enthusiasts, for the second straight year, this will have a negative impact on the peak color season. Highs in the middle 80s and lows in the upper 60s to around 70° will be common during the period. Summer isn’t finished yet…
Florence will crawl through the Carolinas this weekend and spread devastating flooding well inland- 20″ to 30″. Even the high ground of the North Carolina Blue Ridge will experience severe flooding Sunday into Monday- 6″ to 12″. These are forecast radar totals shown now through 2p Sunday. The Blue Ridge will see heavy rain continue into Monday evening.
Back here on the home front, expect an extended stretch of dry and warm weather. Plentiful sunshine can be expected as we head into the weekend along with a warming trend- mid 80s and lows in the mid to upper 60s. High pressure will remain in firm control.
The next item of excitement for our region will be from a cold front late next week. This will help increase shower and thunderstorm chances along with delivering cooler air next weekend.