Updated 03.18.22 @ 7:40a
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Mar 18
Updated 03.18.22 @ 7:40a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-keeping-an-eye-on-severe-potential-tonight-looking-ahead-to-an-active-close-to-the-month/
Mar 17
Updated 03.17.22 @ 6:32a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-a-more-active-weather-pattern-returns/
Mar 16
Updated 03.16.22 @ 6:42a
While relative warmth will dominate headlines in the short-term, there’s plenty of reason not to buy into the idea that we’re finished with the chilly late winter temperatures just yet.
First, let’s start with the MJO. We’re in Phase 2 now, but what is most intriguing is the duration spent in Phase 3 (favors a pressing trough east and south similar to what image 2 shows below).


Should the MJO continue to move forward with similar amplitude then milder conditions would prevail as we get set to wrap up the month.
By that point, however, we’ll have to pay particularly close attention to the EPO and NAO phases. There are growing signals that both teleconnections will favor a return of colder than normal conditions prior to closing out the month. Couple that with the MJO movement and confidence continues to increase that we aren’t quite finished with the chill just yet. The question then becomes what takes place in April? We’ll lean into that with more detail during tomorrow’s update.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/chill-isnt-finished-yet/
Mar 15
Updated 03.15.22 @ 6:37a
It’s important to enjoy the relatively quiet times this week as all indications point towards an active stretch before wrapping up the month. Of course we’ll have to contend with the late week system that will move through Friday (still looks like a 0.50” producer for most) but there are likely far more significant storm systems that loom the following week.
This is all part of what continues to look like a setback to cooler than normal conditions by late month. The duration of such will ultimately be up to the EPO, NAO, and MJO as we rumble into April. Before we get to that point, plan on more significant and moisture-laden storm systems impacting the region (first of which likely arrives Tuesday into Thursday of next week).

The wetter pattern is a byproduct of the “fight” from short and medium range warmth and longer term cooler anomalies returning prior to wrapping up the month.


Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/a-word-on-late-month/
Mar 14
Updated 03.14.22 @ 6:36a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-quiet-open-to-the-work-week-better-chances-of-more-widespread-rain-embedded-thunder-by-friday/