Category: Severe Weather

Mar 15

VIDEO: Mixture Of Sleet And Freezing Rain This Morning Gives Way To Thunder Overnight…

Updated 03.15.21 @ 7:55a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-mixture-of-sleet-and-freezing-rain-this-morning-gives-way-to-thunder-overnight/

Mar 14

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 03.14.21 @ 10:26a

I. Tracking 2 coast-to-coast storms in the week ahead

II. Severe episodes begin to increase

Coldest anomalies will be centered over the deep snowpack across the Front Range. The Midwest and OHV region will run above to well above normal in the temperature department.
Well above normal precipitation will target the middle of the country, including into the Southeast.
We forecast between 1.25″ and 1.75″ for *most central IN rain gauges over the upcoming 7 days.
Each day this upcoming week will feature a threat of severe weather (including tornadoes), focused on the Plains and into the Southeast. That said, even into the OHV, a threat of stronger storms is present by midweek.
Widespread severe drought conditions persist across the 4-Corner region.

Forecast period: 03.14.21 through 03.21.21

An active week is in store for the region as a series of storm systems impacts the area. The first system will deliver widespread heavier precipitation (after today’s light, nuisance variety rain/ drizzle) late morning Monday into the afternoon hours. With just enough cold air in place, there’s the possibility this precipitation will mix with sleet and freezing rain from Indianapolis and points north briefly at the onset. That said, the wintry precipitation types won’t last long and things will quickly changeover to a plain ole rain by early to mid afternoon. Scattered showers and a possible embedded storm will continue Tuesday as the surface low moves through the Ohio Valley.

Storm #2 quickly follows for St. Patrick’s Day. While we still have some time to fine tune things, I’d suggest keeping an eye on Wednesday afternoon for the possibility of stronger storm potential as far north as central IN and more of the Ohio Valley as a whole. The ingredients aren’t the best, but there seems to be just enough warmth and instability to at least warrant a close eye for this time period. We’ll do just that and update our products accordingly.

Quieter weather will build into the area by the weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-23/

Feb 28

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 02.28.21 @ 7:25a

Headlines:

I. Heavy rain threat targets TN River Valley

II. Eastern, Southeastern regions cool late in the period

Overall, over the upcoming 7-day period, above normal temperatures are expected from the northern Plains into the Southeast, including OHV.
Precipitation is expected to run above normal across the Southeast, TN Valley, and lower OHV.
Rainfall should run between 0.75″ and 1.25″ for central IN over the upcoming 7-days.
There is a threat of severe weather today from the Ark-la-tex region into the western TN Valley.
Widespread significant drought continues across the West, especially Southwest/ Four-Corners region.

Forecast period: 02.28.21 through 03.07.21

The short-term will be dominated by a the wet (and stormy for some) time of things from the OH Valley, but more so centered in the TN River Valley. Eventually the associated frontal boundary will sweep into the Southeast region early in the work week before stalling out and serving as the focal point for additional storm systems mid and late week. The first of these systems will scoot from the southern Plains east into the Southeast in the Monday through Wednesday time period with additional opportunities for heavy rain and local severe weather. We’ll watch for another suppressed system late in the week that will likely take a similar route in the Thursday-Saturday timeframe.

From a central Indiana standpoint, best rain chances out of the entire period are in front of us now. Things should dry out considerably through the balance of the upcoming work week given the overall pattern.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-21/

Feb 14

VIDEO: Roadways Become Impassable Tomorrow Evening From Combo Of Heavy Snow/ Severe Drifting; ANOTHER Strong Winter Storm Inbound Midweek…

Updated 02.14.21 @ 10p

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-roadways-become-impassable-tomorrow-evening-from-combo-of-heavy-snow-severe-drifting-another-strong-winter-storm-inbound-midweek/

Nov 25

Strong Storm Potential By Evening; More Chatter About Late Weekend-Next Week…

It’s a wet morning across central Indiana as widespread rain (some of which is moderate to heavy) is falling for most of the region. This is due to a well organized low pressure system and associated frontal boundary currently spinning across the central Plains.

As the widespread shield of rain departs late morning and into the early afternoon hours, we’ll have a “lull” in the activity until late afternoon and early evening. That’s when we anticipate storms to fire as the area of low pressure moves across the state. Should we get into any sort of sunshine later this afternoon (questionable at best), the opportunity for severe weather would increase during the 4p to 9p window (west to east). As it is, a couple of strong-to-severe storms can’t be ruled out given the dynamics in play. The biggest threat would be localized hail and/ or damaging wind gusts with these stronger cells.

Widespread 1″+ rainfall can be expected (both from this morning’s rain and what’s ahead this evening) with locally heavier amounts- especially south of the I-70 corridor.

Things will quieten down tonight and we still anticipate a much calmer Thanksgiving Day, itself, continuing through Black Friday and Saturday as high pressure settles overhead.

By this time, of course, attention will turn to the “shenanigans” ahead early next week. We have no changes to our thinking a significant event is ahead and continue to favor this initial storm tracking west of the spine of the Appalachians. Operational model will likely continue to offer up a wide range of solutions (sometimes with each model update). The item we’ll be most focused on is the phasing of the 2 streams. The timing of this taking place will play a critical role into who ends up with a sizable snow/ wind event vs. mostly rain with backlash snow. Stay tuned and know, as per usual, we’ll be posting away right through the holiday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/strong-storm-potential-by-evening-more-chatter-about-late-weekend-next-week/