Category Archives: snow

Enjoy The Quiet Times While We Have Them…

Updated 02.27.22 @ 7:17a

A fast moving northwesterly flow aloft will zip weak and moisture starved systems through the Great Lakes and into the northeast through the upcoming work week. We’ll remain just south of the path of these features, resulting in an extended period of quiet and milder conditions. We should remain precipitation-free at least until Saturday.

An extended dry and quiet spell will control our region through the work week.

We’ll want to be sure to take advantage of this prolonged period of calmer conditions as things will become much more active by next weekend. By all indications, the regime looks to continue being quite busy into mid-March. In fact, the longer range charts suggest we have to deal with (4) separate storm systems between the 5th and 15th.

A pattern change is expected as we get into March that will likely result in an active storm track through our neck of the woods.

While the short-term will be milder, I don’t think we’ve seen the last of the wintry weather for the year either…

Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, snow, Spring

Client Brief: (2) Waves Of Wintry Precipitation Set To Impact Area…

Updated 02.23.22 @ 5:15p

Type: Impactful wintry weather

A light mixture of snow and freezing rain will overspread the region during the evening, continuing into the overnight hours.

What: Impactful wintry weather

When: Tonight and Thursday morning and Thursday afternoon through predawn Friday 

Temperatures: Middle 20s to lower 30s

Wind: East Northeast 10-20 MPH, shifting to the north late Thursday

Blowing/ Drifting: Minimal across n-central Indiana

Pavement Impacts: Plowing and salting will be required across n-central Indiana and points north. Salting required across southern and central Indiana.

Summary: (2) waves of moisture will stream over central Indiana between this evening and predawn Friday. The initial, lead wave of precipitation will feature a mixture of light snow, light sleet, and light freezing rain. “Light” is the key word, but area roadways will likely become slick through the evening and into tonight- including in and around Indianapolis-proper. In and around the I-70 corridor and points north, this precipitation is expected to primarily fall in the form of snow. Further south, a mixture of sleet and freezing rain is anticipated. While this will be light in nature, precipitation should be rather persistent, lasting up until, or just after, sunrise. By sunrise, areas in and around Indy and points north can expect between 0.50″ and 1.50″ of snow (should sleet mix in, amounts will be closer to the lighter end of the spectrum vs. if we stay mostly snow, amounts closer to 1.5″ can be expected). Further south, a light glaze (up to 0.1″) and light sleet is expected to be the predominant precipitation type with this initial wave of moisture.

We’ll then undergo a “lull” in the action mid morning into the early afternoon hours, but low pressure will be organizing off to our southwest and have eyes set on a northeast trek into the southern portion of the state Thursday evening. This will be when we anticipate the heavier precipitation to move across the region. Across southern IN, this should primarily fall in the form of a cold rain, but further north the same can’t be said: a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain is expected to redevelop Thursday afternoon and continue into the night before ending as light snow. Across n-central IN and points to the MI/ IL state line, all snow is anticipated.

Precipitation will diminish from southwest to northeast predawn Friday with high pressure regaining control of our weather to close out the work week (just a few light lingering snow showers are expected Friday). Please see our updated snow and ice forecast below that includes total amounts for both parts of this event.

Confidence: High

Next Update: 7:30a Thursday

ClientBrief, Forecast Discussion, Freezing Rain, Rain, Sleet, snow, Wintry Mix

Mid-Morning Update…

Updated 02.23.22 @ 10:04a

As we analyze downstream radar trends and fresh high resolution, short-term guidance, it appears as if the initial burst of precipitation is speeding up. It now looks like a mixture of light snow and light sleet will arrive into central Indiana between 7p and 10p.

Forecast radar at 10p Wednesday.

Along and north of the I-70 corridor, this should fall primarily as snow (up to 1”). Further south, a mixture of sleet and freezing rain is expected this evening (where things remains all freezing rain, a light glaze, perhaps up to 0.1”. is expected to develop on elevated surfaces by sunrise).

Our updated client brief will be posted later this evening and include additional thoughts as the 12z data streams in.

Client, Forecast Discussion, Freezing Rain, Short term update, Sleet, snow